Multi-step real-time wind speed prediction based on convolution memory network

2021 ◽  
pp. 0309524X2199826
Author(s):  
Guowei Cai ◽  
Yuqing Yang ◽  
Chao Pan ◽  
Dian Wang ◽  
Fengjiao Yu ◽  
...  

Multi-step real-time prediction based on the spatial correlation of wind speed is a research hotspot for large-scale wind power grid integration, and this paper proposes a multi-location multi-step wind speed combination prediction method based on the spatial correlation of wind speed. The correlation coefficients were determined by gray relational analysis for each turbine in the wind farm. Based on this, timing-control spatial association optimization is used for optimization and scheduling, obtaining spatial information on the typical turbine and its neighborhood information. This spatial information is reconstructed to improve the efficiency of spatial feature extraction. The reconstructed spatio-temporal information is input into a convolutional neural network with memory cells. Spatial feature extraction and multi-step real-time prediction are carried out, avoiding the problem of missing information affecting prediction accuracy. The method is innovative in terms of both efficiency and accuracy, and the prediction accuracy and generalization ability of the proposed method is verified by predicting wind speed and wind power for different wind farms.

2014 ◽  
Vol 511-512 ◽  
pp. 1099-1102
Author(s):  
Zhen Bao Sun

Recently, many countries have been pushing for a higher share of renewable energy sources, especially wind, in their generation mix. However, the intermittent and uncertain nature of wind power imposes a limit on the extent it can replace the conventional generation resources. In a high wind penetration scenario, the Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) offers a solution to the grid operation problems. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the merits of price-based operation of BESS in a real-time market with high wind penetration using frequency-linked pricing. The authors propose a real-time market in which real-time prices are based on the grid frequency. A model for real-time price-based operation of a conventional generator and a BESS is presented. Simulations for different wind penetration scenarios are carried out on an isolated area test system. Wind speed sequence is generated using composite wind speed model. A simplified model of wind speed to power conversion is adopted to observe the impact of increase in wind power generation on the grid frequency and the real-time prices.


Author(s):  
Keiichiro Sato ◽  
Ryoichi Shinkuma ◽  
Takehiro Sato ◽  
Eiji Oki ◽  
Takanori Iwai ◽  
...  

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (24) ◽  
pp. 8547
Author(s):  
Jane Marchand ◽  
Ajay Shetgaonkar ◽  
Jose Luis Rueda Torres ◽  
Aleksandra Lekic ◽  
Peter Palensky

Due to their weak nature, such as low inertia, offshore energy hubs are prone to unprecedented fast dynamic phenomena. This can lead to undesired instability problems. Recent literature, with main focus on onshore systems, suggests that electrolysers could be an attractive option to support wind generators in the mitigation of balancing problems. This paper presents an Electromagnetic Transient (EMT) model for real-time simulation based study of the dynamics of active power and voltage responses of offshore hubs due to wind speed fluctuations. The purpose of this study was to ascertain the ability of an electrolyser to support an offshore energy hub under different scenarios and with different locations of the electrolyser. Two locations of Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) electrolysers were considered: centralised (at the AC common bus of the hub) or distributed (at the DC link of the wind turbines). Numerical simulations conducted in RSCAD® on a 2 GW offshore hub with 4 × 500 MW wind power plants and 330 or 600 MW PEM electrolysers show that electrolysers can effectively support the mitigation of sudden wind speed variations, irrespective of the location. The distributed location of electrolysers can be beneficial to prevent large spillage of wind power generation during the isolation of faults within the hub.


2020 ◽  
Vol 185 ◽  
pp. 01051
Author(s):  
Runjie Shen ◽  
Danqiong Hua ◽  
Yiying Wang ◽  
Ruimin Xing ◽  
Min Ma

Wind power is developing rapidly in the context of sustainable development, and a series of problems such as wind curtailment and power curtailment have gradually emerged. The forecast of power generation output has become one of the hotspots of current research. This paper proposes a wind power plant output ultra-short-time prediction technology based on variational modal decomposition and particle swarm optimization least squares vector machine. Variational Modal Decomposition (VMD) method decomposes the historical output data of wind power plants at multiple levels. At the same time, it explores the impact of various decomposition methods such as EMD decomposition on the prediction accuracy, and uses the least squares support vector machine based on particle swarm optimization algorithm. Predictive summation is performed on each level of data separately to obtain a more accurate prediction effect, which has a certain improvement in prediction accuracy compared with traditional prediction algorithms.


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