Stock price prediction based on Grey Relational Analysis and support vector regression

Author(s):  
Xianxian Hou ◽  
Shaohan Zhu ◽  
Li Xia ◽  
Gang Wu
Author(s):  
Razana Alwee ◽  
Siti Mariyam Hj Shamsuddin ◽  
Roselina Sallehuddin

Features selection is very important in the multivariate models because the accuracy of forecasting results produced by the model are highly dependent on these selected features. The purpose of this study is to propose grey relational analysis and support vector regression for features selection. The features are economic indicators that are used to forecast property crime rate. Grey relational analysis selects the best data series to represent each economic indicator and rank the economic indicators according to its importance to the property crime rate. Next, the support vector regression is used to select the significant economic indicators where particle swarm optimization estimates the parameters of support vector regression. In this study, we use unemployment rate, consumer price index, gross domestic product and consumer sentiment index as the economic indicators, as well as property crime rate for the United States. From our experiments, we found that the gross domestic product, unemployment rate and consumer price index are the most influential economic indicators. The proposed method is also found to produce better forecasting accuracy as compared to multiple linear regressions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zuherman Rustam ◽  
Puteri Kintandani

Stock investing is one of the most popular types of investments since it provides the highest return among all investment types; however, it is also associated with considerable risk. Fluctuating stock prices provide an opportunity for investors to make a high profit. We can see the movement of groups of stock prices from the stock index, which is called Jakarta Composite Index (JKSE) in Indonesia. Several studies have focused on the prediction of stock prices using machine learning, while one uses support vector regression (SVR). Therefore, this study examines the application of SVR and particle swarm optimisation (PSO) in predicting stock prices using stock historical data and several technical indicators, which are selected using PSO. Subsequently, a support vector machine (SVM) was applied to predict stock prices with the technical indicator selected by PSO as the predictor. The study found that stock price prediction using SVR and PSO shows good performances for all data, and many features and training data used by the study have relatively low error probabilities. Thereby, an accurate model was obtained to predict stock prices in Indonesia.


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