Automated heuristic growing of neural networks for nonlinear time series models

Author(s):  
A. Kalos
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Mostafa Abotaleb ◽  
Tatiana Makarovskikh

COVID-19 is one of the biggest challenges that countries face at the present time, as infections and deaths change daily and because this pandemic has a dynamic spread. Our paper considers two tasks. The first one is to develop a system for modeling COVID-19 based on time-series models due to their accuracy in forecasting COVID-19 cases. We developed an “Epidemic. TA” system using R programming for modeling and forecasting COVID-19 cases. This system contains linear (ARIMA and Holt’s model) and non-linear (BATS, TBATS, and SIR) time-series models and neural network auto-regressive models (NNAR), which allows us to obtain the most accurate forecasts of infections, deaths, and vaccination cases. The second task is the implementation of our system to forecast the risk of the third wave of infections in the Russian Federation.


2000 ◽  
Vol 176 ◽  
pp. 135-136
Author(s):  
Toshiki Aikawa

AbstractSome pulsating post-AGB stars have been observed with an Automatic Photometry Telescope (APT) and a considerable amount of precise photometric data has been accumulated for these stars. The datasets, however, are still sparse, and this is a problem for applying nonlinear time series: for instance, modeling of attractors by the artificial neural networks (NN) to the datasets. We propose the optimization of data interpolations with the genetic algorithm (GA) and the hybrid system combined with NN. We apply this system to the Mackey–Glass equation, and attempt an analysis of the photometric data of post-AGB variables.


Energy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 151 ◽  
pp. 347-357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henrique do Nascimento Camelo ◽  
Paulo Sérgio Lucio ◽  
João Bosco Verçosa Leal Junior ◽  
Paulo Cesar Marques de Carvalho ◽  
Daniel von Glehn dos Santos

1996 ◽  
Vol 63 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim C. Brown ◽  
Paul D. Feigin ◽  
Diana L. Pallant

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