Fooled Again and Again

Author(s):  
Gary Smith ◽  
Jay Cordes

Patterns are inevitable and we should not be surprised by them. Streaks, clusters, and correlations are the norm, not the exception. In a large number of coin flips, there are likely to be coincidental clusters of heads and tails. In nationwide data on cancer, crime, or test scores, there are likely to be flukey clusters. When the data are separated into smaller geographic units like cities, the most extreme results are likely to be found in the smallest cities. In athletic competitions between well-matched teams, the outcome of a small number of games is almost meaningless. Our challenge is to overcome our inherited inclination to think that all patterns are meaningful; for example, thinking that clustering in large data sets or differences among small data sets must be something real that needs to be explained. Often, it is just meaningless happenstance.

Author(s):  
Kim Wallin

The standard Master Curve (MC) deals only with materials assumed to be homogeneous, but MC analysis methods for inhomogeneous materials have also been developed. Especially the bi-modal and multi-modal analysis methods are becoming more and more standard. Their drawback is that these methods are generally reliable only with sufficiently large data sets (number of valid tests, r ≥ 15–20). Here, the possibility of using the multi-modal analysis method with smaller data sets is assessed, and a new procedure to conservatively account for possible inhomogeneities is proposed.


1981 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. D. Algeo ◽  
M. B. Denton

A numerical method for evaluating the inverted Abel integral employing cubic spline approximations is described along with a modification of the procedure of Cremers and Birkebak, and an extension of the Barr method. The accuracy of the computations is evaluated at several noise levels and with varying resolution of the input data. The cubic spline method is found to be useful only at very low noise levels, but capable of providing good results with small data sets. The Barr method is computationally the simplest, and is adequate when large data sets are available. For noisy data, the method of Cremers and Birkebak gave the best results.


Author(s):  
D T Pham ◽  
A A Afify

Rule induction as a method for constructing classifiers is particularly attractive in data mining applications, where the comprehensibility of the generated models is very important. Most existing techniques were designed for small data sets and thus are not practical for direct use on very large data sets because of their computational inefficiency. Scaling up rule induction methods to handle such data sets is a formidable challenge. This article presents a new algorithm for rule induction that can efficiently extract accurate and comprehensible models from large and noisy data sets. This algorithm has been tested on several complex data sets, and the results prove that it scales up well and is an extremely effective learner.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Erjia Yan ◽  
Zheng Chen ◽  
Kai Li

Citation sentiment plays an important role in citation analysis and scholarly communication research, but prior citation sentiment studies have used small data sets and relied largely on manual annotation. This paper uses a large data set of PubMed Central (PMC) full-text publications and analyzes citation sentiment in more than 32 million citances within PMC, revealing citation sentiment patterns at the journal and discipline levels. This paper finds a weak relationship between a journal’s citation impact (as measured by CiteScore) and the average sentiment score of citances to its publications. When journals are aggregated into quartiles based on citation impact, we find that journals in higher quartiles are cited more favorably than those in the lower quartiles. Further, social science journals are found to be cited with higher sentiment, followed by engineering and natural science and biomedical journals, respectively. This result may be attributed to disciplinary discourse patterns in which social science researchers tend to use more subjective terms to describe others’ work than do natural science or biomedical researchers.


2008 ◽  
Vol 130 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stuart Holdsworth

The European Creep Collaborative Committee (ECCC) approach to creep data assessment has now been established for almost ten years. The methodology covers the analysis of rupture strength and ductility, creep strain, and stress relaxation data, for a range of material conditions. This paper reviews the concepts and procedures involved. The original approach was devised to determine data sheets for use by committees responsible for the preparation of National and International Design and Product Standards, and the methods developed for data quality evaluation and data analysis were therefore intentionally rigorous. The focus was clearly on the determination of long-time property values from the largest possible data sets involving a significant number of observations in the mechanism regime for which predictions were required. More recently, the emphasis has changed. There is now an increasing requirement for full property descriptions from very short times to very long and hence the need for much more flexible model representations than were previously required. There continues to be a requirement for reliable long-time predictions from relatively small data sets comprising relatively short duration tests, in particular, to exploit new alloy developments at the earliest practical opportunity. In such circumstances, it is not feasible to apply the same degree of rigor adopted for large data set assessment. Current developments are reviewed.


Author(s):  
John A. Hunt

Spectrum-imaging is a useful technique for comparing different processing methods on very large data sets which are identical for each method. This paper is concerned with comparing methods of electron energy-loss spectroscopy (EELS) quantitative analysis on the Al-Li system. The spectrum-image analyzed here was obtained from an Al-10at%Li foil aged to produce δ' precipitates that can span the foil thickness. Two 1024 channel EELS spectra offset in energy by 1 eV were recorded and stored at each pixel in the 80x80 spectrum-image (25 Mbytes). An energy range of 39-89eV (20 channels/eV) are represented. During processing the spectra are either subtracted to create an artifact corrected difference spectrum, or the energy offset is numerically removed and the spectra are added to create a normal spectrum. The spectrum-images are processed into 2D floating-point images using methods and software described in [1].


Author(s):  
Thomas W. Shattuck ◽  
James R. Anderson ◽  
Neil W. Tindale ◽  
Peter R. Buseck

Individual particle analysis involves the study of tens of thousands of particles using automated scanning electron microscopy and elemental analysis by energy-dispersive, x-ray emission spectroscopy (EDS). EDS produces large data sets that must be analyzed using multi-variate statistical techniques. A complete study uses cluster analysis, discriminant analysis, and factor or principal components analysis (PCA). The three techniques are used in the study of particles sampled during the FeLine cruise to the mid-Pacific ocean in the summer of 1990. The mid-Pacific aerosol provides information on long range particle transport, iron deposition, sea salt ageing, and halogen chemistry.Aerosol particle data sets suffer from a number of difficulties for pattern recognition using cluster analysis. There is a great disparity in the number of observations per cluster and the range of the variables in each cluster. The variables are not normally distributed, they are subject to considerable experimental error, and many values are zero, because of finite detection limits. Many of the clusters show considerable overlap, because of natural variability, agglomeration, and chemical reactivity.


Author(s):  
Mykhajlo Klymash ◽  
Olena Hordiichuk — Bublivska ◽  
Ihor Tchaikovskyi ◽  
Oksana Urikova

In this article investigated the features of processing large arrays of information for distributed systems. A method of singular data decomposition is used to reduce the amount of data processed, eliminating redundancy. Dependencies of com­putational efficiency on distributed systems were obtained using the MPI messa­ging protocol and MapReduce node interaction software model. Were analyzed the effici­ency of the application of each technology for the processing of different sizes of data: Non — distributed systems are inefficient for large volumes of information due to low computing performance. It is proposed to use distributed systems that use the method of singular data decomposition, which will reduce the amount of information processed. The study of systems using the MPI protocol and MapReduce model obtained the dependence of the duration calculations time on the number of processes, which testify to the expediency of using distributed computing when processing large data sets. It is also found that distributed systems using MapReduce model work much more efficiently than MPI, especially with large amounts of data. MPI makes it possible to perform calculations more efficiently for small amounts of information. When increased the data sets, advisable to use the Map Reduce model.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 (6) ◽  
pp. 38-39
Author(s):  
Austa Parker ◽  
Yan Qu ◽  
David Hokanson ◽  
Jeff Soller ◽  
Eric Dickenson ◽  
...  

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