scholarly journals Atmosphere–Sea Ice Interactions during a Cyclone Passage Investigated by Using Model Simulations and Measurements

2005 ◽  
Vol 133 (12) ◽  
pp. 3678-3692 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Dierer ◽  
K. H. Schlünzen ◽  
G. Birnbaum ◽  
B. Brümmer ◽  
G. Müller

Abstract A high-resolution atmosphere–sea ice model is used to investigate the interactions between cyclones and sea ice cover in polar regions. For this purpose, a cyclone passage observed during the 1999 Fram Strait Cyclone Experiment (FRAMZY) is simulated for two consecutive days. The results of the coupled mesoscale transport and stream model–mesoscale sea ice model (METRAS–MESIM) are compared with aircraft and ice drift measurements. With the exception of temperature, all atmospheric parameters are well simulated. Main reasons for discrepancies were found in large differences between the measurements and the forcing data taken from the results of the regional model (REMO). In addition, advection was slightly wrong as a result of a 17° deviation in wind directions. The altogether well simulated wind field is interactively used to force the sea ice model MESIM; results agree well with drift buoy measurements. Average deviations of simulated and measured ice drift are smaller than 8° for direction and smaller than 3.7 cm s−1 for speed, which is less than 10% of the average speed. The simulated ratio between ice drift and wind velocity increases slightly during cyclone passage from 2.6% to 2.9%, a tendency also known from observations. During a 36-h period, the simulated sea ice concentration locally decreases up to 20% in accordance with measurements. A neglect of changing sea ice cover causes a decrease of the heat flux to the atmosphere from 53 to 12 W m−2. The values correspond to averages over the evaluation region (approximately 228 000 km2) and period (36 h). Temperature and humidity are decreased by 2 K and 0.2 g kg−1, respectively, over the ice-covered region. In contrast, the effect on pressure and wind remains small, probably because the cyclone does not move in the vicinity of the ice edge.

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yufang Ye ◽  
Mohammed Shokr ◽  
Georg Heygster ◽  
Gunnar Spreen

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1060 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lise Kilic ◽  
Catherine Prigent ◽  
Filipe Aires ◽  
Georg Heygster ◽  
Victor Pellet ◽  
...  

Over the last 25 years, the Arctic sea ice has seen its extent decline dramatically. Passive microwave observations, with their ability to penetrate clouds and their independency to sunlight, have been used to provide sea ice concentration (SIC) measurements since the 1970s. The Copernicus Imaging Microwave Radiometer (CIMR) is a high priority candidate mission within the European Copernicus Expansion program, with a special focus on the observation of the polar regions. It will observe at 6.9 and 10.65 GHz with 15 km spatial resolution, and at 18.7 and 36.5 GHz with 5 km spatial resolution. SIC algorithms are based on empirical methods, using the difference in radiometric signatures between the ocean and sea ice. Up to now, the existing algorithms have been limited in the number of channels they use. In this study, we proposed a new SIC algorithm called Ice Concentration REtrieval from the Analysis of Microwaves (IceCREAM). It can accommodate a large range of channels, and it is based on the optimal estimation. Linear relationships between the satellite measurements and the SIC are derived from the Round Robin Data Package of the sea ice Climate Change Initiative. The 6 and 10 GHz channels are very sensitive to the sea ice presence, whereas the 18 and 36 GHz channels have a better spatial resolution. A data fusion method is proposed to combine these two estimations. Therefore, IceCREAM will provide SIC estimates with the good accuracy of the 6+10GHz combination, and the high spatial resolution of the 18+36GHz combination.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wayne de Jager ◽  
Marcello Vichi

Abstract. Sea-ice extent variability, a measure based on satellite-derived sea ice concentration measurements, has traditionally been used as an essential climate variable to evaluate the impact of climate change on polar regions. However, concentration- based measurements of ice variability do not allow to discriminate the relative contributions made by thermodynamic and dynamic processes, prompting the need to use sea-ice drift products and develop alternative methods to quantify changes in sea ice dynamics that would indicate trends in Antarctic ice characteristics. Here, we present a new method to automate the detection of rotational drift features in Antarctic sea ice at daily timescales using currently available remote sensing ice motion products from EUMETSAT OSI SAF. Results show that there is a large discrepancy in the detection of cyclonic drift features between products, both in terms of intensity and year-to-year distributions, thus diminishing the confidence at which ice drift variability can be further analysed. Product comparisons showed that there was good agreement in detecting anticyclonic drift, and cyclonic drift features were measured to be 1.5–2.2 times more intense than anticyclonic features. The most intense features were detected by the merged product, suggesting that the processing chain used for this product could be injecting additional rotational momentum into the resultant drift vectors. We conclude that it is therefore necessary to better understand why the products lack agreement before further trend analysis of these drift features and their climatic significance can be assessed.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Lavergne ◽  
Atle Macdonald Sørensen ◽  
Stefan Kern ◽  
Rasmus Tonboe ◽  
Dirk Notz ◽  
...  

