A Ground Motion Prediction Model for Average Spectral Acceleration

Author(s):  
Héctor Dávalos ◽  
Eduardo Miranda
2008 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 279-298 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Spudich ◽  
Brian S. J. Chiou

We present correction factors that may be applied to the ground motion prediction relations of Abrahamson and Silva, Boore and Atkinson, Campbell and Bozorgnia, and Chiou and Youngs (all in this volume) to model the azimuthally varying distribution of the GMRotI50 component of ground motion (commonly called “directivity”) around earthquakes. Our correction factors may be used for planar or nonplanar faults having any dip or slip rake (faulting mechanism). Our correction factors predict directivity-induced variations of spectral acceleration that are roughly half of the strike-slip variations predicted by Somerville et. al. (1997), and use of our factors reduces record-to-record sigma by about 2–20% at 5 sec or greater period.


2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 1177-1199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pablo Heresi ◽  
Héctor Dávalos ◽  
Eduardo Miranda

This paper presents a ground motion prediction model (GMPM) for estimating medians and standard deviations of the random horizontal component of the peak inelastic displacement of 5% damped single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) systems, with bilinear hysteretic behavior and 3% postelastic stiffness ratio, directly as a function of the earthquake magnitude and the distance to the source. The equations were developed using a mixed effects model, with 1,662 recorded ground motions from 63 seismic events. In the proposed model, the median is computed as a function of the vibration period and the normalized strength of the system, as well as the event magnitude and the Joyner-Boore distance to the source. The standard deviation of the model is computed as a function of the vibration period and the normalized strength of the system. The proposed model has the advantage of not requiring an auxiliary elastic GMPM to predict the median and dispersion of peak inelastic displacement.


Author(s):  
David M. Boore ◽  
Jonathan P. Stewart ◽  
Andreas A. Skarlatoudis ◽  
Emel Seyhan ◽  
Basil Margaris ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Using a recently completed database of uniformly processed strong-motion data recorded in Greece, we derive a ground-motion prediction model (GMPM) for horizontal-component peak ground velocity, peak ground acceleration, and 5% damped pseudoacceleration response spectra, at 105 periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s. The equations were developed by modifying a global GMPM, to account for more rapid attenuation and weaker magnitude scaling in the Greek ground motions than in the global GMPM. Our GMPM is calibrated using the Greek data for distances up to 300 km, magnitudes from 4.0 to 7.0, and time-averaged 30 m shear-wave velocities from 150 to 1200  m/s. The GMPM has important attributes for hazard applications including magnitude scaling that extends the range of applicability to M 8.0 and nonlinear site response. These features are possible because they are well constrained by data in the global GMPM from which our model is derived. An interesting feature of the Greek data, also observed previously in studies of mid-magnitude events (6.1–6.5) in Italy, is that they are substantially overpredicted by the global GMPM, which may be a repeatable regional feature, but may also be influenced by soil–structure interaction. This bias is an important source of epistemic uncertainty that should be considered in hazard analysis.


2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 1763-1788 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivan G. Wong ◽  
Walter J. Silva ◽  
Robert Darragh ◽  
Nick Gregor ◽  
Mark Dober

Until recently, no ground motion prediction model was available for deep ( >20 km) Hawaiian earthquakes, including the 2006 M6.7 Kiholo Bay earthquake. We developed such a model based on the stochastic point-source model. Strong motion data from the 2006 event and 15 other deep Hawaiian earthquakes of M3.3 to M6.2 were inverted using a nonlinear least-squares inversion of Fourier amplitude spectra to estimate stress drops for input into the stochastic modeling and for the few larger events (M ≥ 5.0), to calibrate the ground motion prediction model. The ground motion model is valid for M3.5 to M7.5 over the Joyner-Boore ( RJB) distance range of 20 km to 400 km and are for 5%-damped horizontal spectral acceleration at 27 periods from PGA (0.01 s) to 10.0 s. The shallow site condition assumed for the model is soil and weathered basalt with a mean VS30 of 428 m/s.


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