Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Trade Openness, and its Impact on Indonesian Exchange Rate

Author(s):  
Chenny Seftarita ◽  
Ferayanti ◽  
Fitriyani ◽  
Asri Diana
1991 ◽  
Vol 137 ◽  
pp. 59-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
K.B. Church ◽  
P.R. Mitchell ◽  
D.S. Turner ◽  
K.F. Wallis ◽  
J.D. Whitley

This article describes the current versions of six leading macroeconometric models, focusing on their treatment of several current policy issues, namely the role of the housing market, the implications of ERM membership and, more generally, the relative effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy. Differences in the modelling of the housing sector and the exchange rate are important in explaining differences in overall model properties which are revealed in standard policy simulations. Monetary policy is more potent than in previous versions of the models, which has important implications for the conduct of macroeconomic policy under ERM membership.


1984 ◽  
Vol 107 ◽  
pp. 5-27

An overall perspective. Fiscal and monetary policy. Components of demand: consumers' expenditure, fixed investment, stockbuilding and foreign trade. Inflation. Balance of payments and the exchange rate. Company profits and liquidity. Unemployment. Individual industries. Forecasts and outturns.


Author(s):  
Charles Byaruhanga ◽  
Mark Henstridge ◽  
Louis Kasekende

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 19-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrii Polchanov

The article is devoted to the study of fiscal and monetary components of state`s financial policy and their coordination after the completion of hostilities. The urgency of the topic is determined by the need to find an optimal (in terms of economic system) strategy of interaction between the government and the central bank in the conditions of post-conflict recovery. The purpose of the article is to summarize the world experience of formation of fiscal and monetary policy as well as their coordination in order to effectively overcome the consequences of military conflicts. The author analyzes the data on the post-war development of 12 countries that succeeded in restoring their national economies during the first decade after the end of hostilities (Angola, Cambodia, the Republic of Congo, Croatia, Georgia, Indonesia, Liberia, Macedonia, Serbia, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Tajikistan) As a result, the author discovers a gradual transition from the fixed and regulated exchange rate regime to the floating exchange rate in the long-term perspective, reduction of inflation and interest rates on loans, as well as a gradual increase of GDP and the net inflow of foreign direct investments, while the share of tax revenues and public expenditures in GDP remained stable. On the basis of generalization of the world experience the conclusion was made about the key role of central banks in ensuring economic growth in the context of post-conflict recovery by ensuring price stability and stimulating lending. In addition, the importance of geographic location and availability of natural resources in the restoration of the national economy of some countries was emphasized.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andysah Putera Utama Siahaan

This study examines whether economic stability in Indonesia capable predicted by the model Mundell-Fleming. Prediction proxy stability of the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy. During Indonesia's economic stability is largely determined by the strength of economic fundamentals, while economic fundamentals are strongly influenced by fiscal and monetary policies. Therefore flemming Mundell predicts how strong the economic stability in Indonesia ?, the statement in the analysis by using a long-term predictions are Vector Autoregression. Research findings indicate patterns of interaction predictions variety of fiscal and monetary policy, both short term, medium term and long term. It turned out that fiscal policies are derived from taxes are more effective than government spending to control economic growth, investment and inflation, but government spending is more effective to control the exchange rate. The monetary policy of interest rates more effectively control the exchange rate and inflation, while the money supply is more effective in controlling the growth of economy and investment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 108-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tafajul Hossain ◽  
Biswajit Maitra

This article examines the role of monetary policy and trade openness to raise income in India for the monetary-targeting regime and the multiple-indicator approach regime of monetary policy. The impact of the key instruments of monetary policy, namely, money supply, interest rate and exchange rate, with trade openness on income, is assessed. Besides, how interest rate responds to monetary instruments, income and trade openness is studied. Empirical analysis finds a significant positive impact of the broad money supply, both in the short run and the long run, along with a negative long-run impact of the real interest rate and a positive impact of the real effective exchange rate in the variations of income. On the other hand, trade openness contributes to a rise in income in the short run, while its impact on the long run is negative. The interest rate has also responded to policy instruments, income and openness which indicates that the monetary policy is effective over the two monetary regimes.


2005 ◽  
Vol 50 (165) ◽  
pp. 145-164 ◽  
Author(s):  
Goran Nikolic

This paper presents a survey of a great number of recent studies which investigate relation between trade (trade openness) and economic growth by means of regression analysis. On the basis of this research, it can be concluded that there are no firm connections between foreign trade and growth but prevailing majority of studies show positive and statistically revealed moderately significant impact of foreign trade (trade openness) on growth. For developing and transition countries (such as Serbia), a more consistent trade liberalization would produce higher and hopefully sustainable growth of GDP, with reliance on prudent fiscal and monetary policy, stable and undiscriminatory foreign exchange rate and a lower level of corruption.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Ashamu Sikiru O.

This research work investigated the impact of monetary policy on foreign trade in Nigeria during the period 1981 to 2017. The research made use of secondary data which are collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria, Statistical Bulletin (2017). The model obtained from the result represents a Error Correction Model (ECM) which relates the dependent variable (Net Import) to several predictor variables Money Supply, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Openness. From the findings of the study, the error correction term (speed of adjustment towards equilibrium) value of -0.53581 is significant at 5% and implies that there is a long run causality running from monetary policy   activities measures of foreign trade. However, only all the variable was used in the study was significant at 5% level of significance. This implies that monetary policy in Nigeria has a positive influence on foreign trade within the period, except for interest rate that has a negative coefficient and not significant. In conclusion, these intermediate variables of monetary, the exchange rate arguably have a huge impact on the economy because of its effect on the value of local currency, domestic inflation, macroeconomic credibility, capital flows and financial stability. Increased exchange rate directly affects the prices of imported commodities and an increase in the price of imported goods and services contributes directly to increase in inflation. Based on the analysis, the study concluded that there is significance relationship between money supply and net import in Nigeria and also that there is relationship between foreign direct investment and net import in Nigeria. The study also shows that there is relationship between trade openness and net import in Nigeria.


Significance The moves followed a peso depreciation of nearly 21% during the last week of August. The measures aim to ease investor doubts over the government’s ability to overcome the financial crisis given its political weakness, different viewpoints within the economic team and its erratic fiscal and monetary policy. The IMF is expected to confirm that it will release the funds necessary to avoid a possible new sovereign default. Impacts Exchange rate weakness will drive inflation, while the fiscal adjustment will boost unemployment and deepen the recession. Early IMF disbursements will ease concerns for 2019, but doubts will surge if the government fails to achieve ambitious fiscal targets. Social protests will escalate, possibly putting governability at risk.


2010 ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
K. Yudaeva

The level of trust in the local currency in Russia is very low largely because of relatively high inflation. As a result, Bank of Russia during crisis times can not afford monetary policy loosening and has to fight devaluation expectations. To change the situation in the post-crisis period Russia needs to live through a continuous period of low inflation. Modified inflation targeting can help achieve such a result. However, it should be amended with institutional changes, particularly development of hedging instruments.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document