Individualism, synchronized stock price movements, and stock market volatility

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 371-403
Author(s):  
Feng Zhan

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of national culture on herding behavior across international financial markets.Design/methodology/approachThe relation between national culture and investor behavior, and how it impacts overall market volatility is studied by examining synchronized stock price movements and stock market volatility in 47 countries around the world over the period of January 2003–May 2012.FindingsThe author finds that nations with lower values of individualistic culture are more likely to have a higher number of synchronized stock price movements. Further, the correlation between stock price movements apparently increases stock market volatility. Nations with high individualistic culture have a lower number of synchronized stock price movements and, thus, have lower levels of stock market volatility. The positive relationship between synchronized stock price movements and stock market volatility is stronger for emerging markets during the financial crisis from June 2007 to December 2008.Originality/valueThe empirical results in this paper indicate that a portion of the difference in market level volatility is attributed to the investor bias of different cultures. Investor behavior bias creates excess volatility that drives stock prices away from fundamentals. This impact is strong in nations with lower individualistic culture. The result from this research could also have a wide implication in the investment industry.

foresight ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jitendra Kumar Dixit ◽  
Vivek Agrawal

Purpose Volatility is a permanent behavior of the stock market around the globe. The presence of the volatility in the stock price makes it possible to earn abnormal profits by risk seeking investors and creates hesitancy among risk averse investors as high volatility means high return with high risk. Investors always consider market volatility before making any investment decisions. Random fluctuations are termed as volatility of stock market. Volatility in financial markets is reflected because of uncertainty in the price and return, unexpected events and non-constant variance that can be measured through the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity family models and that will give an insight for investment decision-making. Design/methodology/approach Daily data of the closing value of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) (Sensex) and National Stock Exchange (NSE) (Nifty) from April 1, 2011 to March 31, 2017 is collected through the web-portal of BSE (www.bseindia.com) and NSE (www.nseindia.com) for the analysis purpose. Findings The outcome of the study suggested that P-GARCH model is most suitable to predict and forecast the stock market volatility for both the markets. Research limitations/implications Future research can be extended to other stock market segments and sectoral indices to explore and forecast the volatility to establish a trade-off between risk and return. Originality/value The results of previous studies available are not conducive to this research, and very limited scholarly work is available in the Indian context, so required to be re-explored to identify the appropriate model to predict market volatility.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Agung Novianto Margarena ◽  
Arian Agung Prasetiyawan

This study was conducted due to differences in the study results inseveral countries related to the effect of the match results on stockmovements. Dimic et. al (2019) stated the match results effect themovement of stock prices, while Mishra & Smyth (2010) stated thevice versa. Then, Floros (2014) put forward different results throughthe study of four clubs in four European countries. Thus, this studyreexamines the effect of the match results on the stock pricemovement of Bali United. Moreover, Bali United is the first SoutheastAsian football club to be listed on the stock market. This study uses aquantitative method with a sample of 31 Bali United’s matches afterlisted on the stock market. The data were analyzed using simple linearregression with SPSS 21 with either won, drawn or lost match resultsrepresented by goal margins. The stock price movements arerepresented by stock prices after the results of the match. It was foundthat the results of the match had a positive effect on the stockmovement of Bali United


Significance Beijing's supportive policies are likely to stabilise the market, and structural tailwinds will probably reflate it eventually. Stock market volatility is likely to have limited ramifications for the wider economy unless it is prolonged. Impacts Downward pressure will last until margin traders have unwound their positions, a mechanical process over which Beijing has little control. Foreign-listed Chinese firms may reconsider plans to de-list abroad and re-list in China. Capital account and currency liberalisation will resume, in pursuit of Beijing's goal of achieving IMF reserve currency status.


Corpora ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 343-354
Author(s):  
Fernando J. Vieira da Silva ◽  
Norton T. Roman ◽  
Ariadne M.B.R. Carvalho

As stock trading became a popular topic on Twitter, many researchers have proposed different approaches to make predictions on it, relying on the emotions found in messages. However, detailed studies require a reasonably sized corpus with emotions properly annotated. In this work, we introduce a corpus of tweets in Brazilian Portuguese annotated with emotions. Comprising 4,277 tweets, this is, to the best of our knowledge, the largest annotated corpus available in the stock market domain for this language. Amongst its possible uses, the corpus lends itself to the application of machine learning models for automatic emotion identification, as well as to the study of correlations between emotions and stock price movements.


2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 68-93
Author(s):  
Naliniprava Tripathy ◽  
Ashish Garg

This paper forecasts the stock market volatility of six emerging countries by using daily observations of indices over the period of January 1999 to May 2010 by using ARCH, GARCH, GARCH-M, EGARCH and TGARCH models. The study reveals the positive relationship between stock return and risk only in Brazilian stock market. The analysis exhibits that the volatility shocks are quite persistent in all country’s stock market. Further the asymmetric GARCH models find a significant evidence of asymmetry in stock returns in all six country’s stock markets. This study confirms the presence of leverage effect in the returns series and indicates that bad news generate more impact on the volatility of the stock price in the market. The study concludes that volatility increases disproportionately with negative shocks in stock returns. Hence investors are advised to use investment strategies by analyzing recent and historical news and forecast the future market movement while selecting portfolio for efficient management of financial risks to reap benefits in the stock markets.


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