scholarly journals A Risk-Scoring Model for the Prediction of Endometrial Cancer among Symptomatic Postmenopausal Women with Endometrial Thickness > 4 mm

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luca Giannella ◽  
Kabala Mfuta ◽  
Tiziano Setti ◽  
Lillo Bruno Cerami ◽  
Ezio Bergamini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Endometrial Cancer ◽  
Postmenopausal Women ◽  
Vaginal Bleeding ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Endometrial Thickness ◽  
Patient Characteristics ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis ◽  
Decision Algorithm ◽  
Scoring Model ◽  
Risk Scoring

Objective. To develop and test a risk-scoring model for the prediction of endometrial cancer among symptomatic postmenopausal women at risk of intrauterine malignancy.Methods. We prospectively studied 624 postmenopausal women with vaginal bleeding and endometrial thickness > 4 mm undergoing diagnostic hysteroscopy. Patient characteristics and endometrial assessment of women with or without endometrial cancer were compared. Then, a risk-scoring model, including the best predictors of endometrial cancer, was tested. Univariate, multivariate, and ROC curve analysis were performed. Finally, a split-sampling internal validation was also performed.Results. The best predictors of endometrial cancer were recurrent vaginal bleeding (odds ratio(OR)=2.96), the presence of hypertension(OR=2.01)endometrial thickness > 8 mm(OR=1.31), and age > 65 years(OR=1.11). These variables were used to create a risk-scoring model (RHEA risk-model) for the prediction of intrauterine malignancy, with an area under the curve of 0.878 (95% CI 0.842 to 0.908;P<0.0001). At the best cut-off value (score ≥ 4), sensitivity and specificity were 87.5% and 80.1%, respectively.Conclusion. Among symptomatic postmenopausal women with endometrial thickness > 4 mm, a risk-scoring model including patient characteristics and endometrial thickness showed a moderate diagnostic accuracy in discriminating women with or without endometrial cancer. Based on this model, a decision algorithm was developed for the management of such a population.

Assessment of Risk Scoring Model for Prediction of Endometrial Cancer Among Symptomatic Postmenopausal Women (A Prospective Cohort Study)

QJM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 114 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Magdy M Abd Elgawaad ◽  
Amr M El Helaly ◽  
Malames M Faisal ◽  
Asmaa F Kasem
Keyword(s):  
Endometrial Cancer ◽  
Family History ◽  
Endometrial Carcinoma ◽  
Endometrial Hyperplasia ◽  
Endometrial Thickness ◽  
Serous Carcinoma ◽  
Scoring Model ◽  
Gynecological Malignancy ◽  
Risk Scoring ◽  
Study Population

Abstract Background Endometrial carcinoma is the most common gynecological malignancy in the developed countries and the third common gynecological malignancy in Egypt after breast and ovarian cancers. Aim of the Work to evaluate this risk scoring model on Egyptian patients and to study the effect of adding other patient characteristics (DM, BMI and relevant family history) on the sensitivity and specificity of RHEA scoring model. Patients and Methods The current study was conducted in Ain Shams University Maternity Hospital in the period between September 2017 and December 2018. A total of 100 women with postmenopausal bleeding and endometrial thickness &gt; 4mm were included in the study. Results Histological examination revealed that benign pathology (n = 65) (73%) was found to be: most common cause was endometrial hyperplasia without atypia (20.3%) followed by chronic endometritis (13.5%), then endometrial polyp (11.3%), cystic atrophy of endometrium (8.9%), proliferative endometrium (8.9%), endometrial hyperplasia with atypia (6.7%) and lastly mucous polyp (3.4%) while malignant histopathology(n = 24)(27%) which is significantly higher than the international rates showed: Endometriod adenocarcinoma (n = 19)(21.3%), papillary serous carcinoma (n = 4)(4.5%) and undifferentiated carcinoma (n = 1)(1.1%). The current study showed that RHEA score performs in our study population with a comparable validity to that reported by its inventors with sensitivity 79.2% (57.8% - 92.9%) vs. 87.5% and specificity 84.6% (73.5% - 92.4%) vs. 80.1% respectively. In results of the current study it was found that the time since onset of menopause rather than age was associated with endometrial cancer with the optimum cut-off for postmenopausal duration was estimated to be 9 years achieving a sensitivity of 87.5% and a specificity of 60.0%, but it needs multivariate analysis on larger and more representative sample size to confirm this association, A statistically significant regression model was including only postmenopausal duration, recurrent bleeding and endometrial thickness. None of age, BMI, family history or hypertension proved a statistically significant predictive effect after adjustment for other predictive variables. Conclusion Taking in consideration the higher prevalence of endometrial carcinoma in the sample of the current study, the wide 95% confidence intervals for the different validity indices for the RHEA scores derived from this study, it seems that RHEA score performs in this study population with a comparable validity to that reported by its inventors.

