scholarly journals Modeling Cascading Failures in Stock Markets by a Pretopological Framework

2020 ◽  
Vol 08 (01) ◽  
pp. 23-38
Author(s):  
Ngoc Kim Khanh Nguyen ◽  
Marc Bui

We introduce a computational framework, namely, a pretopological construct, for mining stock prices’ time series in order to expand a set of stocks by adding other stocks whose average correlations with the set are above a threshold. We increase the threshold with the set’s size to verify group impact in financial crises. This approach is tested by a consecutive expansion process started from a stock of Merrill Lynch & Co., and a consecutive contraction process of the rest. The test’s results and the comparison to graph theory show that our model and pretopology theory are helpful to study stock markets.

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 13
Author(s):  
Elfa Rafulta ◽  
Roni Tri Putra

This paper introduced a method pengklusteran for financial data. By using the model Heteroskidastity Generalized autoregressive conditional (GARCH), will be estimated distance between the stock market using GARCH-based distance. The purpose of this method is mengkluster international stock markets with different amounts of data.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 647-659 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahra Moeini Najafabadi ◽  
Mehdi Bijari ◽  
Mehdi Khashei

Purpose This study aims to make investment decisions in stock markets using forecasting-Markowitz based decision-making approaches. Design/methodology/approach The authors’ approach offers the use of time series prediction methods including autoregressive, autoregressive moving average and artificial neural network, rather than calculating the expected rate of return based on distribution. Findings The results show that using time series prediction methods has a significant effect on improving investment decisions and the performance of the investments. Originality/value In this study, in contrast to previous studies, the alteration in the Markowitz model started with the investment expected rate of return. For this purpose, instead of considering the distribution of returns and determining the expected returns, time series prediction methods were used to calculate the future return of each asset. Then, the results of different time series methods replaced the expected returns in the Markowitz model. Finally, the overall performance of the method, as well as the performance of each of the prediction methods used, was examined in relation to nine stock market indices.


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 352
Author(s):  
Janusz Miśkiewicz

Within the paper, the problem of globalisation during financial crises is analysed. The research is based on the Forex exchange rates. In the analysis, the power law classification scheme (PLCS) is used. The study shows that during crises cross-correlations increase resulting in significant growth of cliques, and also the ranks of nodes on the converging time series network are growing. This suggests that the crises expose the globalisation processes, which can be verified by the proposed analysis.


2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gunther Schorcht ◽  
Fabian Löw ◽  
Sebastian Fritsch ◽  
Christopher Conrad

1977 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 417-425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marshall R. Blume ◽  
John Kraft ◽  
Arthur Kraft

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