Good Deal Bounds

Author(s):  
Tomas Björk

In this chapter we study an incomplete market, but we do not look for a unique martingale measure. Instead we try to find “reasonable” bounds on arbitrage free prices. The terms “reasonable” is formalized in terms of a price rule with bounded Sharpe ratio–so-called good deal bounds. We study a factor model and show that the good deal bounds can be obtained by solving a control problem where the likelihood process acts as a state variable, and the Girsanov kernel is the control variable. The theory is then applied to concrete examples.

Author(s):  
Tomas Björk

The fourth edition of this textbook on pricing and hedging of financial derivatives, now also including dynamic equilibrium theory, continues to combine sound mathematical principles with economic applications. Concentrating on the probabilistic theory of continuous time arbitrage pricing of financial derivatives, including stochastic optimal control theory and optimal stopping theory, the book is designed for graduate students in economics and mathematics, and combines the necessary mathematical background with a solid economic focus. It includes a solved example for every new technique presented, contains numerous exercises, and suggests further reading in each chapter. All concepts and ideas are discussed, not only from a mathematics point of view, but the mathematical theory is also always supplemented with lots of intuitive economic arguments. In the substantially extended fourth edition Tomas Björk has added completely new chapters on incomplete markets, treating such topics as the Esscher transform, the minimal martingale measure, f-divergences, optimal investment theory for incomplete markets, and good deal bounds. There is also an entirely new part of the book presenting dynamic equilibrium theory. This includes several chapters on unit net supply endowments models, and the Cox–Ingersoll–Ross equilibrium factor model (including the CIR equilibrium interest rate model). Providing two full treatments of arbitrage theory—the classical delta hedging approach and the modern martingale approach—the book is written in such a way that these approaches can be studied independently of each other, thus providing the less mathematically oriented reader with a self-contained introduction to arbitrage theory and equilibrium theory, while at the same time allowing the more advanced student to see the full theory in action.


2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (3) ◽  
pp. 1061-1082
Author(s):  
Jotindra Nath Roul ◽  
Kalipada Maity ◽  
Samarjit Kar ◽  
Manoranjan Maiti

An imperfect multi-item production system is considered against time dependent demands for a finite time horizon. Here production is defective. Following [Khouja and Mehrez J. Oper. Res. Soc. 45 (1994) 1405–1417], unit production cost depends on production, raw-material and maintenance costs. Produced items have same fixed life-time. Warehouse capacity is limited and used as a constraint. Available space, production, stock and different costs are assumed as crisp or imprecise. With the above considerations, crisp and fuzzy constrained optimal control problems are formulated for the minimization of total cost consisting of raw-material, production and holding costs. These models are solved using conventional and fuzzy variational principles with equality constraint condition and no-stock as end conditions. For the first time, the inequality space constraint is converted into an equality constraint introducing a pseudo state variable following Bang Bang control. [Roul et al., J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst. 32 (2017) 565–577], as stock is mainly controlled by production, for the control problems production is taken as the control variable and stock as state variable. The reduced optimal control problem is solved by generalised reduced gradient method using Lingo-11.0. The models are illustrated numerically. For the fuzzy model, optimum results are obtained as fuzzy numbers expressed by their membership functions. From fuzzy results, crisp results are derived using α-cuts.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omokolade Akinsomi ◽  
Katlego Kola ◽  
Thembelihle Ndlovu ◽  
Millicent Motloung

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE) on the risk and returns of listed and delisted property firms on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). The study was investigated to understand the impact of Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) property sector charter and effect of government intervention on property listed markets. Design/methodology/approach – The study examines the performance trends of the listed and delisted property firms on the JSE from January 2006 to January 2012. The data were obtained from McGregor BFA database to compute the risk and return measures of the listed and delisted property firms. The study employs a capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to derive the alpha (outperformance) and beta (risk) to examine the trend amongst the BEE and non-BEE firms, Sharpe ratio was also employed as a measurement of performance. A comparative study is employed to analyse the risks and returns between listed property firms that are BEE compliant and BEE non-compliant. Findings – Results show that there exists differences in returns and risk between BEE-compliant firms and non-BEE-compliant firms. The study shows that BEE-compliant firms have higher returns than non-BEE firms and are less risky than non-BEE firms. By establishing this relationship, this possibly affects the investor’s decision to invest in BEE firms rather than non-BBBEE firms. This study can also assist the government in strategically adjusting the policy. Research limitations/implications – This study employs a CAPM which is a single-factor model. Further study could employ a multi-factor model. Practical implications – The results of this investigation, with the effects of BEE on returns, using annualized returns, the Sharpe ratio and alpha (outperformance), results show that BEE firms perform better than non-BEE firms. These results pose several implications for investors particularly when structuring their portfolios, further study would need to examine the role of BEE on stock returns in line with other factors that affect stock returns. The results in this study have several implications for government agencies, there may be the need to monitor the effect of the BEE policies on firm returns and re-calibrate policies accordingly. Originality/value – This study investigates the performance of listed property firms on the JSE which are BEE compliant. This is the first study to investigate listed property firms which are BEE compliant.


