scholarly journals Is the ROC curve a reliable tool to compare the validity of landslide susceptibility maps?

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 249-266 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Vakhshoori ◽  
M. Zare
2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kassandra Lindsey ◽  
◽  
Matthew L. Morgan ◽  
Karen A. Berry

Entropy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 884 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tingyu Zhang ◽  
Ling Han ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Himan Shahabi

The main purpose of the present study is to apply three classification models, namely, the index of entropy (IOE) model, the logistic regression (LR) model, and the support vector machine (SVM) model by radial basis function (RBF), to produce landslide susceptibility maps for the Fugu County of Shaanxi Province, China. Firstly, landslide locations were extracted from field investigation and aerial photographs, and a total of 194 landslide polygons were transformed into points to produce a landslide inventory map. Secondly, the landslide points were randomly split into two groups (70/30) for training and validation purposes, respectively. Then, 10 landslide explanatory variables, such as slope aspect, slope angle, altitude, lithology, mean annual precipitation, distance to roads, distance to rivers, distance to faults, land use, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), were selected and the potential multicollinearity problems between these factors were detected by the Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC), the variance inflation factor (VIF), and tolerance (TOL). Subsequently, the landslide susceptibility maps for the study region were obtained using the IOE model, the LR–IOE, and the SVM–IOE model. Finally, the performance of these three models was verified and compared using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. The success rate results showed that the LR–IOE model has the highest accuracy (90.11%), followed by the IOE model (87.43%) and the SVM–IOE model (86.53%). Similarly, the AUC values also showed that the prediction accuracy expresses a similar result, with the LR–IOE model having the highest accuracy (81.84%), followed by the IOE model (76.86%) and the SVM–IOE model (76.61%). Thus, the landslide susceptibility map (LSM) for the study region can provide an effective reference for the Fugu County government to properly address land planning and mitigate landslide risk.


Author(s):  
Sérgio C. Oliveira ◽  
José Luís Zêzere ◽  
Clémence Guillard-Gonçalves ◽  
Ricardo A. C. Garcia ◽  
Susana Pereira

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (24) ◽  
pp. 7118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viet-Tien Nguyen ◽  
Trong Hien Tran ◽  
Ngoc Anh Ha ◽  
Van Liem Ngo ◽  
Al-Ansari Nadhir ◽  
...  

Landslides affect properties and the lives of a large number of people in many hilly parts of Vietnam and in the world. Damages caused by landslides can be reduced by understanding distribution, nature, mechanisms and causes of landslides with the help of model studies for better planning and risk management of the area. Development of landslide susceptibility maps is one of the main steps in landslide management. In this study, the main objective is to develop GIS based hybrid computational intelligence models to generate landslide susceptibility maps of the Da Lat province, which is one of the landslide prone regions of Vietnam. Novel hybrid models of alternating decision trees (ADT) with various ensemble methods, namely bagging, dagging, MultiBoostAB, and RealAdaBoost, were developed namely B-ADT, D-ADT, MBAB-ADT, RAB-ADT, respectively. Data of 72 past landslide events was used in conjunction with 11 landslide conditioning factors (curvature, distance from geological boundaries, elevation, land use, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), relief amplitude, stream density, slope, lithology, weathering crust and soil) in the development and validation of the models. Area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and several statistical measures were applied to validate these models. Results indicated that performance of all the models was good (AUC value greater than 0.8) but B-ADT model performed the best (AUC= 0.856). Landslide susceptibility maps generated using the proposed models would be helpful to decision makers in the risk management for land use planning and infrastructure development.


Geosciences ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 430 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sangey Pasang ◽  
Petr Kubíček

In areas prone to frequent landslides, the use of landslide susceptibility maps can greatly aid in the decision-making process of the socio-economic development plans of the area. Landslide susceptibility maps are generally developed using statistical methods and geographic information systems. In the present study, landslide susceptibility along road corridors was considered, since the anthropogenic impacts along a road in a mountainous country remain uniform and are mainly due to road construction. Therefore, we generated landslide susceptibility maps along 80.9 km of the Asian Highway (AH48) in Bhutan using the information value, weight of evidence, and logistic regression methods. These methods have been used independently by some researchers to produce landslide susceptibility maps, but no comparative analysis of these methods with a focus on road corridors is available. The factors contributing to landslides considered in the study are land cover, lithology, elevation, proximity to roads, drainage, and fault lines, aspect, and slope angle. The validation of the method performance was carried out by using the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic on training and control samples. The area under the curve values of the control samples were 0.883, 0.882, and 0.88 for the information value, weight of evidence, and logistic regression models, respectively, which indicates that all models were capable of producing reliable landslide susceptibility maps. In addition, when overlaid on the generated landslide susceptibility maps, 89.3%, 85.6%, and 72.2% of the control landslide samples were found to be in higher-susceptibility areas for the information value, weight of evidence, and logistic regression methods, respectively. From these findings, we conclude that the information value method has a better predictive performance than the other methods used in the present study. The landslide susceptibility maps produced in the study could be useful to road engineers in planning landslide prevention and mitigation works along the highway.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 708-726
Author(s):  
Zorgati Anis ◽  
Gallala Wissem ◽  
Vakhshoori Vali ◽  
Habib Smida ◽  
Gaied Mohamed Essghaier

AbstractThe Tunisian North-western region, especially Tabarka and Ain-Drahim villages, presents many landslides every year. Therefore, the landslide susceptibility mapping is essential to frame zones with high landslide susceptibility, to avoid loss of lives and properties. In this study, two bivariate statistical models: the evidential belief functions (EBF) and the weight of evidence (WoE), were used to produce landslide susceptibility maps for the study area. For this, a landslide inventory map was mapped using aerial photo, satellite image and extensive field survey. A total of 451 landslides were randomly separated into two datasets: 316 landslides (70%) for modelling and 135 landslides (30%) for validation. Then, 11 landslide conditioning factors: elevation, slope, aspect, lithology, rainfall, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), land cover/use, plan curvature, profile curvature, distance to faults and distance to drainage networks, were considered for modelling. The EBF and WoE models were well validated using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) curve with a success rate of 87.9% and 89.5%, respectively, and a predictive rate of 84.8% and 86.5%, respectively. The landslide susceptibility maps were very similar by the two models, but the WoE model is more efficient and it can be useful in future planning for the current study area.


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