Russian car sales to fall as buyers face income shock

Keyword(s):  

Headline RUSSIA: Car sales to fall as buyers face income shock

Subject The platinum market outlook. Significance After declining in 2015, the platinum price has remained modest this year, underperforming other mined commodities. The closely watched ratio to the gold price is near a historic low. Demand from the automotive sector has yet to recover from emission test scandals, despite car sales in China growing by 15.6% year-on-year in the first eleven months of 2016. South African miners are capital-constrained and the global market is currently estimated to be in a supply deficit of around 500 thousand ounces (koz). However, registered above-ground stocks are still significant at 1.9 million ounces (moz). Impacts Higher steel prices may increase scrap-steel demand, which may boost vehicle scrapping and increase recycling of platinum auto-catalysts. World leader Amplats will lose 75 koz of refined platinum production following a leak at the Waterval smelter. Production of alluvial platinum in the far east of Russia is entering terminal decline after two decades of operation.


Significance New car sales in Russia are rising for the first time since 2012 with a 5% year-on-year increase reported for January-May. Despite the automotive sector slump of 2014-15, most foreign companies with existing manufacturing or assembly capacity have taken the long view and remained in the market. Impacts Russian-badged cars will remain market leaders due to their affordability. Growth in local automobile manufacturing will provide additional impetus to related sectors such as metallurgy and chemical industries. Energy ministry projections that Russia might have 200,000 electric vehicles by 2020 seem overly optimistic.


Keyword(s):  

Headline CHINA: The coronavirus will cut early 2020 car sales


2017 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 2-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric Akobeng

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of illness-driven agriculture income shocks on remittance payments in Ghana using a nationally representative household pseudo-panel data set for 1991/1992, 1998/1999 and 2005/2006. Design/methodology/approach The two-stage least square instrumental variable technique is used. This is compared with the ordinary least squares estimator. Findings The author finds that households in Ghana use remittances to protect themselves from negative agriculture income shocks. The study further reveals that the protection is resilient in female-headed households. Research limitations/implications The question of remittances as a safety net mechanism is interesting, but the limitation is the challenges involving the counterfactual setup in studying the effects of endogenous migration choices. Practical implications The study provides that, as far as microeconomic factors are concerned, remittances increase in times of negative agriculture income shocks attributed to illness in Ghana. Social implications The finding points to the fact that remittance payments play an essential role as an informal safety net during illness-driven agriculture income shock especially for female-headed households in Ghana. This has an important implication for poverty reduction in Ghana. Originality/value It provides an empirical test of the claim that remittance flows buffer idiosyncratic shock with micro-level household data that incorporates both internal and international remittances. The paper introduces gender dimension into idiosyncratic shocks’ impact. Also, the data set makes it possible to provide a reliable set of agriculture income shock estimates.


Significance Supply this year has been mildly affected by pandemic disruption, and inventories have fallen due to lower levels of recycling. Demand has been tempered by weak automobile sales, although rising emissions standards should mean that more palladium is needed for every hybrid, diesel or petrol car that is produced. Impacts Low confidence and high uncertainty are weighing on car sales; the annual rate of US car sales is 25% lower in 2020 than in recent years. With metal prices high and automakers under cost pressure, thrifting and substitution in auto-catalysts are the main threats to palladium. High palladium prices make stealing catalytic converters worthwhile: 8,248 cars were stolen in London last year, a sevenfold increase.


Keyword(s):  

Headline ARGENTINA/BRAZIL: New car sales will stay depressed


Subject Anti-money laundering efforts. Significance July 17 will mark two years since the 'Federal Law for the Prevention and Identification of Operations with Illicit Resources' came into force. The law regulates sectors considered susceptible to money laundering, such as property development, construction, car sales and art sales which were left out of earlier legislation on financial transactions. The provisions -- enacted by the President Enrique Pena Nieto government -- were welcomed by international regulators such as the Financial Action Task Force, which, in its February 2014 evaluation report, said that Mexico had successfully addressed most of its outstanding recommendations. Impacts High demand for illegal narcotics will continue to fuel money laundering despite improved laws. Anti-laundering legislation will have mixed effects in both financial and non-financial sectors. The finance ministry and Financial Intelligence Unit are receptive to feedback, amending regulation accordingly. The legislation's unintended consequences in the banking sector have been compounded by stringent foreign anti-laundering provisions.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivia Hye Kim

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine whether participating informality is attributed to income shocks such as wage arrears, unexpected wage cuts or compulsory unpaid leaves. The current research uses Russia longitudinal Monitoring Survey 2002–2015.Design/methodology/approachUsing formal jobs as the base category, the authors conducted pooled multinomial logit regressions allowing for the two additional employment statuses: workers without contracts and unincorporated business workers.FindingsThe overall results mainly suggest that no effects occur. In other words, unexpected negative income shocks are not the main driving force of informality. Although the majority of previous studies are based on survey questions on unexpected income shock which has sample selection bias, to obtain robustness, the current study used Russian minimum wage reforms as income shocks. This research shows that Russian minimum wage reform does not affect the decision of informality in the labor market.Research limitations/implicationsGiven the data limitations, the authors only observed and examined the supply-side of the labor market. Tax-evading motives would be the main reason for informality; to ensure this conjecture, however, demand and supply sides need to be simultaneously examined which is beyond the scope of this study.Originality/valueIn contrast to a large number of studies on cross-sectional differences in determinants of informal job holding, emphasis on the effects of income shocks on informal employment across business cycles has been minimal. The current study focuses on the business cycles because trends of informal employment can be interpreted differently regardless of whether in an economic boom or recession. Russia, as a unique natural experiment, provides us to examine informal job holdings over the business cycle.


Author(s):  
Jeeyun Oh ◽  
Mun-Young Chung ◽  
Sangyong Han

Despite of the popularity of interactive movie trailers, rigorous research on one of the most apparent features of these interfaces – the level of user control – has been scarce. This study explored the effects of user control on users’ immersion and enjoyment of the movie trailers, moderated by the content type. We conducted a 2 (high user control versus low user control) × 2 (drama film trailer versus documentary film trailer) mixed-design factorial experiment. The results showed that the level of user control over movie trailer interfaces decreased users’ immersion when the trailer had an element of traditional story structure, such as a drama film trailer. Participants in the high user control condition answered that they were less fascinated with, absorbed in, focused on, mentally involved with, and emotionally affected by the movie trailer than participants in the low user control condition only with the drama movie trailer. The negative effects of user control on the level of immersion for the drama trailer translated into users’ enjoyment. The impact of user control over interfaces on immersion and enjoyment varies depending on the nature of the media content, which suggests a possible trade-off between the level of user control and entertainment outcomes.


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