Toward a unified dilution effect theory: How competence, competition, and the transmission mechanism influence disease prevalence
ABSTRACTBiodiversity in communities is changing globally, including the gain and loss of host species in host-pathogen communities. The dilution effect argues for a mechanistic link between increased host diversity and decreased disease in a focal host. However, we currently have a limited understanding of how the pathogen transmission mechanism and between-host interactions influence whether increased host diversity leads to increased (amplification) or decreased (dilution) infection prevalence. We use a two-host-one-pathogen model to unify theory for pathogens with environmental transmission and density-dependent and frequency-dependent direct transmission. We then identify general rules governing how the pathogen transmission mechanism and characteristics of the introduced host (disease competence and competitive ability) influence whether the introduction of a second host species increases or decreases disease prevalence in a focal host. We discuss how our results yield insight into how specific biological mechanisms shape host biodiversity-disease patterns.