scholarly journals Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2009

2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (6) ◽  
pp. 1657-1672 ◽  
Author(s):  
Todd B. Kimberlain ◽  
Michael J. Brennan
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Normal Activity ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Property Damage ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Center Track ◽  
National Hurricane Center

Abstract The 2009 eastern North Pacific hurricane season had near normal activity, with a total of 17 named storms, of which seven became hurricanes and four became major hurricanes. One hurricane and one tropical storm made landfall in Mexico, directly causing four deaths in that country along with moderate to severe property damage. Another cyclone that remained offshore caused an additional direct death in Mexico. On average, the National Hurricane Center track forecasts in the eastern North Pacific for 2009 were quite skillful.

scholarly journals Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2010

2012 ◽  
Vol 140 (9) ◽  
pp. 2769-2781 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stacy R. Stewart ◽  
John P. Cangialosi
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Tropical Storms ◽  
Property Damage ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Center Track ◽  
National Hurricane Center

Abstract The 2010 eastern North Pacific hurricane season was one of the least active seasons on record. Only seven named storms developed, which is the lowest number observed at least since routine satellite coverage of that basin began in 1966. Furthermore, only three of those storms reached hurricane status, which is also the lowest number of hurricanes ever observed in the satellite-era season. However, two tropical storms made landfall: Agatha in Guatemala and Georgette in Mexico, with Agatha directly causing 190 deaths and moderate to severe property damage as a result of rain-induced floods and mud slides. On average, the National Hurricane Center track forecasts in the eastern North Pacific for 2010 were quite skillful.

Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2011

2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (5) ◽  
pp. 1397-1412 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric S. Blake ◽  
Todd B. Kimberlain
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Tropical Storms ◽  
Strength Category ◽  
Hurricane Wind ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Major Hurricane ◽  
Center Track ◽  
National Hurricane Center

Abstract Overall activity during the 2011 eastern North Pacific hurricane season was near average. Of the 11 tropical storms that formed, 10 became hurricanes and 6 reached major hurricane strength (category 3 or stronger on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale). For comparison, the 1981–2010 averages are about 15 tropical storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes. Interestingly, although the number of named storms was below average, the numbers of hurricanes and major hurricanes were above average. The 2011 season had the most hurricanes since 2006 and the most major hurricanes since 1998. Two hurricanes affected the southwestern coast of Mexico (Beatriz as a category 1 hurricane and Jova as a category 2 hurricane), and the season’s tropical cyclones caused about 49 deaths. On average, the National Hurricane Center track forecasts in the eastern North Pacific for 2011 were very skillful.

scholarly journals Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2007

2009 ◽  
Vol 137 (8) ◽  
pp. 2436-2447 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lixion A. Avila ◽  
Jamie Rhome
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
North Pacific Ocean ◽  
Ocean Basin ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Tropical Storms ◽  
Forecast Verification ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Mexico Border ◽  
Major Hurricane ◽  
National Hurricane Center

Abstract The hurricane season of 2007 in the eastern North Pacific Ocean basin is summarized, individual tropical cyclones are described, and a forecast verification is presented. The 2007 eastern North Pacific season was not an active one. There were 11 tropical storms, of which only 4 became hurricanes. Only one cyclone became a major hurricane. One hurricane struck Mexico and one tropical storm made landfall near the Guatemala–Mexico border. The 2007 National Hurricane Center forecast track errors were lower than the previous 5-yr means at all forecast lead times, and especially so for the 72-, 96-, and 120-h periods when the errors were 16%, 22%, and 20% lower, respectively. The official intensity forecasts had only limited skill.

scholarly journals Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2006

2009 ◽  
Vol 137 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard J. Pasch ◽  
Eric S. Blake ◽  
Lixion A. Avila ◽  
John L. Beven ◽  
Daniel P. Brown ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Tropical Storms ◽  
Pacific Basin ◽  
Property Damage ◽  
Mean Intensity ◽  
Tropical Depression ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
The Individual ◽  
North Pacific Basin

Abstract The hurricane season of 2006 in the eastern North Pacific basin is summarized, and the individual tropical cyclones are described. Also, the official track and intensity forecasts of these cyclones are verified and evaluated. The 2006 eastern North Pacific season was an active one, in which 18 tropical storms formed. Of these, 10 became hurricanes and 5 became major hurricanes. A total of 2 hurricanes and 1 tropical depression made landfall in Mexico, causing 13 direct deaths in that country along with significant property damage. On average, the official track forecasts in the eastern Pacific for 2006 were quite skillful. No appreciable improvement in mean intensity forecasts was noted, however.

