Research on Macro Influencing Factors Based on Stock Market Stability

Author(s):  
Ying Zhan ◽  
Xuehang Yu
NCC Journal ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-120
Author(s):  
Krishna Bahadur Thapa

This paper explores the influencing factors of stock price in Nepal (with reference to Nepalese commercial banks) listed on the Nepal Stock Exchange Ltd. over the period of 2008 to 2018AD. The information were collected from questionnaire and financial statement of concerned organizations and analyzed using simple linear regression model. The conclusions of the work revealed that earning per share (EPS), dividend per share (DPS), effective rules and regulations, market whims and rumors, company profiles and success depend upon luck have the significant positive association with share price while interest rate (IR) and price to earnings ratio (PER), showed the significant inverse association with share price. Further, accessibility of liquidity, fundamental and technical analysis stimulates the performance of the Nepalese stock market. More importantly, stock market has been found to respond significantly to changes in dividend and interest rate.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 84
Author(s):  
TANG Yin ◽  
YANG Jin Yu ◽  
CHEN Jian

<p><em>During training process of LSTM, the prediction accuracy is affected by a variation of factors, including the selection of training samples, the network structure, the optimization algorithm, and the stock market status. This paper tries to conduct a systematic research on several influencing factors of LSTM training in context of time series prediction. The experiment uses Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 constituent stocks from 2006 to 2017 as samples. The influencing factors of the study include indicator sampling, sample length, network structure, optimization method, and data of the bull and bear market, and this experiment compared the effects of PCA, dropout, and L2 regularization on predict accuracy and efficiency. Indice sampling, number of samples, network structure, optimization techniques, and PCA are found to be have their scope of application. Further, dropout and L2 regularization are found positive to improve the accuracy. The experiments cover most of the factors, however have to be compared by data overseas. This paper is of significance for feature and parameter selection in LSTM training process.</em></p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 64-86
Author(s):  
K. Kajol ◽  
Prasita Biswas ◽  
Ranjit Singh ◽  
Sana Moid ◽  
Amit Kumar Das

The study aims at identifying the factors influencing the disposition effect acting on equity investors and further identifying the relationship between the influencing factors. The study aims at conducting a complete analysis of the influencing factors along with measuring their impact on disposition effect using Social Network Analysis (SNA).The factors affecting disposition effect on investors were identified through the literature review. Experts’ opinions were sought for determining the relationship among the factors and finally, the importance of those factors was analyzed using Social Network Analysis (SNA). It was found that social trust, investor emotion are the two most important factors affecting the other factors of disposition effect and consequently disposition effect finally. Besides, mental accounting; regret aversion, trading intensity, trading volume, and portfolio performance strongly influence the effect of disposition on investors because of their higher in-degree and out-degree. Therefore, the policymakers need to impart training to the investors to understand the mechanism of the stock market so that they can evaluate their standing in the stock market which, in the long run, will be reflected in their investment behavior. 


Author(s):  
Hai-Feng Li ◽  
Dun-Zhong Xing ◽  
Qian Huang ◽  
Jiangcheng Li

Abstract We theoretically stochastic simulate and empirically analyze the escape process of stock market price nonequilibrium dynamics under the influence of GARCH and ARCH effects, and explore the impact of ARCH and GARCH effects on stock market stability. Based on the nonlinear GARCH model of econophysics, and combined with GARCH and ARCH effects of volatility, we propose a delay stochastic monostable potential model. We use the mean escape time, or mean hitting time, as an indicator for measuring price stability, as first introduced in Ref. [1]. Based on the comparative analysis of actual Chinese A-share data, the theoretical and empirical findings of this paper are as follows} (1) The theoretical simulation results and actual data are consistent. (2) There exist optimal GARCH and ARCH effects maximally enhancing stock market stability.


2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 983-993 ◽  
Author(s):  
Il Suh Son ◽  
Kyong Joo Oh ◽  
Tae Yoon Kim ◽  
Chiho Kim ◽  
Jong-Du Do

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 39-59
Author(s):  
K. Kajol ◽  
Mausami Nath ◽  
Ranjit Singh ◽  
H. Ramananad Singh ◽  
Amit Kumar Das

The study aims at identifying the factors influencing the seasonality effect in the stock market and further identifying the relationship between the influencing factors. The study aims at conducting a complete analysis of the influencing factors along with measuring their impact on seasonality using Social Network Analysis (SNA). The factors affecting the seasonality effect in the stock market were identified through the literature review. Experts’ opinions were sought for determining the relationship among the factors and finally, the importance of those factors was analyzed using Social Network Analysis (SNA). It was found that volatility is the most important factor affecting the other factors of seasonality and consequently seasonality effect finally. Besides, earning announcements, dividend, and January effects strongly influence the effect of seasonality in the stock market because of their higher in-degree and out-degree. To understand the mechanism of the stock market, the policymakers need to impart training to the investors through awareness campaign or by opening learning investors’ Club at different places. With this they can evaluate their standing in the stock market and the capability of bearing the risk which, in the long run, will be reflected in their investment behavior along with that the culture of equity investing will also be promoted among the investors.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document