Norway's defence focus will shift to the High North

Subject Norway's defence policy. Significance The 'Long-Term Plan for the Norwegian Armed Forces for the Years 2017-2020', released on June 17, sets the tone for Oslo's current and future defence policy. It announces a significant spending increase dedicated primarily to procuring key capabilities. It also solidifies Norway's strategic orientation to the High North, a process which has been under way for some time after a decade of expeditionary operations in places such as Afghanistan. Impacts The plan will support increasing cooperation among NATO's northern members, including the United Kingdom, Denmark, Iceland and Canada. A greater focus on the High North may further strain NATO's relations with Russia. Norway's increased defence spending may raise US pressure on other NATO countries to do the same.

Significance Depending on the outcome, the United Kingdom's relation with its largest trading partner may be at risk, together with the City of London's role as a financial hub and the ability of EU citizens to work freely in the United Kingdom. Impacts In the event of Brexit, the pound could fall to 1.3 against the dollar and towards parity against the euro. Despite having sold off already, UK bank stocks could fall further in the case of Brexit. Given Scotland's pro-EU stance, an 'out' vote could reopen the debate about Scottish independence.


Significance This case adds to a growing list of incidents, including the abduction of five Hong Kong booksellers by mainland agents in 2015, that feed fears in Hong Kong that Beijing is undermining the autonomy the city was promised when the UK government handed it over to China in 1997. Impacts The United Kingdom is unlikely to escalate disputes over Beijing's adherence to the handover treaty since doing so might backfire. Evidence of China interfering with business in Hong Kong would be far more economically damaging than targeted political repression. Even limited encroachments by Beijing will increase pessimism about the city's long-term future and make young people keener to emigrate.


Subject Turkey’s failure to attract and retain FDI. Significance Turkey has long failed to match its peers in attracting outside investment, which peaked in 2007; there is no sign of any return to that level. More worryingly, in the past two years, a number of high-profile investors have announced plans to leave. Other investors are privately expressing growing concern at seizures of companies and assets belonging to people alleged to be connected to the July 2016 failed coup, and at the strength of government anti-Western rhetoric. Impacts The level of FDI in manufacturing and business operations is likely to remain stagnant. Investors will be wary of committing to a country where they are unsure of their welcome over the long term. Political uncertainties in the United Kingdom, France, Germany and over the direction of US policy will affect Turkey’s main sources of FDI.


2014 ◽  
Vol 100 (3) ◽  
pp. 268-271
Author(s):  
JS Glennie ◽  
R Milner

AbstractNon-freezing cold injury can be a diagnostic challenge for clinicians in the United Kingdom Armed Forces. It is associated with operations in adverse climatic conditions, and may result in significant long-term morbidity. In this article we discuss the operational importance of this condition and the current best practice in its management and prevention.


Subject Economic impact of Brexit. Significance The latest Brexit deal differs significantly from that agreed by former Prime Minister Theresa May. The United Kingdom (except for Northern Ireland) will leave the EU’s customs territory. Moreover, if the UK government refuses to sign up to “level playing field” provisions, any future EU-UK trade deal is likely to be considerably more limited in scope. As a result, the long-term economic impact of Brexit will be greater. Impacts The key issue concerning trade talks is the extent to which London is prepared to accept constraints on its future regulatory flexibility. Substantial regulatory divergence could damage future UK-EU security and defence cooperation. It is possible that the United Kingdom will leave the EU at the end of 2020 without a trade deal in place.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 454-484 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Dunbar

In spite of the long-term dominance in Britain and Ireland of English, other indigenous languages continue to be spoken, and in relatively recent years several of those languages have benefited not only from a more coherent and supportive language policy but also from significant language legislation. One of the interesting features of these other indigenous languages is that, although strongly associated with rural ‘heartlands’ in the particular jurisdictions with which they are associated, they are also spoken in other parts of those jurisdictions, and, indeed, in other parts of the United Kingdom and Ireland. In this article, the ways in which the concept of territoriality has impacted upon legislation and on broader policy for two of these languages, Irish and Scottish Gaelic, will be considered.


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