scholarly journals Does admission NT-proBNP increase the prognostic accuracy of GRACE risk score in the prediction of short-term mortality after acute coronary syndromes?

2009 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 236-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana Teresa Timóteo ◽  
Alexandra Toste ◽  
Ruben Ramos ◽  
Fernando Miranda ◽  
Maria Lurdes Ferreira ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Roland Klingenberg ◽  
Soheila Aghlmandi ◽  
Lorenz Räber ◽  
Alexander Akhmedov ◽  
Baris Gencer ◽  
...  

Background It remains unclear whether the novel biomarker cysteine‐rich angiogenic inducer 61 (CCN1) adds incremental prognostic value to the GRACE 2.0 (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) risk score and biomarkers high‐sensitivity Troponin T, hsCRP (high‐sensitivity C‐reactive protein), and NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide) in patients with acute coronary syndromes. Methods and Results Patients referred for coronary angiography with a primary diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes were enrolled in the Special Program University Medicine – Acute Coronary Syndromes and Inflammation cohort. The primary/secondary end points were 30‐day/1‐year all‐cause mortality and the composite of all‐cause mortality or myocardial infarction as used in the GRACE risk score. Associations between biomarkers and outcome were assessed using log‐transformed biomarker values and the GRACE risk score (versions 1.0 and 2.0). The incremental value of CCN1 beyond a reference model was assessed using Harrell’s C‐statistics calculated from a Cox proportional‐hazard model. The P value of the C‐statistics was derived from a likelihood ratio test. Among 2168 patients recruited, 1732 could be analyzed. CCN1 was the strongest single predictor of all‐cause mortality at 30 days (hazard ratio [HR], 1.77 [1.31, 2.40]) and 1 year (HR, 1.81 [1.47, 2.22]). Adding CCN1 alone to the GRACE 2.0 risk score improved C‐statistics for prognostic accuracy of all‐cause mortality at 30 days (0.87–0.88) and 1 year (0.81–0.82) and when combined with high‐sensitivity Troponin T, hsCRP, NT‐proBNP for 30 days (0.87–0.91), and for 1‐year follow‐up (0.81–0.84). CCN1 also increased the prognostic value for the composite of all‐cause mortality or myocardial infarction. Conclusions CCN1 predicts adverse outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndromes adding incremental information to the GRACE risk score, suggesting distinct underlying molecular mechanisms. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT01000701.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 414 ◽  
Author(s):  
António Tralhão ◽  
Pedro Póvoa

Acute cardiovascular disease after community-acquired pneumonia is a well-accepted complication for which definitive treatment strategies are lacking. These complications share some common features but have distinct diagnostic and treatment approaches. We therefore undertook an updated systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies reporting the incidence of overall complications, acute coronary syndromes, new or worsening heart failure, new or worsening arrhythmias and acute stroke, as well as short-term mortality outcomes. To set a framework for future research, we further included a holistic review of the interplay between the two conditions. From 1984 to 2019, thirty-nine studies were accrued, involving 92,188 patients, divided by setting (inpatients versus outpatients) and clinical severity (low risk versus high risk). Overall cardiac complications occurred in 13.9% (95% confidence interval (CI) 9.6–18.9), acute coronary syndromes in 4.5% (95% CI 2.9–6.5), heart failure in 9.2% (95% CI 6.7–12.2), arrhythmias in 7.2% (95% CI 5.6–9.0) and stroke in 0.71% (95% CI 0.1–3.9) of pooled inpatients. During this period, meta-regression analysis suggests that the incidence of overall and individual cardiac complications is decreasing. After adjusting for confounders, cardiovascular events taking place after community-acquired pneumonia independently increase the risk for short-term mortality (range of odds-ratio: 1.39–5.49). These findings highlight the need for effective, large trial based, preventive and therapeutic interventions in this important patient population.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
R Klingenberg ◽  
S Aghlmandi ◽  
D Nanchen ◽  
L Raeber ◽  
B Gencer ◽  
...  

Abstract Background C-reactive protein measured by high sensitivity assays (hsCRP) is an established biomarker of systemic inflammation and a cut-off at 2 mg/L has been widely studied and proposed to identify patients at residual inflammatory risk (RIR). Purpose It remains unclear how many patients remain at residual inflammatory risk (RIR) at 12 months after acute coronary syndromes (ACS) in a contemporary real-world cohort and if RIR is associated with cardiovascular outcome. Methods Patients included in the SPUM-ACS cohort (NCT01000701) with a primary diagnosis of ACS referred for coronary angiography between 2009 and 2012 and available hsCRP measurements at baseline and at 1 year follow-up. High RIR was defined as hsCRP ≥2mg/L. Patients were divided into four groups: persistently high RIR, increased RIR (first low-, then high hsCRP), attenuated RIR (first high-, then low hsCRP), or persistently low RIR. Adjudicated major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) at 365 days were defined as the composite of MI, clinically indicated coronary revascularization or stroke. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate associations between MACCE and RIR groups and continuous long-term GRACE risk score. Adjustment was made for long-term GRACE risk score. Results 1209 patients had available serial biomarker measurements (baseline and 12 months) with clinical and demographic data. Among those, 295 (24.4%) patients (UA 3.4%, NSTEMI 47.5%, STEMI 49.2%) fell in the category persistently high RIR (delta hsCRP median (IQR): −2.3 (−9.9; 0.3) (mg/L) and 72 (5.96%) patients (UA 8.3%, NSTEMI 47.2%, STEMI 44.4%) were in category increased RIR (delta hsCRP median (IQR): +2.45 (1.2; 8.35) (mg/L). Conversely, 390 (32.26%) patients (UA 3.3%, NSTEMI 46.9%, STEMI 49.7%) fell in the category attenuated RIR (delta hsCRP median (IQR): −3.55 (−10; −2) (mg/L) and 452 (37.38%) patients (UA 5.5%, NSTEMI 33.2%, STEMI 61.3%) were in category persistently low RIR (delta hsCRP median (IQR): −0.2 (−0.6; 0.1) (mg/L). Of 90 MACCE, 31 (10.5%) were found in the persistently high RIR group yielding a significantly higher event rate (adjusted HR: 1.71, (95% CI 1.08; 2.7), p-value: 0.02) compared with the three other groups combined (increased RIR: 3 (4.2%), attenuated RIR 30 (7.7%), persistent low RIR 26 (5.8%)). Of note, in that group the long-term GRACE risk score was significantly higher compared with the three other groups (adjusted HR: 1.1, (95% CI 1.0; 1.17), p-value: 0.04). Conclusion Residual inflammatory risk at 12 months after an ACS is found in nearly a third of patients. Patients with persistently elevated hsCRP throughout the first year post-ACS suffered most adverse events warranting studies of anti-inflammatory drugs in these patients. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Swiss Heart Foundation, Swiss National Science Foundation


