Background: Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Risk Index (TRI) is a simple risk assessment tool for patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). However, its applicability to elderly patients with STEMI undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is uncertain.Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of elderly (≥60 years) patients who underwent PCI for STEMI from January 2010 to April 2016. TRI was calculated on admission using the following formula: heart rate × (age/10)2/systolic blood pressure. Discrimination and calibration of TRI for in-hospital events and 1 year mortality were analyzed.Results: Totally 1,054 patients were divided into three groups according to the tertiles of the TRI: <27 (n = 348), 27–36 (n = 360) and >36 (n = 346). The incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI; 7.8 vs. 8.6 vs. 24.0%, p < 0.001), AHF (3.5 vs. 6.6 vs. 16.2%, p < 0.001), in-hospital death (0.6 vs. 3.3 vs. 11.6%, p < 0.001) and MACEs (5.2 vs. 5.8 vs. 15.9%, p < 0.001) was significantly higher in the third tertile. TRI showed good discrimination for in-hospital death [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.804, p < 0.001; Hosmer-Lemeshow p = 0.302], which was superior to its prediction for AKI (AUC = 0.678, p < 0.001; Hosmer-Lemeshow p = 0.121), and in-hospital MACEs (AUC = 0.669, p < 0.001; Hosmer-Lemeshow p = 0.077). Receiver-operation characteristics curve showed that TRI > 42.0 had a sensitivity of 64.8% and specificity of 82.2% for predicting in-hospital death. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with TRI > 42.0 had higher 1 year mortality (Log-rank = 79.2, p < 0.001).Conclusion: TRI is suitable for risk stratification in elderly patients with STEMI undergoing PCI, and is thus of continuing value for an aging population.
Predictive value of ACEF score for clinical prognosis of elderly patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction after percutaneous coronary intervention
