scholarly journals Health index prediction of dissolved gases in transformer oil based on statistical distribution model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2087 (1) ◽  
pp. 012085
Author(s):  
Xiaogang Li ◽  
Jiajia Liu ◽  
Xiaoguang Wang ◽  
Zhongyuan Wu ◽  
Chenyao Liu
Keyword(s):  
Gas Analysis ◽  
Statistical Distribution ◽  
Transformer Oil ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Health Index ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
Scoring Method ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
The Individual

Abstract In this paper, dissolved gas analysis (DGA) and statistical distribution model (SDM) were used to predict the health index (HI) of dissolved gas in transformer oil. First, the individual DGA data are classified according to transformer ages ranging from 1 to 4 years. Then, representative fitting models were selected and extrapolated from 5 to 25 years. The inverse cumulative distribution function (ICDF) of the selected distribution model was used to calculate the single conditional parameter data from 5 to 25 years. Finally, the traditional scoring method is used to estimate the future HI value. The results show that DGA parameters can be expressed by exponential equation based on statistical model. The predicted values of DGA health index of transformer oil from 1 to 7 years were basically consistent with the calculated values, and the DGA score was 100 points. By the 20th year, the DGA score had dropped to 75, requiring timely monitoring. The research results can provide powerful data support and theoretical reference for transformer life prediction.

scholarly journals Application of Statistical Distribution Models to Predict Health Index for Condition-Based Management of Transformers

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2728
Author(s):  
Amran Mohd Selva ◽  
Norhafiz Azis ◽  
Nor Shafiqin Shariffudin ◽  
Mohd Zainal Abidin Ab Kadir ◽  
Jasronita Jasni ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Distribution ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Quality Analysis ◽  
Statistical Hypothesis ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Health Index ◽  
Distribution Models ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Individual Condition

In this study, statistical distribution model (SDM) is used to predict the health index (HI) of transformers by utilizing the condition parameters data from dissolved gas analysis (DGA), oil quality analysis (OQA), and furanic compound analysis (FCA), respectively. First, the individual condition parameters data were categorized based on transformer age from year 1 to 15. Next, the individual condition parameters data for every age were fitted while using a probability plot to find the representative distribution models. The distribution parameters were calculated based on 95% confidence level and extrapolated from year 16 to 25 through representative fitting models. The individual condition parameters data within the period were later calculated based on the estimated distribution parameters through the inverse cumulative distribution function (ICDF) of the selected distribution models. The predicted HI was then determined based on the conventional scoring method. The Chi-square test for statistical hypothesis reveals that the predicted HI for the transformer data is quite close to the calculated HI. The average percentage of absolute error is 2.7%. The HI that is predicted based on SDM yields 97.83% accuracy for the transformer data.

scholarly journals Fuzzy Algorithm for Power Transformer Diagnostics

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nitin K. Dhote ◽  
Jagdish B. Helonde
Keyword(s):  
Gas Chromatography ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Power Transformer ◽  
Gas Analysis ◽  
Transformer Oil ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Incipient Faults ◽  
The World

Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) of transformer oil has been one of the most reliable techniques to detect the incipient faults. Many conventional DGA methods have been developed to interpret DGA results obtained from gas chromatography. Although these methods are widely used in the world, they sometimes fail to diagnose, especially when DGA results fall outside conventional methods codes or when more than one fault exist in the transformer. To overcome these limitations, the fuzzy inference system (FIS) is proposed. Two hundred different cases are used to test the accuracy of various DGA methods in interpreting the transformer condition.

scholarly journals Calculation of a Health Index of Oil-Paper Transformers Insulation with Binary Logistic Regression

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weijie Zuo ◽  
Haiwen Yuan ◽  
Yuwei Shang ◽  
Yingyi Liu ◽  
Tao Chen
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Health Condition ◽  
Gas Analysis ◽  
Total Acidity ◽  
Health Index ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
Comparison Results

This paper presents a new method for calculating the insulation health index (HI) of oil-paper transformers rated under 110 kV to provide a snapshot of health condition using binary logistic regression. Oil breakdown voltage (BDV), total acidity of oil, 2-Furfuraldehyde content, and dissolved gas analysis (DGA) are singled out in this method as the input data for determining HI. A sample of transformers is used to test the proposed method. The results are compared with the results calculated for the same set of transformers using fuzzy logic. The comparison results show that the proposed method is reliable and effective in evaluating transformer health condition.

