Do Publicly Signalled Earnings Management Incentives Affect Analyst Forecast Accuracy?

Abacus ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 315-342 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARK WILSON ◽  
YI AVA WU
2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 685-704
Author(s):  
Feng Jui Hsu ◽  
Yu-Cheng Chen

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationships among corporate social responsibility (CSR), analyst forecast accuracy and firms’ earnings management behavior using US-based firms.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use the Kinder, Lydenberg, Domini (KLD) database to construct CSR performance scores and divide all firms into ten groups from high to low as a proxy for CSR performance. The authors obtained an initial sample of 33,364 firm-year observations from 1991 to 2012. Filtering for records which exist in the KLD, Compustat, and Center for Research in Security Prices databases lefts a total of 16,807 firm-year observations and CSR evaluation reports for 5,896 firms.FindingsThe authors find that high CSR-score firms have lower rates of analyst forecast error than their low CSR-score counterparts, suggesting that CSR performance is a useful means of forecasting earnings. Furthermore, firms with better CSR performance have significantly lower accrual-based earnings management behavior. However, the level of the manipulation behavior of real earnings management (REM) activities increased significantly in better CSR firms, suggesting that high CSR-score firms substituted REM methods for accrual-based methods. REM methods are consistent with the stipulations of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act and allow high CSR-score firms to better manipulate earnings behavior. These results hold after the authors control for various factors related to firm financial characteristics.Originality/valueOverall, the findings have important implications for investors and regulators to more easily assess firms’ earnings manipulation behavior and earnings stability under CSR performance and financial information in financial markets.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 63
Author(s):  
Nooraisah Katmon ◽  
Omar Al-Farooque

We empirically examine the reciprocal relationships between disclosure quality, board independence and earnings management. Disclosure quality is measured using the IR Magazine Award, the number of forward looking information in the annual report as well as the analyst forecast accuracy. We estimate earnings management using modified Jones Model, while board independence is measured using the percentage of independent directors in the board. We remedied the simultaneity bias in our study using a simultaneous system of equation, which was estimated using two-stage least square regression (2SLS). Match-paired samples comprised of the winners and non-winners of the IR Magazine Award during the years from 2005-2008 were employed in our study. Our finding reported that there is a negative reciprocal relationship between disclosure quality and earnings management. We notice that these findings are robust across all disclosure quality measurement that we utilised in our 2 Stage Least Square (2SLS) regression. Only one way (negative) causality between board independence and earnings management is demonstrated (in the board independence equation). In regards to disclosure quality and board independence, we found mixed findings. In this instance, our result demonstrated that there is no reciprocal relationship between disclosure quality and board independence (measured using IRAWARD). Nonetheless, we reported a positive reciprocal relationship between board independence and disclosure quality when forward looking information is utilized as to represent disclosure quality and a negative relationship between these variables when analyst forecast accuracy is employed. Our finding suggests that future research should take into account the potential simultaneity bias when examining the relationship between disclosure quality, earnings management and board independence.


2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Sun ◽  
Weimin Wang ◽  
Frank Wang ◽  
Sanjian Bill Zhang

2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 49-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feiqi Huang ◽  
He Li ◽  
Tawei Wang

SYNOPSISPrior literature has firmly established the relationship between IT capability and firm performance. In this paper, we extend the research in this field and investigate (1) whether IT capability contributes to management forecast accuracy, and (2) whether IT capability improves the informativeness of management forecasts and enhances the extent to which analysts incorporate management forecasts in their revisions. Using firms listed on InformationWeek 500 as our high IT capability group, we empirically demonstrate that firms with high IT capability are able to increase management forecast accuracy, and that analysts incorporate more information from management forecasts in their revisions if the firm has high IT capability.


2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 217
Author(s):  
Chunlai Ye

This study investigates whether firms continue to use tax reserves to achieve financial reporting objectives in the post-FIN 48 period and the effect of auditor-provided tax services on earnings management through tax reserves. Three types of earnings management incentives are considered in this study: meeting or beating the consensus forecasts, income smoothing, and taking an “earnings bath.” The analyses yield evidence that only non-large firms manipulate tax reserves to meet/beat earnings forecast in the post-FIN 48 period; however, tax reserves are still utilized by both large and non-large firms to smooth earnings. Moreover, evidence is provided that the auditor who provides more tax services facilitates large firms’ earnings smoothing in the post-FIN 48 period, implying independence impairment. But this behavior does not exist within non-large firms, arguably because the auditor does not compromise independence for less important clients.


2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 427-432
Author(s):  
Bing-Xuan Lin ◽  
Chen-Miao Lin

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