Sectoral Analyses

Author(s):  
Christopher Tsoukis

This wide-ranging chapter reviews a number of models that underpin aggregate analyses (‘sectoral’ models). It begins with the profusion of work on consumption (Permanent Income Hypothesis, the Life-Cycle Model, and the modern analyses that sprang from the ‘random walk’ model). Saving, durable consumption, demographics, and behavioural elements are among the many topics reviewed. The chapter continues with investment, including issues such as: the accelerator, neoclassical model, user cost of capital, Tobin’s q, effects of financial imperfections, uncertainty, state-contingent (‘S-s’) models, vintages, technical progress, and inventories. Housing is reviewed next, another innovation of the book. Finally, the models of consumption are a stepping-stone towards the macroeconomics of finance. The topics reviewed here include the CCAPM and CAPM models, the equity premium puzzle, and the term structure of interest rates, as well as developments in stock markets and the growth of finance (‘financialization’).

2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 309-334
Author(s):  
Joonhyuk Song

This paper estimates a Nelson-Siegel model under the state-space representation in order to circumvent the shortcomings of the conventional Nelson-Siegel model and evaluates the predictive ability of the estimated model. The results indicate that the estimated Nelson-Siegel time-varying three factors have close relations to their counterparts : level, slope and curvature and the inflection of the Korean yield curve is located around the maturity of 55-month. Meanwhile, each factor is found to have unit-root but differenced-factors do not show signs of unit-roots, hence proved I (1) series. In order to assess the efficacy of the estimated model, we compare the yield prediction from our model with several natural competitors : random walk, Fama-Bliss, and Cochrane-Piazzesi. With respect to out-of-sample performance, Fama-Bliss model proves to be the worst in term structure forecasts in Korea. The predictive performance differs between the random walk and the state-space Nelson-Siegel model depending on the forecast horizon lengths. At the shorter horizon, the state-space Nelson-Siegel model outperforms the random walk, but the table is turned in the longer horizon


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jantmary Thirusanku ◽  
Melor Md. Yunus

This paper provides a brief description on the aspect of Malaysian English lexis. It starts off with the developmental cycles of new varieties of English based on three main models by three main scholars, namely, Kachru’s three concentric circles of Englishes (1994), Moag’s life-cycle model (1982), and Schneider’s dynamic model (2007). It discusses the emergence and development of Malaysian English, the nonnative variety. It also explains Baskaran’s three levels of the lectal continuum; acrolect, mesolect, and basilect. The nonnative features involved in the Malaysian English lexis are also discussed briefly; the acrolect: borrowing, the mesolect, and basilect mixing, with examples. Generally, it discusses the emergence of the new varieties, the indigenisation of English in Malaysia, and the current status of English in Malaysia.


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