2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 19-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuhin Kumar Kar ◽  
Soovoojeet Jana

In this paper we have proposed and analyzed a simple three-dimensional mathematical model related to malaria disease. We consider three state variables associated with susceptible human population, infected human population and infected mosquitoes, respectively. A discrete delay parameter has been incorporated to take account of the time of incubation period with infected mosquitoes. We consider the effect of insecticide control, which is applied to the mosquitoes. Basic reproduction number is figured out for the proposed model and it is shown that when this threshold is less than unity then the system moves to the disease-free state whereas for higher values other than unity, the system would tend to an endemic state. On the other hand if we consider the system with delay, then there may exist some cases where the endemic equilibrium would be unstable although the numerical value of basic reproduction number may be greater than one. We formulate and solve the optimal control problem by considering insecticide as the control variable. Optimal control problem assures to obtain better result than the noncontrol situation. Numerical illustrations are provided in support of the theoretical results.


2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (5) ◽  
pp. 1617-1650 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alejandro Allendes ◽  
Enrique Otárola ◽  
Richard Rankin ◽  
Abner J. Salgado

We propose and analyze a reliable and efficienta posteriorierror estimator for a control-constrained linear-quadratic optimal control problem involving Dirac measures; the control variable corresponds to the amplitude of forces modeled as point sources. The proposeda posteriorierror estimator is defined as the sum of two contributions, which are associated with the state and adjoint equations. The estimator associated with the state equation is based on Muckenhoupt weighted Sobolev spaces, while the one associated with the adjoint is in the maximum norm and allows for unbounded right hand sides. The analysis is valid for two and three-dimensional domains. On the basis of the deviseda posteriorierror estimator, we design a simple adaptive strategy that yields optimal rates of convergence for the numerical examples that we perform.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinfeng Ruan ◽  
Wenli Zhu ◽  
Shuang Li ◽  
Jiexiang Huang

We study option pricing with risk-minimization criterion in an incomplete market where the dynamics of the risky underlying asset is governed by a jump diffusion equation with stochastic volatility. We obtain the Radon-Nikodym derivative for the minimal martingale measure and a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) of European option. The finite difference method is employed to compute the European option valuation of PIDE.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhen Wu ◽  
Feng Zhang

We consider a stochastic recursive optimal control problem in which the control variable has two components: the regular control and the impulse control. The control variable does not enter the diffusion coefficient, and the domain of the regular controls is not necessarily convex. We establish necessary optimality conditions, of the Pontryagin maximum principle type, for this stochastic optimal control problem. Sufficient optimality conditions are also given. The optimal control is obtained for an example of linear quadratic optimization problem to illustrate the applications of the theoretical results.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yeşim Saraç ◽  
Murat Subaşı

We use the initial condition on the state variable of a hyperbolic problem as control function and formulate a control problem whose solution implies the minimization at the final time of the distance measured in a suitable norm between the solution of the problem and given targets. We prove the existence and the uniqueness of the optimal solution and establish the optimality condition. An iterative algorithm is constructed to compute the required optimal control as limit of a suitable subsequence of controls. An iterative procedure is implemented and used to numerically solve some test problems.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
AbdulRahman Al-Hussein

This paper is concerned with providing the maximum principle for a control problem governed by a stochastic evolution system on a separable Hilbert space. In particular, necessary conditions for optimality for this stochastic optimal control problem are derived by using the adjoint backward stochastic evolution equation. Moreover, all coefficients appearing in this system are allowed to depend on the control variable. We achieve our results through the semigroup approach.


2020 ◽  
Vol 83 ◽  
pp. 01017
Author(s):  
Nora Grisáková ◽  
Peter Štetka

Presented paper is being focused on Optimal control theory, Variation Calculus and its economic application. Aim of this research paper is to shortly describe Optimal control and Variation Calculus and to present how can we deal with these type of issues. The last part of this paper is presenting possible economic application of Optimal control, based on the maximization of profit in monopoly while introducing new product on the market. Our control variable is the advertising rate, which affects the profit of monopoly through advertising expenditures and as a state variable was the market share defined.


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