FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS OF MONTHLY RAINFALL TIME SERIES

2010 ◽  
Vol 09 (02) ◽  
pp. 219-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
JORGE O. PIERINI ◽  
LUCIANO TELESCA

The monthly rainfall time series, spanning more than a century, recorded in several sites in the middle Argentina were analyzed. The power spetral density (PSD) method reveals the presence of annual and semi-annual cyclic fluctuations. The detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) performed on the residual times series (after removing the periodicities) shows a scaling behavior, characterized by DFA scaling exponents ranging between 0.54 and 0.58. These findings could contribute to a better understanding of rainfall dynamics.

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 591-598 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Ramírez-Rojas ◽  
E. L. Flores-Márquez ◽  
L. Guzmán-Vargas ◽  
J. Márquez-Cruz ◽  
C. G. Pavía-Miller ◽  
...  

Abstract. In this work, we present a statistical study of geoelectric time series from three Mexican regions with recognized different levels of seismicity. This study is made by means of both the Higuchi's method and the detrended fluctuation analysis for the detection of fractal behavior. With these methods we present scatter plots corresponding to scaling exponents for short and large lags arisen from crossover points in the geoelectric data. Through these scatter plots we observe a reasonable segregation of clouds of points corresponding to the three mentioned regions. These results permit to suggest that a different level of characteristic seismicity in one region is translated into a different level of geoelectric activity.


Fractals ◽  
2003 ◽  
Vol 11 (01) ◽  
pp. 27-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
GERARDO COLANGELO ◽  
VINCENZO LAPENNA ◽  
LUCIANO TELESCA

This paper considers four geoelectrical time series, measured in a seismic area of Southern Italy. Lomb Periodogram method, Higuchi analysis, Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) and the mean distance spanned within time L are used to discuss the correlation properties of these signals. The values of the scaling exponents from these methods of the geoelectrical data indicate that the long-range correlations are present. Furthermore, it is found that these correlations are all linear.


2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1267-1276 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Telesca ◽  
M. Lovallo ◽  
A. E.-E. Amin Mohamed ◽  
M. ElGabry ◽  
S. El-hady ◽  
...  

Abstract. The time dynamics of seismicity of Aswan area (Egypt) from 2004 to 2010 was investigated by means of the (i) Allan Factor, which is a powerful tool allowing the capture of time-clusterized properties of temporal point processes; and the (ii) detrended fluctuation analysis, which is capable of detecting scaling in nonstationary time series. The analysis was performed varying the depth and the magnitude thresholds. The 2004–2010 Aswan seismicity is characterized by significant three-fold time-clustering behaviors with scaling exponents ~0.77 for timescales between 104.16 s and 105.14 s, ~0.34 for timescales between 105.14 s and 106.53 s, and ~1 for higher timescales. The seismic interevent times and distances are characterized by persistent temporal fluctuations for most of the magnitude and depth thresholds.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Seddik Kasdi ◽  
Abderrezak Bouzid ◽  
Mohamed Hamoudi ◽  
Abdslem Abtout

<p>The north-central region of Algeria has been characterized by a swarm-type seismicity, after the strong Mw6.8 Boumerdès earthquake of May 21, 2003, culminating with the earthquake that occurred on July 17, 2013 of magnitude Mw=5. A magnetotelluric station was installed on December 2014 in the Medea region, 60 km south of the capital Algiers. We measured the five components of the telluric and magnetic field with a sampling frequency of 15 Hz. The seismic activity in the region provided the opportunity to observe and study the earthquake’s related electromagnetic signal. The scaling properties of the recorded electric and magnetic time series were investigated. On the basis of multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis, which is a powerful method for detecting scaling in non-stationary time series, deviations from the uniform scale of the power law were identified and quantified. We investigated the time dynamics of the earthquake related electromagnetic time series measured at the magnetotelluric station. The multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis showed the different multifractality properties of electromagnetic signals before, during and after the seismic event. The results of this work show an unstable scaling behavior in electromagnetic data during the occurrence of the seismic event. These first results could be useful in the framework of seismo-electromagnetic signals studies.</p>


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Pedro Carpena ◽  
Manuel Gómez-Extremera ◽  
Pedro A. Bernaola-Galván

Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) has become a standard method to quantify the correlations and scaling properties of real-world complex time series. For a given scale ℓ of observation, DFA provides the function F(ℓ), which quantifies the fluctuations of the time series around the local trend, which is substracted (detrended). If the time series exhibits scaling properties, then F(ℓ)∼ℓα asymptotically, and the scaling exponent α is typically estimated as the slope of a linear fitting in the logF(ℓ) vs. log(ℓ) plot. In this way, α measures the strength of the correlations and characterizes the underlying dynamical system. However, in many cases, and especially in a physiological time series, the scaling behavior is different at short and long scales, resulting in logF(ℓ) vs. log(ℓ) plots with two different slopes, α1 at short scales and α2 at large scales of observation. These two exponents are usually associated with the existence of different mechanisms that work at distinct time scales acting on the underlying dynamical system. Here, however, and since the power-law behavior of F(ℓ) is asymptotic, we question the use of α1 to characterize the correlations at short scales. To this end, we show first that, even for artificial time series with perfect scaling, i.e., with a single exponent α valid for all scales, DFA provides an α1 value that systematically overestimates the true exponent α. In addition, second, when artificial time series with two different scaling exponents at short and large scales are considered, the α1 value provided by DFA not only can severely underestimate or overestimate the true short-scale exponent, but also depends on the value of the large scale exponent. This behavior should prevent the use of α1 to describe the scaling properties at short scales: if DFA is used in two time series with the same scaling behavior at short scales but very different scaling properties at large scales, very different values of α1 will be obtained, although the short scale properties are identical. These artifacts may lead to wrong interpretations when analyzing real-world time series: on the one hand, for time series with truly perfect scaling, the spurious value of α1 could lead to wrongly thinking that there exists some specific mechanism acting only at short time scales in the dynamical system. On the other hand, for time series with true different scaling at short and large scales, the incorrect α1 value would not characterize properly the short scale behavior of the dynamical system.


Author(s):  
NA LI ◽  
MARTIN CRANE ◽  
HEATHER J. RUSKIN

SenseCam is an effective memory-aid device that can automatically record images and other data from the wearer's whole day. The main issue is that, while SenseCam produces a sizeable collection of images over the time period, the vast quantity of captured data contains a large percentage of routine events, which are of little interest to review. In this article, the aim is to detect "Significant Events" for the wearers. We use several time series analysis methods such as Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA), Eigenvalue dynamics and Wavelet Correlations to analyse the multiple time series generated by the SenseCam. We show that Detrended Fluctuation Analysis exposes a strong long-range correlation relationship in SenseCam collections. Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) was used to calculate equal-time Correlation Matrices over different time scales and then explore the granularity of the largest eigenvalue and changes of the ratio of the sub-dominant eigenvalue spectrum dynamics over sliding time windows. By examination of the eigenspectrum, we show that these approaches enable detection of major events in the time SenseCam recording, with MODWT also providing useful insight on details of major events. We suggest that some wavelet scales (e.g., 8 minutes–16 minutes) have the potential to identify distinct events or activities.


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