scholarly journals Ecological risk analysis of heavy metals in farmland soil based on Monte Carlo simulation

Author(s):  
Huina Zhu ◽  
Weiqin Xing ◽  
Liangbo Zhang ◽  
Baozhong Zhang ◽  
Fan Shi ◽  
...  
Water ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 180
Author(s):  
Arup Acharjee ◽  
Zia Ahmed ◽  
Pankaj Kumar ◽  
Rafiul Alam ◽  
M. Safiur Rahman ◽  
...  

River sediment can be used to measure the pollution level in natural water, as it serves as one of the vital environmental indicators. This study aims to assess heavy metal pollution namely Copper (Cu), Iron (Fe), Manganese (Mn), Zinc (Zn), Nickel (Ni), Lead (Pb), and Cadmium (Cd) in Surma River. Further, it compares potential ecological risk index values using Hakanson Risk Index (RI) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) approach to evaluate the environmental risks caused by these heavy metals. in the study area. With obtained results, enrichment of individual heavy metals in the study area was found in the order of Ni > Pb > Cd > Mn > Cu > Zn. Also, variance in MCS index contributed by studied metals was in the order of Cd > Pb > Ni > Zn > Cu. None of the heavy metals, except Ni, showed moderate contamination of the sediment. Risk index values from RI and MCS provide valuable insights in the contamination profile of the river, indicating the studied river is currently under low ecological risk for the studied heavy metals. This study can be utilized to assess the susceptibility of the river sediment to heavy metal pollution near an urban core, and to have a better understanding of the contamination profile of a river.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arup Acharjee ◽  
Zia Ahmed ◽  
Rafiul Alam ◽  
Md. Safiur Rahman ◽  
Zhixiao Xie

Abstract The study aims to achieve an accurate assessment of 7 heavy metals, including Cu, Fe, Mn, Zn, Ni, Pb and Cd. Data were collected from 15 sampling stations and analyzed by atomic absorption spectrophotometry. The potential detrimental effects of these heavy metals were evaluated by Hakanson risk index. Hakanson risk index (RI) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and the ecological risk were articulated as probability distribution of Risk Index values instead of single point values to estimate the uncertainties in the risk evaluation process. The results showed that the levels of SEF (sediment enrichment factor) in the sediments were in the following order: Ni > Pb > Cd > Mn > Cu > Zn. Geo-accumulation index (Igeo) values showed no pollution for most of the metals except Ni, which portrayed the sediment was moderately contaminated and may have adverse effects on the ecology of the river. RI values from Hakanson Risk Index showed each individual station are at low ecological risks throughout the study area. According to the Monte Carlo simulation results and the traditional Hakanson risk index, the cumulative probability of Risk Index (RI) values is less than 150, which, according to the Hakanson risk index, represents low ecological risk. From the sensitivity analysis, the comparatively highest contribution to variance can be ranked as Cd > Pb > Ni > Zn > Cu. The outputs of this study could be used to assess ecological risk near urban area river sediment and help predict how the disposal of domestic sewage will affect the riverine ecosystem.


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