Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Marker of In-Hospital and Long-Term Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Objective Some researchers have studied about early prediction and diagnosis of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), but their accuracies were not high. Therefore, this paper proposes a soft voting ensemble classifier (SVE) using machine learning (ML) algorithms. Methods We used the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry dataset and selected 11,189 subjects among 13,104 with the 2-year follow-up. It was subdivided into two groups (ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), non ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction NSTEMI), and then subdivided into training (70%) and test dataset (30%). Third, we selected the ranges of hyper-parameters to find the best prediction model from random forest (RF), extra tree (ET), gradient boosting machine (GBM), and SVE. We generated each ML-based model with the best hyper-parameters, evaluated by 5-fold stratified cross-validation, and then verified by test dataset. Lastly, we compared the performance in the area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, recall, and F-score. Results The accuracies for RF, ET, GBM, and SVE were (88.85%, 88.94%, 87.84%, 90.93%) for complete dataset, (84.81%, 85.00%, 83.70%, 89.07%) STEMI, (88.81%, 88.05%, 91.23%, 91.38%) NSTEMI. The AUC values in RF were (98.96%, 98.15%, 98.81%), ET (99.54%, 99.02%, 99.00%), GBM (98.92%, 99.33%, 99.41%), and SVE (99.61%, 99.49%, 99.42%) for complete dataset, STEMI, and NSTEMI, respectively. Consequently, the accuracy and AUC in SVE outperformed other ML models. Conclusions The performance of our SVE was significantly higher than other machine learning models (RF, ET, GBM) and its major prognostic factors were different. This paper will lead to the development of early risk prediction and diagnosis tool of MACE in ACS patients.

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A Nomogram Based on Apelin-12 for the Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention among Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Cardiovascular Therapeutics ◽

10.1155/2020/9416803 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 2020 ◽

pp. 1-10 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Enfa Zhao ◽

Hang Xie ◽

Yushun Zhang

Keyword(s):

Myocardial Infarction ◽

Percutaneous Coronary Intervention ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Coronary Intervention ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events ◽

St Segment Elevation ◽

Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction ◽

St Segment ◽

Percutaneous Coronary

Objective. This study aimed to establish a clinical prognostic nomogram for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) among patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Methods. Information on 464 patients with STEMI who performed PCI procedures was included. After removing patients with incomplete clinical information, a total of 460 patients followed for 2.5 years were randomly divided into evaluation (n = 324) and validation (n = 136) cohorts. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify the significant factors associated with MACEs in the evaluation cohort, and then they were incorporated into the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by the discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. Results. Apelin-12 change rate, apelin-12 level, age, pathological Q wave, myocardial infarction history, anterior wall myocardial infarction, Killip’s classification > I, uric acid, total cholesterol, cTnI, and the left atrial diameter were independently associated with MACEs (all P<0.05). After incorporating these 11 factors, the nomogram achieved good concordance indexes of 0.758 (95%CI = 0.707–0.809) and 0.763 (95%CI = 0.689–0.837) in predicting MACEs in the evaluation and validation cohorts, respectively, and had well-fitted calibration curves. The decision curve analysis (DCA) revealed that the nomogram was clinically useful. Conclusions. We established and validated a novel nomogram that can provide individual prediction of MACEs for patients with STEMI after PCI procedures in a Chinese population. This practical prognostic nomogram may help clinicians in decision making and enable a more accurate risk assessment.

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Comparing the Prognostic Value of Hematological Indices in Patients With ST Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: “A Head to Head” Analysis

Angiology ◽

10.1177/0003319720977754 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 000331972097775

Author(s):

Serhat Sigirci ◽

Özgür Selim Ser ◽

Kudret Keskin ◽

Süleyman Sezai Yildiz ◽

Ahmet Gurdal ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Myocardial Infarction ◽

Mortality Rate ◽

Hospital Mortality ◽

Hematological Indices ◽

St Segment Elevation ◽

Lymphocyte Ratio ◽

Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction ◽

St Segment ◽

Long Term Mortality

Although there are reviews and meta-analyses focusing on hematological indices for risk prediction of mortality in patients with ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), there are not enough data with respect to direct to head-to-head comparison of their predictive values. We aimed to investigate which hematological indices have the most discriminatory capability for prediction of in-hospital and long-term mortality in a large STEMI cohort. We analyzed the data of 1186 patients with STEMI. In-hospital and long-term all-cause mortality was defined as the primary end point of the study. In-hospital mortality rate was 8.6% and long-term mortality rate 9.0%. Although the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and age were found to be independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in the multivariate regression analyses; Cox regression analysis revealed that age, ejection fraction, red cell distribution width (RDW), and monocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio (MHDLr) were independently associated with long-term mortality. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio had the highest area under curve value in the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses for prediction of in-hospital mortality. In conclusion, while NLR may be used for prediction of in-hospital mortality, RDW and MHDLr ratio are better hematological indices for long-term mortality prediction after STEMI than other most common indices.

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