scholarly journals Analysis on Dynamic Decision-Making Model of the Enterprise Technological Innovation Investment under Uncertain Environment

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Long ◽  
Hongwei Wu ◽  
Ke Qiucheng Zhou

Under the environment of fuzzy factors including the return of market, performance of product, and the demanding level of market, we use the method of dynamic programming and establish the model of investment decision, in technology innovation project of enterprise, based on the dynamic programming. Analysis of the influence caused by the changes of fuzzy uncertainty factors to technological innovation project investment of enterprise.

Author(s):  
Caichuan Wang ◽  
Jiajun Li

The decision on the investment project is to analyze the feasibility and rationality of the project plan from multiple angles. However, due to the limitations of the actual project investment decision-making, this paper proposes a group decision making method based multifunctional intuitively fuzzy VIKOR interval sets. Firstly, according to the established investment decision-making model, the first round of preliminary candidate project schemes is selected. According to the definition of interval intuitionistic fuzzy sets and the traditional VIKOR method, established the research method of this article, and the project investment decision-making model based on VIKOR interval intuitionistic fuzzy sets is established. Finally, the project schemes are sorted according to the closeness degree of schemes. The results show that when sorting each candidate by Qi value, A4 >  A3 >  A2 >  A1 can be obtained. Because Q4 = 0, Q3 = 0.31, the condition q3-q4 >  0.25 is satisfied. It is concluded that the method can not only meet the needs of actual decision-making, but also has strong operability and practicability. The research results have reference value and guiding significance for project investment decision-making, and can promote the sustainable development of the project.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Qing Miao ◽  
Boyang Cao ◽  
Minghui Jiang

This paper establishes the payoff models of the European option for research and development (R&D) projects with two enterprises in a research joint venture (RJV). The models are used to assess the timing and payoffs of the R&D project investment under quantified uncertainties. After the option game, the two enterprises can make optimal investment decision for the R&D project investment in the RJV.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hector Palada ◽  
Rachel A Searston ◽  
Annabel Persson ◽  
Timothy Ballard ◽  
Matthew B Thompson

Evidence accumulation models have been used to describe the cognitive processes underlying performance in tasks involving two-choice decisions about unidimensional stimuli, such as motion or orientation. Given the multidimensionality of natural stimuli, however, we might expect qualitatively different patterns of evidence accumulation in more applied perceptual tasks. One domain that relies heavily on human decisions about complex natural stimuli is fingerprint discrimination. We know little about the ability of evidence accumulation models to account for the dynamic decision process of a fingerprint examiner resolving if two different prints belong to the same finger or not. Here, we apply a dynamic decision-making model — the linear ballistic accumulator (LBA) — to fingerprint discrimination decisions in order to gain insight into the cognitive processes underlying these complex perceptual judgments. Across three experiments, we show that the LBA provides an accurate description of the fingerprint discrimination decision process with manipulations in visual noise, speed-accuracy emphasis, and training. Our results demonstrate that the LBA is a promising model for furthering our understanding of applied decision-making with naturally varying visual stimuli.


2019 ◽  
pp. 132-138 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Tarasenko ◽  
I. Egorova

The method of dynamic programming has been considered, which is used in solving multiple problems in economics, on the example of using Bellman’s optimality principle for solving nonlinear programming problems. On a specific numerical example, the features of the solution have been shown in detail with all the calculations. The problem of optimal distribution of funds among enterprises for the expansion of production has been formulated, which would give the maximum total increase in output. The solution of the task has been presented in the case, when the number of enterprises is 3. It has been shown, that the Bellman optimality principle allows you solve applied problems of cost forecasting with obtaining the optimal solution-maximum profit at minimum costs.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document