Gambian election presages authoritarian turn

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Term Limit ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Coup Risk ◽  
Alliance Building

Significance His main rival, Ousainou Darboe, placed a distant second with just under 28%. The result relates more to popular rejection of Darboe and savvy alliance-building than a popular endorsement of Barrow’s five years in office, which have been marred by scandals and broken electoral promises. Impacts Without a term limit for the presidency, Barrow is now poised to prolong his stay in office. The continued presence of regional forces will mitigate a coup risk. Barrow will apply the recommendations of the Truth, Reconciliation and Reparations Commission (TRRC) selectively to protect close allies.

Dealing with surprise attacks: decomposing ERM as a dynamic capability to handle crises

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vishnu Chandar Venkatesh ◽  
Meeta Dasgupta ◽  
Anupama Prashar ◽  
Torben Juul Andersen
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Small And Medium Enterprises ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Dynamic Capability ◽  
Expert Interviews ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Intelligence Gathering ◽  
Enterprise Risk ◽  
Medium Enterprises ◽  
Alliance Building

PurposeTurbulent hypercompetitive market conditions make small and medium enterprises (SMEs) vulnerable to abrupt crises caused by unexpected competitor moves. In these situations, enterprise risk management (ERM) can serve as a dynamic capability (DC) to overcome the impending crisis and improve SMEs' survival rates. To explore this capacity, which has only been vaguely addressed in prior research, we conduct an exploratory, abductive study to update the extant (ERM and DC) literature with empirical evidence from expert interviews.Design/methodology/approachWe conduct an exploratory, abductive study using empirical evidence from expert interviews.FindingsOur findings reveal ERM as a second-order DC in the micro-foundational components of competitive intelligence gathering, alliance building and integrative capabilities. We find that competitive intensity and government policy moderate the effects of these foundational capabilities. Finally, our study proposes a survivability model that provides new valuable knowledge of ERM as a DC for SMEs to deal with competition-driven crises.Originality/valueThis research survivability model shows how ERM as DC can facilitate the survivability of SMEs against competitive surprises. Although restricted to crises arising out of competitive surprises, this study provides valuable knowledge to the literature on what type of DCs are useful for specific situations. The study findings not only extended Teece's (2007) DCs framework to competitive crises but also placed it within a hierarchy of capabilities. The research findings indicate that an ERM culture in SMEs promote the growth and development of sensing, seizing and reconfiguring capabilities, vital for tiding competitive crises.

Escape adds to Pena Nieto's credibility deficit

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
Simple Majority ◽  
Green Party ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Institutional Revolutionary Party ◽  
Reform Programme ◽  
Revolutionary Party ◽  
Alliance Building ◽  
Chamber Of Deputies

Significance The embarrassing jailbreak tarnishes the mandate Mexico's mid-term election gave the administration of President Enrique Pena Nieto to consolidate its reform programme. Furthermore, while the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) -- in alliance with the Mexican Green Party (PVEM) and New Alliance Party (PANAL) -- secured a simple majority in the Chamber of Deputies, overall trends show a steady decline of the PRI, and a failure to address some serious credibility gaps. Impacts The PRI's increasing dependence on alliance-building may preclude further fragmentation of Mexico's main parties. As corruption and human rights scandals intensify, PRI-PVEM-PANAL electoral prospects may suffer. El Chapo's escape will severely damage faith in Pena Nieto's ability to tackle insecurity.

Togo’s president will face mounting opposition

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Political Climate ◽  
Term Limit ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Constitutional Reforms ◽  
The Imf

Subject Togolese constitutional crisis. Significance The main opposition coalition has rejected President Faure Gnassingbe's recent calls for dialogue to end a long-running political impasse over his continued tenure in office. Faure, in power since 2005 and currently in a controversial third term, has reluctantly agreed to constitutional reforms -- including the introduction of a two-round presidential vote and a two-term presidential limit. However, Faure wants the two-term limit to take effect in 2020, potentially giving him the chance to stay in power until 2030, while the opposition insists the limit must apply retrospectively. Impacts Military backing of the incumbent makes the prospect of a coup unlikely. The uncertain political climate and recurring protests could undermine a fiscal consolidation programme with the IMF. The Togolese diaspora will increase global attention on the crisis and pressure on international governments to intervene.

Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2018

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Great Lakes ◽  
East Africa ◽  
Democratic Republic ◽  
South Sudan ◽  
Democratic Legitimacy ◽  
Term Limit ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Political Conflicts ◽  
Moderate Growth ◽  
Republic Of The Congo

Subject Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2018. Significance Questions of democratic legitimacy and transition will dominate the outlook for East Africa and the Great Lakes over the coming year, in the context of election controversies (Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Kenya), constitutional term-limit issues (Burundi, DRC, Rwanda, Uganda) and deepening political conflicts (Ethiopia, Somalia, South Sudan). Receding economic headwinds will support a moderate growth recovery for several states (Ethiopia, Rwanda, Uganda), but political risk will weigh on the outlook for others (Burundi, DRC, Kenya, South Sudan).

Rising Guinean instability will prompt uprising fears

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Civil Society ◽  
Public Sector ◽  
Political Instability ◽  
Term Limit ◽  
Security Forces ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Political Crises ◽  
History Of ◽  
Step Down

Significance The FNDC, comprising the main opposition parties and civil society groups, claims that Conde favours a new constiitution to get around the two-term limit that would oblige him to step down this year. They have vowed to intensify demonstrations until the proposal is abandoned. The worsening unrest is prompting growing disquiet regionally and among the country’s international partners. Impacts Rising political instability, coupled with increased public-sector unrest, will hinder economic growth this year. Concerns will grow over potential military upheaval given the security forces’ history of intervening during political crises. The bulk of unrest will likely be centred on suburbs of the capital Conakry and towns with strong opposition support.

Rwanda's leader moves to get ahead of term limit issue

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Term Limit ◽  
Content Type

Headline RWANDA: Leader moves to get ahead of term limit issue

Africa term limit block belies shifting regional views

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Term Limit ◽  
Content Type

Headline AFRICA: Term limit block belies shifting regional view

Prolongment of Maldives emergency raises coup risk

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Content Type ◽  
Coup Risk

Headline MALDIVES: Prolongment of emergency raises coup risk

US Democrats' term-limit idea push-back is likely

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Term Limit ◽  
Content Type

Headline UNITED STATES: Dems' term-limit idea push-back likely

Basave will struggle to fix reputation of Mexico's PRD

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Content Type ◽  
Electoral Coalitions ◽  
Democratic Revolution ◽  
Left Party ◽  
Alliance Building ◽  
Electoral Performance

Subject The PRD's electoral hopes. Significance Mexico's main centre-left Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) elected congressman Agustin Basave as its new Chairman on November 7. He takes the helm of a party facing a crisis of credibility, ineffective electoral performance and acute internal divisions. Impacts To have any hope of securing a governorship in 2016, the PRD will have to form electoral coalitions. However, alliances with the PAN may exacerbate perceptions of an ideological vacuum in the PRD. Should internal disagreements over alliance-building worsen, the party could suffer further defections to MORENA.

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