FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION WITH STOCHASTIC VARIANCE: MODELING ABSOLUTE RETURNS IN STOCK MARKETS

2008 ◽  
Vol 19 (08) ◽  
pp. 1221-1242 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. E. ROMAN ◽  
M. PORTO

We discuss a model for simulating a long-time memory in time series characterized in addition by a stochastic variance. The model is based on a combination of fractional Brownian motion (FBM) concepts, for dealing with the long-time memory, with an autoregressive scheme with conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH), responsible for the stochastic variance of the series, and is denoted as FBMARCH. Unlike well-known fractionally integrated autoregressive models, FBMARCH admits finite second moments. The resulting probability distribution functions have power-law tails with exponents similar to ARCH models. This idea is applied to the description of long-time autocorrelations of absolute returns ubiquitously observed in stock markets.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Wang ◽  
Andrey G. Cherstvy ◽  
Holger Kantz ◽  
Ralf Metzler ◽  
Igor M. Sokolov

How different are the results of constant-rate resetting of anomalous-diffusion processes in terms of their ensemble-averaged versus time-averaged mean-squared displacements (MSDs versus TAMSDs) and how does the process of stochastic resetting impact nonergodicity? These are the main questions addressed in this study. Specifically, we examine, both analytically and by stochastic simulations, the implications of resetting on the MSD-and TAMSD-based spreading dynamics of fractional Brownian motion (FBM) with a long-time memory, of heterogeneous diffusion processes (HDPs) with a power-law-like space-dependent diffusivity D(x) = D0 |x| γ, and of their “combined” process of HDP-FBM. We find, i.a., that the resetting dynamics of originally ergodic FBM for superdiffusive choices of the Hurst exponent develops distinct disparities in the scaling behavior and magnitudes of the MSDs and mean TAMSDs, indicating so-called weak ergodicity breaking (WEB). For subdiffusive HDPs we also quantify the nonequivalence of the MSD and TAMSD, and additionally observe a new trimodal form of the probability density function (PDF) of particle’ displacements. For all three reset processes (FBM, HDPs, and HDP-FBM) we compute analytically and verify by stochastic computer simulations the short-time (normal and anomalous) MSD and TAMSD asymptotes (making conclusions about WEB) as well as the long-time MSD and TAMSD plateaus, reminiscent of those for “confined” processes. We show that certain characteristics of the reset processes studied are functionally similar, despite the very different stochastic nature of their nonreset variants. Importantly, we discover nonmonotonicity of the ergodicity breaking parameter EB as a function of the resetting rate r. For all the reset processes studied, we unveil a pronounced resetting-induced nonergodicity with a maximum of EB at intermediate r and EB ∼ (1/r)-decay at large r values. Together with the emerging MSD-versus-TAMSD disparity, this pronounced r-dependence of the EB parameter can be an experimentally testable prediction. We conclude via discussing some implications of our results to experimental systems featuring resetting dynamics.


2003 ◽  
Vol 03 (04) ◽  
pp. 421-433
Author(s):  
V. V. ZVEREV

The statistical behavior of a nonlinear system described by a mapping with phase rotation is studied. We use the Kolmogorov–Chapman equations for the multi-time probability distribution functions for investigation of dynamics under the external noise perturbations. We find a stationary solution in the long-time limit as a power series around a state with complete phase randomization ("phase mixing"). The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck and Kubo–Andersen models of noise statistics are considered; the conditions of convergence of the power expansions are established.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Molchan

The problem is a power-law asymptotics of the probability that a self-similar process does not exceed a fixed level during long time. The exponent in such asymptotics is estimated for some Gaussian processes, including the fractional Brownian motion (FBM) in , and the integrated FBM in , .


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (04) ◽  
pp. 1350010 ◽  
Author(s):  
JAN BÁRTEK ◽  
MARÍA J. GARRIDO-ATIENZA ◽  
BOHDAN MASLOWSKI

The present work deals with stochastic porous media equation with multiplicative noise, driven by fractional Brownian motion B(H) with Hurst index H > 1/2. The stochastic integral with integrator B(H) is defined pathwise following the theory developed by Zähle [24], based on the so-called fractional derivatives. It is shown that there is a one-to-one correspondence between solutions to the stochastic equation and solutions to its deterministic counterpart. By means of this correspondence and exploiting properties of the deterministic porous media equation, the existence, uniqueness, regularity and long-time properties of the solution is established. We also prove that the solution forms a random dynamical system in an appropriate function space.


2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dawei Hong ◽  
Shushuang Man ◽  
Jean-Camille Birget ◽  
Desmond S. Lun

We construct a wavelet-based almost-sure uniform approximation of fractional Brownian motion (FBM) (Bt(H))_t∈[0,1] of Hurst index H ∈ (0, 1). Our results show that, by Haar wavelets which merely have one vanishing moment, an almost-sure uniform expansion of FBM for H ∈ (0, 1) can be established. The convergence rate of our approximation is derived. We also describe a parallel algorithm that generates sample paths of an FBM efficiently.


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