scholarly journals A DYNAMIC MODEL OF CENTRAL COUNTERPARTY RISK

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (08) ◽  
pp. 1850050
Author(s):  
TOMASZ R. BIELECKI ◽  
IGOR CIALENCO ◽  
SHIBI FENG

We introduce a dynamic model of the default waterfall of derivatives central counterparties and propose a risk sensitive method for sizing the initial margin, and the default fund and its allocation among clearing members. Using a Markovian structure model of joint credit migrations, our evaluation of the default fund takes into account the joint credit quality of clearing members as they evolve over time. Another important aspect of the proposed methodology is the use of the time consistent dynamic risk measures for computation of the initial margin and the default fund. We carry out a comprehensive numerical study, where, in particular, we analyze the advantages of the proposed methodology and its comparison with the currently prevailing methods used in industry.

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 67-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nataly Zrazhevska

The most popular methods for dynamic risk measures – Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR (CVaR) estimating were analyzed, description and comparative analysis of the methods were fulfilled, recommendations on the use were given. Results of the research were presented in the form of a classification scheme of dynamic risk measures estimating that facilitates the choice of an estimation method. The GARCH-based models of dynamic risk measures VaR and CVaR evaluation for artificially generated series and two time series of log return on a daily basis of the most well-known Asian stock indexes Nikkey225 Stock Index and CSI30 were constructed to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme. A qualitative analysis of the proposed models was conducted. To analyze the quality of the dynamic VaR estimations the Cupets test and the Cristoffersen test were used. For CVaR estimations the V-test was used as quality test. The tests results confirm the high quality of obtained estimations. The proposed classification scheme of dynamic risk measures VaR and CVaR estimating may be useful for risk managers of different financial institutions.


Author(s):  
Beatrice Acciaio ◽  
Irina Penner

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (03) ◽  
pp. 2050017
Author(s):  
YANHONG CHEN ◽  
YIJUN HU

In this paper, we study how to evaluate the risk of a financial portfolio, whose components may be dependent and come from different markets or involve more than one kind of currencies, while we also take into consideration the uncertainty about the time value of money. Namely, we introduce a new class of risk measures, named set-valued dynamic risk measures for bounded discrete-time processes that are adapted to a given filtration. The time horizon can be finite or infinite. We investigate the representation results for them by making full use of Legendre–Fenchel conjugation theory for set-valued functions. Finally, some examples such as the set-valued dynamic average value at risk and the entropic risk measure for bounded discrete-time processes are also given.


2015 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 655-682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dan A. Iancu ◽  
Marek Petrik ◽  
Dharmashankar Subramanian

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document