Demographic features and mortality risks in smallholder poultry farms of the Mekong river delta region

This study describes the demographic structure and dynamics of small scale poultry farms of the Mekong river delta region, one of the world's highest-risk regions for avian influenza outbreaks. Fifty farms were monitored over a 20-month period, with farm sizes, species, age, arrival/departure of poultry, and farm management practices recorded monthly. The history of poultry flocks in the sampled farms was recovered using a flock-matching algorithm. Median flock population sizes were 16 for chickens (IQR: 10 - 40), 32 for ducks (IQR: 18 - 101) and 11 for Muscovy ducks (IQR: 7 - 18); farm size distributions for the three species were heavily right-skewed. There was substantial flock overlap on almost all farms, with only one farm practicing an all-in-all-out management system. The rate of interspecific contacts was high, with two out of three farms housing at least two bird species. Among poultry species, demographic dynamics varied. Muscovy ducks were kept for long periods, in small numbers and outdoors, while chickens and ducks were farmed in larger numbers, indoors or in pens, with more rapid flock turnover. Most chicks were sold young to be fattened on other farms, and broiler and layer ducks had a short production period and higher degree of specialization. The rate of mortality due to disease did not differ much among species, with birds being less likely to die from disease at older ages, but frequency of disease symptoms differed by species. Time series of disease-associated mortality and population size were correlated for Muscovy ducks (Kendall's coefficient = 0.49, p value < 0.01).