ENHANCEMENT OF PHYSICAL REPRESENTATION IN A BASIN-SCALE HYDROLOGIC MODEL, SWAT

Author(s):  
JI CHEN ◽  
YIPING WU
2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 1709-1723 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. González-Zeas ◽  
L. Garrote ◽  
A. Iglesias ◽  
A. Sordo-Ward

Abstract. An important step to assess water availability is to have monthly time series representative of the current situation. In this context, a simple methodology is presented for application in large-scale studies in regions where a properly calibrated hydrologic model is not available, using the output variables simulated by regional climate models (RCMs) of the European project PRUDENCE under current climate conditions (period 1961–1990). The methodology compares different interpolation methods and alternatives to generate annual times series that minimise the bias with respect to observed values. The objective is to identify the best alternative to obtain bias-corrected, monthly runoff time series from the output of RCM simulations. This study uses information from 338 basins in Spain that cover the entire mainland territory and whose observed values of natural runoff have been estimated by the distributed hydrological model SIMPA. Four interpolation methods for downscaling runoff to the basin scale from 10 RCMs are compared with emphasis on the ability of each method to reproduce the observed behaviour of this variable. The alternatives consider the use of the direct runoff of the RCMs and the mean annual runoff calculated using five functional forms of the aridity index, defined as the ratio between potential evapotranspiration and precipitation. In addition, the comparison with respect to the global runoff reference of the UNH/GRDC dataset is evaluated, as a contrast of the "best estimator" of current runoff on a large scale. Results show that the bias is minimised using the direct original interpolation method and the best alternative for bias correction of the monthly direct runoff time series of RCMs is the UNH/GRDC dataset, although the formula proposed by Schreiber (1904) also gives good results.


2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 300-318 ◽  
Author(s):  
John F. Joseph ◽  
Hatim O. Sharif ◽  
Jeffrey G. Arnold ◽  
David D. Bosch

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariaines Di Dato ◽  
Rohini Kumar ◽  
Estanislao Pujades ◽  
Timo Houben ◽  
Sabine Attinger

<p>River stream is the result of several complex processes operating at basin scale. Therefore, the river catchment can be conceptualized as a series of interlinked compartments, which are characterized by their own response time to a rainfall event. Each compartment generates a flow component, such as the direct runoff, the interflow and the baseflow. The latter, typically generating from groundwater, is the slower portion of stream flow and plays a key role in studying the hydrological droughts.</p><p>In many catchment or large-scale hydrologic models, the groundwater dynamics are typically described by a linear reservoir model, which depends on the state of the reservoir and the parameter, known as recession coefficient or characteristic time. The characteristic time can be considered as the time needed until an aquifer reacts to a certain perturbation. So far, the characteristic time has been estimated by analyzing the slope of the recession (discharge) curve. However, as this method assumes that the recharge is zero within the basin, it may lead to inaccurate estimate when such a hypothesis is not fulfilled in reality.</p><p>The present work proposes to infer the characteristic time by using a stochastic approach based on spectral analysis. The catchment aquifer can be viewed as a filter, which modifies an input signal (e.g., rainfall or recharge) into an output signal (e.g., the baseflow or the hydraulic head). Since the transfer function, namely the ratio between the spectrum of baseflow and the spectrum of recharge, is dependent on the aquifer characteristics, it can be used to infer the aquifer parameters. In particular, the characteristic time is evaluated by fitting the spectrum and the variance of the measured baseflow with the analytical stochastic solutions for the linear reservoir. We compare six different methods for hydrograph separation, thereby highlighting a systematic uncertainty in determining the characteristic time due to the choice of filter used. To reduce the uncertainty in fitting, we will use the mesoscale Hydrological Model (mHM) (Samaniego et al., 2010; Kumar et al., 2013) to generate realistic time series for recharge. We apply the spectral analysis method to several river basins in Germany, with the goal to define a regionalization rule for characteristic time.</p><p> </p><p>References:</p><ul><li>Samaniego L., R. Kumar, S. Attinger (2010): Multiscale parameter regionalization of a grid-based hydrologic model at the mesoscale. Water Resour. Res., 46, W05523, doi:10.1029/2008WR007327.</li> <li>Kumar, R., L. Samaniego, and S. Attinger (2013): Implications of distributed hydrologic model parameterization on water fluxes at multiple scales and locations, Water Resour. Res., 49, doi:10.1029/2012WR012195</li> </ul>


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 175-214
Author(s):  
D. González-Zeas ◽  
L. Garrote ◽  
A. Iglesias ◽  
A. Sordo-Ward