scholarly journals Development of a risk scoring system for prognostication in HIV-related toxoplasma encephalitis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Li ◽  
Yanming Zeng ◽  
Min Liu ◽  
Yanqiu Lu ◽  
Xueyan Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Scoring System ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Therapeutic Interventions ◽  
Scoring Model ◽  
Cell Counts ◽  
Toxoplasma Encephalitis ◽  
Specific Risk ◽  
Risk Scoring ◽  
Risk Scoring System

Abstract Objective: This study aims to evaluate specific risk factors influencing prognosis of HIV-infected patients with toxoplasma encephalitis (TE) in order to develop a prognostic risk scoring system for them. Methods: This is a six-center retrospective study of hospitalized HIV/TE patients. Data including six-week mortality after diagnosis, baseline characteristics, clinical features, laboratory tests and radiological characteristics of eligible patients were assimilated for risk model establishing.Results: In this study, the six-week mortality among 94 retrospective cases was 11.7% (11/94). Seven specific risk factors, viz. time from symptom onset to presentation, fever, dizziness, CD4+ T-cell counts, memory deficits, patchy brain lesions, and disorders of consciousness were calculated to be statistically associated with mortality. A criterion value of ‘9’ was selected as the optimal cut-off value of the established model. The AUC of the ROC curve of this scoring model was 0.976 (p<0.001). The sensitivity and specificity of the risk scoring model was 100.0% and 86.9%, respectively, which were 81.8% and 94.1% of this scoring model in the verification cohort, respectively. Conclusions: The developed scoring system was established with simple risk factors, which also allows expeditious implementation of accurate prognostication, and appropriate therapeutic interventions in HIV-infected patients with TE.

Endometrial Ultrasonography - An Alternative to Invasive Assessment in Women with Postmenopausal Vaginal Bleeding

1996 ◽  
Vol 82 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia Cecchini ◽  
Stefano Ciatto ◽  
Rita Bonardi ◽  
Grazia Grazzini ◽  
Antonia Mazzotta
Keyword(s):  
Endometrial Cancer ◽  
General Anesthesia ◽  
Endometrial Carcinoma ◽  
Vaginal Bleeding ◽  
Endometrial Thickness ◽  
Diagnostic Assessment ◽  
Vaginal Sonography ◽  
Postmenopausal Vaginal Bleeding

Aims and background To test the reliability of endometrial sonography in selecting women with abnormal postmenopausal vaginal bleeding for further diagnostic assessment. Methods Endometrial thickness was measured in 368 consecutive women by abdominal or vaginal sonography prior to invasive assessment (hysteroscopy, curettage). The association of abnormal endometrial thickness (4 mm or greater) with endometrial cancer was determined. Results Abnormal endometrial thickness was observed in 116 of 368 women. Subsequent assessment diagnosed endometrial carcinoma in 16 subjects, 15 of whom had abnormal endometrial thickness. One case with normal endometrial thickness was suspected at sonography because of the irregular appearance of the endometrium. Conclusions Had it been used to select subjects for further assessment, sonography would have missed no cancer, and unnecessary invasive assessment (under general anesthesia in 20% of cases) would have been spared in 68% (251/368) of the subjects. Endometrial sonography should be routinely used to select women with postmenopausal vaginal bleeding for further investigations.

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