scholarly journals A Model for Hourly Solar Radiation Data Generation from Daily Solar Radiation Data Using a Generalized Regression Artificial Neural Network

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamer Khatib ◽  
Wilfried Elmenreich

This paper presents a model for predicting hourly solar radiation data using daily solar radiation averages. The proposed model is a generalized regression artificial neural network. This model has three inputs, namely, mean daily solar radiation, hour angle, and sunset hour angle. The output layer has one node which is mean hourly solar radiation. The training and development of the proposed model are done using MATLAB and 43800 records of hourly global solar radiation. The results show that the proposed model has better prediction accuracy compared to some empirical and statistical models. Two error statistics are used in this research to evaluate the proposed model, namely, mean absolute percentage error and root mean square error. These values for the proposed model are 11.8% and −3.1%, respectively. Finally, the proposed model shows better ability in overcoming the sophistic nature of the solar radiation data.

2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 439-451 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maamar Laidi ◽  
Salah Hanini ◽  
Ahmed Rezrazi ◽  
Mohamed Redha Yaiche ◽  
Abdallah Abdallah El Hadj ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Adi Kurniawan ◽  
Anisa Harumwidiah

The estimation of the daily average global solar radiation is important since it increases the cost efficiency of solar power plant, especially in developing countries. Therefore, this study aims at developing a multi layer perceptron artificial neural network (ANN) to estimate the solar radiation in the city of Surabaya. To guide the study, seven (7) available meteorological parameters and the number of the month was applied as the input of network. The ANN was trained using five-years data of 2011-2015. Furthermore, the model was validated by calculating the mean average percentage error (MAPE) of the estimation for the years of 2016-2019. The results confirm that the aforementioned model is feasible to generate the estimation of daily average global solar radiation in Surabaya, indicated by MAPE of less than 15% for all testing years.


Author(s):  
S Kumar ◽  
T Kaur

Estimation of solar potential is vital for renewable energy applications. In several studies, artificial neural networks have been employed to model solar radiation using various meteorological parameters. The collection and availability of the most appropriate input parameters is important for getting an accurate artificial neural network model. The present study aims to estimate the global solar radiation using different meteorological parameters and identify the significant parameters based on the analysis of synaptic weights in an artificial neural network model using the connection weight approach. Initially, artificial neural network and empirical models is applied to estimate the solar radiation in Chamba region. The artificial neural network architecture 5-48-15-1 resulted in minimum mean absolute percentage error of 12.15%. The mean absolute percentage error values for linear models are found to be 18.95%, 15.39%, and 21.62%, respectively. Thereafter, connection weight approach is applied to find significant parameters. The efficacy of the approach has been shown through a case study related to estimation of solar radiations in the Hamirpur region situated in the state of Himachal Pradesh (India). Five input parameters, namely temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), clearness index (KT), precipitation (PT), and pressure (P), have been considered to estimate solar radiations using a feed-forward neural network. The proposed approach infers that temperature is the most significant parameter followed by humidity and pressure. The clearness index and precipitation has been found to have the least effect on the estimation of solar radiations. Results also indicate that artificial neural network based technique is more accurate compared to empirical model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Salisu Aliyu ◽  
Aminu S Zakari ◽  
Muhammad Ismail ◽  
Mohammed A Ahmed

Solar energy has attracted enormous attention as it plays an essential role in meeting the ever growing sustainable and environmental friendly energy demand of the world. Due to the high cost of calibration and maintenance of designated measuring instruments, solar radiation data are limited not only in Nigeria but in most parts of the world. The optimal design of solar energy systems requires accurate estimation of solar radiation. Existing studies are focused on the analysis of monthly or annual solar radiation with less attention paid to the determination of daily solar radiation. Estimating daily solar radiation envisages high quality and performance of solar systems. In this paper, an Artificial Neural Network data mining model is proposed for estimating the daily solar radiation in Kano, Kaduna and Katsina, North West Nigeria. Daily Solar radiation data for 21years collected from the Nigerian Metrological Agency were used as training/testing data while developing the model. Two statistical indicators: coefficient of determination (R2) and the root mean square error (RMSE) were used to evaluate the model. An RMSE of 0.47 and 0.48 was obtained for the training and testing dataset respectively, while an R2 of 0.78 was obtained for both the training and testing dataset. The overall results showed that artificial neural network exhibits excellent performance for the estimation of daily solar radiation.Keywords— Artificial Neural Network, Data mining, Solar Radiation 


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Boluwaji M. Olomiyesan ◽  
Onyedi D. Oyedum

In this study, the performance of three global solar radiation models and the accuracy of global solar radiation data derived from three sources were compared. Twenty-two years (1984–2005) of surface meteorological data consisting of monthly mean daily sunshine duration, minimum and maximum temperatures, and global solar radiation collected from the Nigerian Meteorological (NIMET) Agency, Oshodi, Lagos, and the National Aeronautics Space Agency (NASA) for three locations in North-Western region of Nigeria were used. A new model incorporating Garcia model into Angstrom-Prescott model was proposed for estimating global radiation in Nigeria. The performances of the models used were determined by using mean bias error (MBE), mean percentage error (MPE), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R2). Based on the statistical error indices, the proposed model was found to have the best accuracy with the least RMSE values (0.376 for Sokoto, 0.463 for Kaduna, and 0.449 for Kano) and highest coefficient of determination, R2 values of 0.922, 0.938, and 0.961 for Sokoto, Kano, and Kaduna, respectively. Also, the comparative study result indicates that the estimated global radiation from the proposed model has a better error range and fits the ground measured data better than the satellite-derived data.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 5188
Author(s):  
Mitsugu Hasegawa ◽  
Daiki Kurihara ◽  
Yasuhiro Egami ◽  
Hirotaka Sakaue ◽  
Aleksandar Jemcov

An artificial neural network (ANN) was constructed and trained for predicting pressure sensitivity using an experimental dataset consisting of luminophore content and paint thickness as chemical and physical inputs. A data augmentation technique was used to increase the number of data points based on the limited experimental observations. The prediction accuracy of the trained ANN was evaluated by using a metric, mean absolute percentage error. The ANN predicted pressure sensitivity to luminophore content and to paint thickness, within confidence intervals based on experimental errors. The present approach of applying ANN and the data augmentation has the potential to predict pressure-sensitive paint (PSP) characterizations that improve the performance of PSP for global surface pressure measurements.


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