Forecast of Urban Rail Transit Passenger Flow in Holidays Based on Support Vector Machine Model

Author(s):  
Gaoxiang Zhou ◽  
Jinjin Tang
2013 ◽  
Vol 433-435 ◽  
pp. 612-616 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Xia ◽  
Fan Yu Kong ◽  
Song Yuan Xie

This study analyses and compares several forecast methods of urban rail transit passenger flow, and indicates the necessity of forecasting short-term passenger flow. Support vector regression is a promising method for the forecast of passenger flow because it uses a risk function consisting of the empirical error and a regularized term which is based on the structural risk minimization principle. In this paper, the prediction model of urban rail transit passenger flow is constructed. Through the comparison with BP neural networks forecast methods, the experimental results show that applying this method in URT passenger flow forecasting is feasible and it provides a promising alternative to passenger flow prediction.


Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Liying Sui ◽  
Min Zhou ◽  
Hairong Dong

AbstractShort-term passenger flow prediction in urban rail transit plays an important role because it in-forms decision-making on operation scheduling. However, passenger flow prediction is affected by many factors. This study uses the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model (SARIMA) and support vector machines (SVM) to establish a traffic flow prediction model. The model is built using intelligent data provided by a large-scale urban traffic flow warning system, such as accurate passenger flow data, collected using the Internet of things and sensor networks. The model proposed in this paper can adapt to the complexity, nonlinearity, and periodicity of passenger flow in urban rail transit. Test results on a Beijing traffic dataset show that the SARI-MA–SVM model can improve accuracy and reduce errors in traffic prediction. The obtained pre-diction fits well with the measured data. Therefore, the SARIMA–SVM model can fully charac-terize traffic variations and is suitable for passenger flow prediction.


Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 212
Author(s):  
Yu-Wei Liu ◽  
Huan Feng ◽  
Heng-Yi Li ◽  
Ling-Ling Li

Accurate prediction of photovoltaic power is conducive to the application of clean energy and sustainable development. An improved whale algorithm is proposed to optimize the Support Vector Machine model. The characteristic of the model is that it needs less training data to symmetrically adapt to the prediction conditions of different weather, and has high prediction accuracy in different weather conditions. This study aims to (1) select light intensity, ambient temperature and relative humidity, which are strictly related to photovoltaic output power as the input data; (2) apply wavelet soft threshold denoising to preprocess input data to reduce the noise contained in input data to symmetrically enhance the adaptability of the prediction model in different weather conditions; (3) improve the whale algorithm by using tent chaotic mapping, nonlinear disturbance and differential evolution algorithm; (4) apply the improved whale algorithm to optimize the Support Vector Machine model in order to improve the prediction accuracy of the prediction model. The experiment proves that the short-term prediction model of photovoltaic power based on symmetry concept achieves ideal accuracy in different weather. The systematic method for output power prediction of renewable energy is conductive to reducing the workload of predicting the output power and to promoting the application of clean energy and sustainable development.


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