Parallelization Analysis of Dissolved Gases in Transformer Oil Based on Random Forest Algorithm

2014 ◽  
Vol 519-520 ◽  
pp. 98-101
Author(s):  
De Wen Wang ◽  
Zhi Wei Sun
Keyword(s):  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Power Transformer ◽  
Gas Analysis ◽  
Transformer Oil ◽  
Dissolved Gases ◽  
Random Forest Algorithm ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
Important Method ◽  
Transformer Fault

Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) in oil is an important method for transformer fault diagnosis. This paper use random forest parallelization algorithm to analysis the dissolved gases in transformer oil. This method can achieve a fast parallel fault diagnosis for power equipment. Experimental results of the diagnosis of parallelization of random forest algorithm with DGA samples show that this algorithm not only can improve the accuracy of fault diagnosis, and more appropriate for dealing with huge amounts of data, but also can meet the smart grid requirements for fast fault diagnosis for power transformer. And this result also verifies the feasibility and effectiveness of the algorithm.

scholarly journals Dissolved Gas Analysis in Transformer Oil Using Pt-Doped WSe2 Monolayer Based on First Principles Method

IEEE Access ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 72012-72019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenwei Chen ◽  
Xiaoxing Zhang ◽  
Hao Xiong ◽  
Dachang Chen ◽  
Hongtu Cheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
First Principles ◽  
Gas Analysis ◽  
Transformer Oil ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
Dissolved Gas Analysis ◽  
First Principles Method

scholarly journals Results of the Verification of the Statistical Distribution Model of Microseismicity Emission Characteristics

2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 489-496
Author(s):  
Aleksander Cianciara
Keyword(s):  
Distribution Function ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Cumulative Distribution Function ◽  
Statistical Distribution ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Emission Characteristics ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Test ◽  
Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function

Abstract The paper presents the results of research aimed at verifying the hypothesis that the Weibull distribution is an appropriate statistical distribution model of microseismicity emission characteristics, namely: energy of phenomena and inter-event time. It is understood that the emission under consideration is induced by the natural rock mass fracturing. Because the recorded emission contain noise, therefore, it is subjected to an appropriate filtering. The study has been conducted using the method of statistical verification of null hypothesis that the Weibull distribution fits the empirical cumulative distribution function. As the model describing the cumulative distribution function is given in an analytical form, its verification may be performed using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test. Interpretations by means of probabilistic methods require specifying the correct model describing the statistical distribution of data. Because in these methods measurement data are not used directly, but their statistical distributions, e.g., in the method based on the hazard analysis, or in that that uses maximum value statistics.

Transformer Fault Diagnosis with the Duval Triangle and Heuristic Techniques

2014 ◽  
Vol 535 ◽  
pp. 157-161
Author(s):  
Jeeng Min Ling ◽  
Ming Jong Lin ◽  
Chao Tang Yu
Keyword(s):  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Power Transformer ◽  
Gas Analysis ◽  
Transformer Oil ◽  
Dissolved Gas ◽  
Power Company ◽  
Triangle Method ◽  
Diagnosis Method ◽  
Combustible Gases ◽  
Transformer Fault

Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) is an effective tool for detecting incipient faults in power transformers. The ANSI/IEEE C57.104 standards, the most popular guides for the interpretation of gases generated in oil-immersed transformers, and the IEC-Duval triangle method are integrated to develop the proposed power transformer fault diagnosis method. The key dissolved gases, including H2, CH4, C2H2, C2H4, C2H6, and total combustible gases (TCG), suggested by ASTM D3612s instruction for DGA is investigated. The tested data of the transformer oil were taken from the substations of Taiwan Power Company. Diagnosis results with the text form called IEC-Duval triangle method show the validation and accuracy to detect the incipient fault in the power transformer.

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