Equipment spare parts demand forecasting model based on grey neural network

Author(s):  
Hui Song ◽  
Cheng Zhang ◽  
Guangyu Liu ◽  
Wukui Zhao
2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Hongjiang Ma ◽  
Xu Luo

The irrationality between the procurement and distribution of the logistics system increases unnecessary circulation links and greatly reduces logistics efficiency, which not only causes a waste of transportation resources, but also increases logistics costs. In order to improve the operation efficiency of the logistics system, based on the improved neural network algorithm, this paper combines the logistic regression algorithm to construct a logistics demand forecasting model based on the improved neural network algorithm. Moreover, according to the characteristics of the complexity of the data in the data mining task itself, this article optimizes the ladder network structure, and combines its supervisory decision-making part with the shallow network to make the model more suitable for logistics demand forecasting. In addition, this paper analyzes the performance of the model based on examples and uses the grey relational analysis method to give the degree of correlation between each influencing factor and logistics demand. The research results show that the model constructed in this paper is reasonable and can be analyzed from a practical perspective.


2014 ◽  
Vol 556-562 ◽  
pp. 5442-5449
Author(s):  
Ya Hong Zhu ◽  
Ji Ping Cao ◽  
Wen Xia Sun ◽  
Yang Tao Fan ◽  
Zhi Hui Zhao

Based on the theory of virtual warehousing, the optimization system for equipment maintenance resources in virtual warehousing is established for the security task of equipment maintenance resources. According to the prediction problems on the spare parts requirements for equipment maintenance in this system, the demand forecasting model, based on the combination of rough sets and grey prediction, is adopted. The results of simulation experiment show that this method applied in equipment maintenance spare resources prediction is reliable and with accurate information. While, the relative error and absolute error of the predictive value and practical value are very small, which shows the prediction model is of high precision for the accurate effect prediction. As a result, this model and algorithum is proved to be effective to provide theoretical and practical support for equipment maintenance spare resources in information warfare.


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