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Slayman Obeid ◽  
Antonio H. Frangieh ◽  
Lorenz Räber ◽  
Nooraldaem Yousif ◽  
Thomas Gilhofer ◽  
...  

Aims. To assess the incremental prognostic value of SYNTAX score II (SxSII) as compared to anatomical SYNTAX Score (SxS) and GRACE risk score in patients with acute coronary syndromes who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention. Methods and results. SxSII and SxS were determined in 734 ACS patients. Patients were enrolled in the prospective Special Program University Medicine ACS and the COMFORTABLE AMI cohorts and later on stratified according to tertiles of SxSII (SxSIILow ≤21.5 (n=245), SxSIIMid 21.5–30.6 (n=245), and SxSIIHigh ≥30.6 (n=244). The primary endpoint of adjudicated all-cause mortality and secondary endpoints of MACE (cardiac death, repeat revascularization, and myocardial infarction) and MACCE (all-cause mortality, cerebrovascular events, MI, and repeat revascularization) were determined at 1-year follow-up. SxSII provided incremental predictive information for risk stratification when compared to SxS and GRACE risk score (AUC 0.804, 95% CI 0.77–0.84, p<0.001 versus 0.67, 95% CI 0.63–0.72, p=0.007 versus 0.69, 95% CI 0.6–0.8, p=0.002), respectively. In a multivariable Cox regression analysis, we found that unlike SxS (adjusted HR 1.013, 95% CI (0.96–1.07), p=0.654), SxSII was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR = 1.095, 95% CI (1.06–1.11), p<0.001). This was also true for the prediction of both secondary outcomes MACE (n=60) and MACCE (n=70) with an adjusted HR = 1.055, 95% CI (1.03–1.08), p<0.001, and HR = 1.065, 95% CI (1.04–1.09), p<0.001. Conclusion. In patients with ACS who underwent PCI, SxSII is an independent predictor of mortality during 1-year follow-up. SxSII shows superiority in discriminating risk compared to conventional SxS and GRACE for all-cause mortality.


2005 ◽  
Vol 94 (11) ◽  
pp. 1077-1083 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kaeng Lee ◽  
Andrew Blann ◽  
Gregory Lip

SummaryRisk stratification at presentation with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) on the basis of theTIMI risk score for unstable angina and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (UAP/NSTEMI) identifies patients at high risk of recurrent cardiac events and those who benefit from more aggressive treatment strategy. We hypothesised the following: (a) that a high TIMI risk score brings a greater degree of acute changes in endothelial damage/dysfunction (circulating endothelial cells [CECs], von Willebrand factor [vWf]), inflammation (interleukin-6, IL-6) and blood thrombogenicity (plasma tissue factor, TF); and (b) that these indices are higher in those with high TIMI risk score who experienced recurrent cardiac event at day 14 and day 30. TIMI risk scores were determined at admission and 48 hours later in 88 ACS patients (60 male, age 67±12 yrs) with UAP or NSTEMI. CECs, IL-6 andTF levels were measured at both time points and the acute change (Δ) calculated. Patients were split into high (score ≥4) or low (<4) TIMI score groups. The composite end point of death, myocardial infarction, and refractory angina requiring revascularisation following 14 and 30 days’ follow-up was ascertained. Fifty-eight patients with high TIMI risk score (mean 4.7) had significantly higher baseline and 48 h CEC, vWf, IL-6, TF and ΔTF levels, compared to low TIMI risk score (mean 2.4) patients (all p<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis adjusted for clinical variables and TIMI risk score expressed as either continuous or categorical variable identified baseline CECs and ΔvWf levels (both p≤0.01) as independent predictors of subsequent cardiac events at both 14 days and 30 days. TIMI risk score for UA/NSTEMI identifies those patients with more profound vascular insult, inflammation and thrombogenicity that, in the ‘high risk’ patient group, predicts short-term outcomes although vascular damage was the more sensitive predictor. These indices may further refine global risk stratification for short-term adverse cardiac events in these patients.


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