Abstract. An important aspect to assess the impact of climate change on water availability is to have monthly time series representative of the current situation. In this context, a simple methodology is presented for application in large-scale studies in regions where a properly calibrated hydrologic model is not available, using the output variables simulated by regional climate models (RCMs) of the European project PRUDENCE under current climate conditions (period 1961–1990). The methodology compares different interpolation methods and alternatives to generate annual times series that minimize the bias with respect to observed values. The objective is to identify the best alternative to obtain bias-corrected, monthly runoff time series from the output of RCM simulations. This study uses information from 338 basins in Spain that cover the entire mainland territory and whose observed values of naturalised runoff have been estimated by the distributed hydrological model SIMPA. Four interpolation methods for downscaling runoff to the basin scale from 10 RCMs are compared with emphasis on the ability of each method to reproduce the observed behavior of this variable. The alternatives consider the use of the direct runoff of the RCMs and the mean annual runoff calculated using five functional forms of the aridity index, defined as the ratio between potential evaporation and precipitation. In addition, the comparison with respect to the global runoff reference of the UNH/GRDC dataset is evaluated, as a contrast of the "best estimator" of current runoff on a large scale. Results show that the bias is minimised using the direct original interpolation method and the best alternative for bias correction of the monthly direct runoff time series of RCMs is the UNH/GRDC dataset, although the formula proposed by Schreiber also gives good results.


2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 1404-1418 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seshadri Rajagopal ◽  
Francina Dominguez ◽  
Hoshin V. Gupta ◽  
Peter A. Troch ◽  
Christopher L. Castro

Abstract Water managers across the United States face the need to make informed policy decisions regarding long-term impacts of climate change on water resources. To provide a scientifically informed basis for this, the evolution of important components of the basin-scale water balance through the end of the twenty-first century is estimated. Bias-corrected and spatially downscaled climate projections, from phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) of the World Climate Research Programme, were used to drive a spatially distributed Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model of hydrologic processes in the Salt–Verde basin in the southwestern United States. From the suite of CMIP3 models, the authors select a five-model subset, including three that best reproduce the historical climatology for the study region, plus two others to represent wetter and drier than model average conditions, so as to represent the range of GCM prediction uncertainty. For each GCM, data for three emission scenarios (A1B, A2, and B1) were used to drive the hydrologic model into the future. The projections of this model ensemble indicate a statistically significant 25% decrease in streamflow by the end of the twenty-first century. The primary cause for this change is due to projected decreases in winter precipitation accompanied by significant (temperature driven) reductions in storage of snow and increased winter evaporation. The results show that water management in central Arizona is highly likely to be impacted by changes in regional climate.


2014 ◽  
Vol 955-959 ◽  
pp. 3098-3104
Author(s):  
Deng Hua Yan ◽  
Yong Yuan ◽  
Yang Wen Jia ◽  
Dong Lai Hu ◽  
Juan Chen ◽  
...  

The relationship between the water budget of wetlands and the water cycle process in local river basin is bidirectional. The recovery and function performance of the wetland are based on this relationship. Hydrological models are the effective tool to detecting this link. The distributed hydrologic model was the key supports in this study and was used to quantitative identify the change of water budget of the wetlands which was impacted by the water cycle evolution in Nenjiang River basin in Northeast China. The results indicated that precipitation, runoff and evapotranspiration both in the basin and wetlands present similar declining trend. The precipitation is the major recharge source, and the evapotranspiration is the primary output of wetlands. The value of mean change in storage of the wetlands is negative which is caused by the decrease of the area of wetlands. The results of land use pattern evolution change surface inflow in the wetlands in the basin scenarios simulation indicated. These results suggested that water budget of wetlands is influenced by water cycle in basin. And some reasonable measures for wetlands management should not only base on its features, but also pay attention to hydrological regime in basin.


Author(s):  
Binata Roy ◽  
Md. Sabbir Mostafa Khan ◽  
A. K. M. Saiful Islam ◽  
Md. Jamal Uddin Khan ◽  
Khaled Mohammed

Abstract Bangladesh is situated at the confluence of GBM basins, with 90% of the basin area locating outside the country. Future climate change will lead to intense, prolonged, and frequent floods in Bangladesh. An integrated flood risk assessment that transforms risks from transboundary river basins to the local administrative level is necessary. A 1D-2D hydrodynamic model is developed for flood vulnerable Arial Khan River feed by basin-scale hydrologic model for low (RCP2.6) and high (RCP8.5) climate scenarios. An increasing trend in flood depth, duration, and the area is observed from the early (2020s) to the end (2080s) of the century for both scenarios. The difference between both RCPs is minimal from the 2020s to 2050s but becomes very pronounced in the 2080s. The depth-duration area with equal weightage provides better hazard results for the area. Flood risk is assessed using the IPCC AR5 framework incorporating vulnerability and exposure. Some medium-hazard zones fall into high-risk zones due to high exposure and vulnerability to flooding. The areas along the left reach are found more hazard-prone, while the areas on the right side are more risk-prone in the 2080s of RCP8.5. The hazard/risk maps will help policymakers identify priority areas for planning a sustainable flood management strategy.


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