The Optimality of Potential Rescaling Approaches in Land Data Assimilation

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 650-660 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Tugrul Yilmaz ◽  
Wade T. Crow

Abstract It is well known that systematic differences exist between modeled and observed realizations of hydrological variables like soil moisture. Prior to data assimilation, these differences must be removed in order to obtain an optimal analysis. A number of rescaling approaches have been proposed for this purpose. These methods include rescaling techniques based on matching sampled temporal statistics, minimizing the least squares distance between observations and models, and the application of triple collocation. Here, the authors evaluate the optimality and relative performances of these rescaling methods both analytically and numerically and find that a triple collocation–based rescaling method results in an optimal solution, whereas variance matching and linear least squares regression approaches result in only approximations to this optimal solution.

2000 ◽  
Vol 77 (5) ◽  
pp. 669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidney Young ◽  
Andrzej Wierzbicki

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena Moltchanova ◽  
Shirin Sharifiamina ◽  
Derrick J. Moot ◽  
Ali Shayanfar ◽  
Mark Bloomberg

AbstractHydrothermal time (HTT) models describe the time course of seed germination for a population of seeds under specific temperature and water potential conditions. The parameters of the HTT model are usually estimated using either a linear regression, non-linear least squares estimation or a generalized linear regression model. There are problems with these approaches, including loss of information, and censoring and lack of independence in the germination data. Model estimation may require optimization, and this can have a heavy computational burden. Here, we compare non-linear regression with survival and Bayesian methods, to estimate HTT models for germination of two clover species. All three methods estimated similar HTT model parameters with similar root mean squared errors. However, the Bayesian approach allowed (1) efficient estimation of model parameters without the need for computation-intensive methods and (2) easy comparison of HTT parameters for the two clover species. HTT models that accounted for a species effect were superior to those that did not. Inspection of credibility intervals and estimated posterior distributions for the Bayesian HTT model shows that it is credible that most HTT model parameters were different for the two clover species, and these differences were consistent with known biological differences between species in their germination behaviour.


2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 5967-6009 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. V. Kumar ◽  
C. D. Peters-Lidard ◽  
J. A. Santanello ◽  
R. H. Reichle ◽  
C. S. Draper ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Earth's land surface is characterized by tremendous natural heterogeneity and human engineered modifications, both of which are challenging to represent in land surface models. Satellite remote sensing is often the most practical and effective method to observe the land surface over large geographical areas. Agricultural irrigation is an important human induced modifications to natural land surface processes, as it is pervasive across the world and because of its significant influence on the regional and global water budgets. In this article, irrigation is used as an example of a human engineered, unmodeled land surface process, and the utility of satellite soil moisture retrievals over irrigated areas in the continental US is examined. Such retrievals are based on passive or active microwave observations from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E), the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2), the Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS) mission, WindSat and the Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT). The analysis suggests that the skill of these retrievals for representing irrigation artifacts is mixed, with ASCAT based products somewhat more skillful than SMOS and AMSR2 products. The article then examines the suitability of typical bias correction strategies in current land data assimilation systems when unmodeled processes dominate the bias between the model and the observations. Using a suite of synthetic experiments that includes bias correction strategies such as quantile mapping and trained forward modeling, it is demonstrated that the bias correction practices lead to the exclusion of the signals from unmodeled processes, if these processes are the major source of the biases. It is further shown that new methods are needed to preserve the observational information about unmodeled processes during data assimilation.


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