scholarly journals Pathways to resilience: adapting to sea level rise in Los Angeles

2018 ◽  
Vol 1427 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts ◽  
Patrick L. Barnard ◽  
Wouter Botzen ◽  
Phyllis Grifman ◽  
Juliette Finzi Hart ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tina Dura ◽  
Andra J. Garner ◽  
Robert Weiss ◽  
Robert E. Kopp ◽  
Simon E. Engelhart ◽  
...  

AbstractThe amplification of coastal hazards such as distant-source tsunamis under future relative sea-level rise (RSLR) is poorly constrained. In southern California, the Alaska-Aleutian subduction zone has been identified as an earthquake source region of particular concern for a worst-case scenario distant-source tsunami. Here, we explore how RSLR over the next century will influence future maximum nearshore tsunami heights (MNTH) at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Earthquake and tsunami modeling combined with local probabilistic RSLR projections show the increased potential for more frequent, relatively low magnitude earthquakes to produce distant-source tsunamis that exceed historically observed MNTH. By 2100, under RSLR projections for a high-emissions representative concentration pathway (RCP8.5), the earthquake magnitude required to produce >1 m MNTH falls from ~Mw9.1 (required today) to Mw8.0, a magnitude that is ~6.7 times more frequent along the Alaska-Aleutian subduction zone.


Ports 2019 ◽  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adrienne Fedrick Newbold ◽  
Bettina Kaes ◽  
Jeff Khouri ◽  
Richard Mast ◽  
Justin Vandever

2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (5) ◽  
pp. 556-562 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabrina A. Adelaine ◽  
Mizuki Sato ◽  
Yufang Jin ◽  
Hilary Godwin

AbstractIntroductionAlthough many studies have delineated the variety and magnitude of impacts that climate change is likely to have on health, very little is known about how well hospitals are poised to respond to these impacts.Hypothesis/ProblemThe hypothesis is that most modern hospitals in urban areas in the United States need to augment their current disaster planning to include climate-related impacts.MethodsUsing Los Angeles County (California USA) as a case study, historical data for emergency department (ED) visits and projections for extreme-heat events were used to determine how much climate change is likely to increase ED visits by mid-century for each hospital. In addition, historical data about the location of wildfires in Los Angeles County and projections for increased frequency of both wildfires and flooding related to sea-level rise were used to identify which area hospitals will have an increased risk of climate-related wildfires or flooding at mid-century.ResultsOnly a small fraction of the total number of predicted ED visits at mid-century would likely to be due to climate change. By contrast, a significant portion of hospitals in Los Angeles County are in close proximity to very high fire hazard severity zones (VHFHSZs) and would be at greater risk to wildfire impacts as a result of climate change by mid-century. One hospital in Los Angeles County was anticipated to be at greater risk due to flooding by mid-century as a result of climate-related sea-level rise.ConclusionThis analysis suggests that several Los Angeles County hospitals should focus their climate-change-related planning on building resiliency to wildfires.AdelaineSA, SatoM, JinY, GodwinH. An assessment of climate change impacts on Los Angeles (California USA) hospitals, wildfires highest priority. Prehosp Disaster Med. 2017;32(5):556–562.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristy Tiampo ◽  
Michael Willis ◽  
R. Steven Nerem ◽  
Heijkoop Eduard ◽  
Johnson Joel

<p>Today, the joint phenomena of rapid urbanization and population growth has resulted in an increase in the number of cities of over 10 million inhabitants, or megacities, worldwide.  While western megacities such as Los Angeles have been relatively stable in recent years, the developing world saw an increase from two to thirteen between 1975 and 2000 (http://www.igbp.net). In 2011, sixteen of the 23 global cities that fell into that category were coastal (UN-DESA 2012). Their growth is often coupled with unplanned urbanization and sprawl, with important effects on coastlines, demographics and ecosystems (Angel et al. 2011; Allison et al., 2016).  The associated risk is exacerbated by anthropogenic coastal subsidence processes and sea-level rise due to climate change, potentially increasing inundation, flooding, storm surges and infrastructure damage. Ground deformation phenomena, either uplift and/or subsidence, can arise from volcanic and tectonic processes, hydrocarbon exploitation, groundwater pumping and shallow compaction of sediments, particularly along coastal deltas. A better understanding of the processes affecting coastal megacities can be achieved through the combination of satellite and ground-based measurements.  Here we combine both high-resolution topography, in the form of optical digital surface models (DSMs), and differential interferometric synthetic aperture radar (DInSAR), to better characterize the effects of local and regional subsidence, coastal erosion, sea-level rise and urbanization in several megacities from around the developing world.   DInSAR time series from Sentinel-1A/B images, coregistered to high-resolution DSMs, are used to constrain local and regional ground deformation, while those same DSMs can be used to better model inundation due to sea level rise.  Here we present results for a number of cities, including but not limited to Mumbai, Lagos and Dhaka.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (31) ◽  
pp. eaba4551 ◽  
Author(s):  
Em Blackwell ◽  
Manoochehr Shirzaei ◽  
Chandrakanta Ojha ◽  
Susanna Werth

Coastal vertical land motion affects projections of sea-level rise, and subsidence exacerbates flooding hazards. Along the ~1350-km California coastline, records of high-resolution vertical land motion rates are scarce due to sparse instrumentation, and hazards to coastal communities are underestimated. Here, we considered a ~100-km-wide swath of land along California’s coast and performed a multitemporal interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) analysis of large datasets, obtaining estimates of vertical land motion rates for California’s entire coast at ~100-m dimensions—a ~1000-fold resolution improvement to the previous record. We estimate between 4.3 million and 8.7 million people in California’s coastal communities, including 460,000 to 805,000 in San Francisco, 8000 to 2,300,00 in Los Angeles, and 2,000,000 to 2,300,000 in San Diego, are exposed to subsidence. The unprecedented detail and submillimeter accuracy resolved in our vertical land motion dataset can transform the analysis of natural and anthropogenic changes in relative sea-level and associated hazards.


Eos ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kate Wheeling

Researchers identify the main sources of uncertainty in projections of global glacier mass change, which is expected to add about 8–16 centimeters to sea level, through this century.


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