scholarly journals Optimal Wind Power Uncertainty Intervals for Electricity Market Operation

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 199-210 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Wang ◽  
Zhi Zhou ◽  
Audun Botterud ◽  
Kaifeng Zhang
2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Zhenyu Zhao ◽  
Shuguang Yuan ◽  
Qingyun Nie ◽  
Weishang Guo

In a spot wholesale electricity market containing strategic bidding interactions among wind power producers and other participants such as fossil generation companies and distribution companies, the randomly fluctuating natures of wind power hinders not only the modeling and simulating of the dynamic bidding process and equilibrium of the electricity market but also the effectiveness about keeping economy and reliability in market clearing (economic dispatching) corresponding to the independent system operator. Because the gradient descent continuous actor-critic algorithm is demonstrated as an effective method in dealing with Markov’s decision-making problems with continuous state and action spaces and the robust economic dispatch model can optimize the permitted real-time wind power deviation intervals based on wind power producers’ bidding power output, in this paper, considering bidding interactions among wind power producers and other participants, we propose a gradient descent continuous actor-critic algorithm-based hour-ahead electricity market modeling approach with the robust economic dispatch model embedded. Simulations are implemented on the IEEE 30-bus test system, which, to some extent, verifies the market operation economy and the robustness against wind power fluctuations by using our proposed modeling approach.


Author(s):  
Sumit Saroha ◽  
Sanjeev K. Aggarwal

Objective: The estimation accuracy of wind power is an important subject of concern for reliable grid operations and taking part in open access. So, with an objective to improve the wind power forecasting accuracy. Methods: This article presents Wavelet Transform (WT) based General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) with statistical time series input selection technique. Results: The results of the proposed model are compared with four different models namely naïve benchmark model, feed forward neural networks, recurrent neural networks and GRNN on the basis of Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) performance metric. Conclusion: The historical data used by the presented models has been collected from the Ontario Electricity Market for the year 2011 to 2015 and tested for a long time period of more than two years (28 months) from November 2012 to February 2015 with one month estimation moving window.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 4438
Author(s):  
Satyendra Singh ◽  
Manoj Fozdar ◽  
Hasmat Malik ◽  
Maria del Valle Fernández Moreno ◽  
Fausto Pedro García Márquez

It is expected that large-scale producers of wind energy will become dominant players in the future electricity market. However, wind power output is irregular in nature and it is subjected to numerous fluctuations. Due to the effect on the production of wind power, producing a detailed bidding strategy is becoming more complicated in the industry. Therefore, in view of these uncertainties, a competitive bidding approach in a pool-based day-ahead energy marketplace is formulated in this paper for traditional generation with wind power utilities. The profit of the generating utility is optimized by the modified gravitational search algorithm, and the Weibull distribution function is employed to represent the stochastic properties of wind speed profile. The method proposed is being investigated and simplified for the IEEE-30 and IEEE-57 frameworks. The results were compared with the results obtained with other optimization methods to validate the approach.


2016 ◽  
Vol 41 (46) ◽  
pp. 21057-21066 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Carr ◽  
Fan Zhang ◽  
Feng Liu ◽  
Zhaolong Du ◽  
Jon Maddy

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document