Abstract. We introduce the OSI-450, the SICCI-25km and the SICCI-50km climate data records of gridded global sea-ice concentration. These three records are derived from passive microwave satellite data and offer three distinct advantages compared to existing records: First, all three records provide quantitative information on uncertainty and possibly applied filtering at every grid point and every time step. Second, they are based on dynamic tie points, which capture the time evolution of surface characteristics of the ice cover and accommodate potential calibration differences between satellite missions. Third, they are produced in the context of sustained services offering committed extension, documentation, traceability, and user support. The three records differ in the underlying satellite data (SMMR & SSM/I & SSMIS or AMSR-E & AMSR2), in the imaging frequency channels (37 GHz and either 6 GHz or 19 GHz), in their horizontal resolution (25 km or 50 km) and in the time period they cover. We introduce the underlying algorithms and provide an initial evaluation. We find that all three records compare well with independent estimates of sea-ice concentration both in regions with very high sea-ice concentration and in regions with very low sea-ice concentration. We hence trust that these records will prove helpful for a better understanding of the evolution of the Earth's sea-ice cover.


Elem Sci Anth ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer V. Lukovich ◽  
Shabnam Jafarikhasragh ◽  
Paul G. Myers ◽  
Natasha A. Ridenour ◽  
Laura Castro de la Guardia ◽  
...  

In this analysis, we examine relative contributions from climate change and river discharge regulation to changes in marine conditions in the Hudson Bay Complex using a subset of five atmospheric forcing scenarios from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), river discharge data from the Hydrological Predictions for the Environment (HYPE) model, both naturalized (without anthropogenic intervention) and regulated (anthropogenically controlled through diversions, dams, reservoirs), and output from the Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean Ice-Ocean model for the 1981–2070 time frame. Investigated in particular are spatiotemporal changes in sea surface temperature, sea ice concentration and thickness, and zonal and meridional sea ice drift in response to (i) climate change through comparison of historical (1981–2010) and future (2021–2050 and 2041–2070) simulations, (ii) regulation through comparison of historical (1981–2010) naturalized and regulated simulations, and (iii) climate change and regulation combined through comparison of future (2021–2050 and 2041–2070) naturalized and regulated simulations. Also investigated is use of the diagnostic known as e-folding time spatial distribution to monitor changes in persistence in these variables in response to changing climate and regulation impacts in the Hudson Bay Complex. Results from this analysis highlight bay-wide and regional reductions in sea ice concentration and thickness in southwest and northeast Hudson Bay in response to a changing climate, and east-west asymmetry in sea ice drift response in support of past studies. Regulation is also shown to amplify or suppress the climate change signal. Specifically, regulation amplifies sea surface temperatures from April to August, suppresses sea ice loss by approximately 30% in March, contributes to enhanced sea ice drift speed by approximately 30%, and reduces meridional circulation by approximately 20% in January due to enhanced zonal drift. Results further suggest that the offshore impacts of regulation are amplified in a changing climate.


2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (7) ◽  
pp. 3207-3227
Author(s):  
Timothy Williams ◽  
Anton Korosov ◽  
Pierre Rampal ◽  
Einar Ólason

Abstract. The neXtSIM-F (neXtSIM forecast) forecasting system consists of a stand-alone sea ice model, neXtSIM (neXt-generation Sea Ice Model), forced by the TOPAZ ocean forecast and the ECMWF atmospheric forecast, combined with daily data assimilation of sea ice concentration. It uses the novel brittle Bingham–Maxwell (BBM) sea ice rheology, making it the first forecast based on a continuum model not to use the viscous–plastic (VP) rheology. It was tested in the Arctic for the time period November 2018–June 2020 and was found to perform well, although there are some shortcomings. Despite drift not being assimilated in our system, the sea ice drift is good throughout the year, being relatively unbiased, even for longer lead times like 5 d. The RMSE in speed and the total RMSE are also good for the first 3 or so days, although they both increase steadily with lead time. The thickness distribution is relatively good, although there are some regions that experience excessive thickening with negative implications for the summertime sea ice extent, particularly in the Greenland Sea. The neXtSIM-F forecasting system assimilates OSI SAF sea ice concentration products (both SSMIS and AMSR2) by modifying the initial conditions daily and adding a compensating heat flux to prevent removed ice growing back too quickly. The assimilation greatly improves the sea ice extent for the forecast duration.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Lavergne ◽  
Atle Macdonald Sørensen ◽  
Stefan Kern ◽  
Rasmus Tonboe ◽  
Dirk Notz ◽  
...  

Abstract. We introduce the OSI-450, the SICCI-25km and the SICCI-50km climate data records of gridded global sea-ice concentration. These three records are derived from passive microwave satellite data and offer three distinct advantages compared to existing records: first, all three records provide quantitative information on uncertainty and possibly applied filtering at every grid point and every time step. Second, they are based on dynamic tie points, which capture the time evolution of surface characteristics of the ice cover and accommodate potential calibration differences between satellite missions. Third, they are produced in the context of sustained services offering committed extension, documentation, traceability, and user support. The three records differ in the underlying satellite data (SMMR & SSM/I & SSMIS or AMSR-E & AMSR2), in the imaging frequency channels (37 GHz and either 6 or 19 GHz), in their horizontal resolution (25 or 50 km), and in the time period they cover. We introduce the underlying algorithms and provide an evaluation. We find that all three records compare well with independent estimates of sea-ice concentration both in regions with very high sea-ice concentration and in regions with very low sea-ice concentration. We hence trust that these records will prove helpful for a better understanding of the evolution of the Earth's sea-ice cover.


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