scholarly journals Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2008

2010 ◽  
Vol 138 (3) ◽  
pp. 705-721 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric S. Blake ◽  
Richard J. Pasch
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Pacific Coast ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Tropical Storms ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Tropical Depressions ◽  
The Individual

Abstract The hurricane season of 2008 in the eastern North Pacific basin is summarized, and the individual tropical cyclones are described. Official track and intensity forecasts of these cyclones are also evaluated. The 2008 eastern North Pacific season was relatively quiet, with overall activity at about 75% of the long-term median. A total of 16 tropical storms formed, of which 7 became hurricanes and 2 became major hurricanes. One hurricane, one tropical storm, and two tropical depressions made landfall in Mexico, causing eight direct deaths in that country along with significant property damage. In addition, Tropical Storm Alma was the first tropical cyclone on record to make landfall along the Pacific coast of Nicaragua. On average, the official track forecasts in the eastern Pacific for 2008 were quite skillful and set records for accuracy from 1 to 3 days. However, no appreciable improvement in mean intensity forecast skill was noted.

Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2006

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (3) ◽  
pp. 1174-1200 ◽  
Author(s):  
James L. Franklin ◽  
Daniel P. Brown
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
The United States ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Track Forecast ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
First Time ◽  
National Hurricane Center

Abstract The 2006 Atlantic hurricane season is summarized and the year’s tropical cyclones are described. A verification of National Hurricane Center official forecasts during 2006 is also presented. Ten cyclones attained tropical storm intensity in 2006. Of these, five became hurricanes and two became “major” hurricanes. Overall activity was near the long-term mean, but below the active levels of recent seasons. For the first time since 2001, no hurricanes made landfall in the United States. Elsewhere in the basin, hurricane-force winds were experienced in Bermuda (from Florence) and in the Azores (from Gordon). Official track forecast errors were smaller in 2006 than during the previous 5-yr period (by roughly 15%–20% out to 72 h), establishing new all-time lows at forecast projections through 72 h. Since 1990, 24–72-h official track forecast errors have been reduced by roughly 50%.

The 2009 Hurricane Season in the Eastern North Pacific Basin: An Analysis of Environmental Conditions

2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (6) ◽  
pp. 1673-1682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer M. Collins ◽  
David R. Roache
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Normal Activity ◽  
El Niño Event ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Development Region

Abstract Despite the presence of an intensifying El Niño event, the 2009 eastern North Pacific hurricane season was near normal when considering overall hurricane activity. This is in contrast to the relative lull in activity observed between 1998 and 2008. Previous research has noted that the eastern North Pacific should be subdivided into two development regions, the western development region (WDR; 10°–20°N, 116°W–180°) and the eastern development region (EDR; 10°–20°N, North American coastline to 115.9°W), when examining interannual hurricane variability. In 2009, the EDR saw below average numbers of tropical cyclones of all intensities, while the WDR saw near-normal activity. However, activity in both regions varied sharply from month to month with periods of high activity in August and October and lower activity in July and September. This monthly variability was also observed in primary environmental forcing factors such as total precipitable water, tropospheric vertical wind shear, and low-level relative vorticity, particularly for the WDR. This variability was obscured by simply examining seasonal means. It is shown that for the 2009 season, large-scale environmental factors forced by the El Niño event and two cycles of the Madden–Julian oscillation contributed strongly to the observed patterns of cyclone activity across the basin.

The 2009 Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season: A Return to Normal Activity

Weatherwise ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 63 (3) ◽  
pp. 50-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Todd B. Kimberlain ◽  
Michael J. Brennan
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Normal Activity ◽  
Hurricane Season

scholarly journals Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2007

2009 ◽  
Vol 137 (12) ◽  
pp. 4061-4088 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Brennan ◽  
Richard D. Knabb ◽  
Michelle Mainelli ◽  
Todd B. Kimberlain
Keyword(s):  
The United States ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
First Year ◽  
Tropical Storms ◽  
Severe Damage ◽  
Hurricane Andrew ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Tropical Depressions

Abstract The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season had 15 named storms, including 14 tropical storms and 1 subtropical storm. Of these, six became hurricanes, including two major hurricanes, Dean and Felix, which reached category 5 intensity (on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale). In addition, there were two unnamed tropical depressions. While the number of hurricanes in the basin was near the long-term mean, 2007 became the first year on record with two category 5 landfalls, with Hurricanes Dean and Felix inflicting severe damage on Mexico and Nicaragua, respectively. Dean was the first category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic basin to make landfall in 15 yr, since Hurricane Andrew (1992). In total, eight systems made landfall in the basin during 2007, and the season’s tropical cyclones caused approximately 380 deaths. In the United States, one hurricane, one tropical storm, and three tropical depressions made landfall, resulting in 10 fatalities and about $50 million in damage.

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