Longitudinal Analysis of Light Rail and Streetcar Safety in the United States

2020 ◽  
Vol 2674 (9) ◽  
pp. 83-95
Author(s):  
Abubakr Ziedan ◽  
Candace Brakewood
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
The United States ◽  
Descriptive Statistics ◽  
Light Rail ◽  
Right Of Way ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Using Data ◽  
American Cities

Many American cities have launched or expanded light rail or streetcar services recently, which has resulted in a 61% increase in light rail and streetcar revenue miles nationwide during the period 2006–2016. Moreover, light rail and streetcars exhibit higher fatality rates per passenger mile traveled compared with other transit modes. In light of these trends, this study explores light rail and streetcar collisions, injuries, and fatalities using data obtained from the National Transit Database. This study applies a two-part methodology. In the first part, descriptive statistics are calculated for light rail and streetcar collisions, injuries, and fatalities, and a comparative analysis of light rail and streetcars is performed. In the second part, multilevel negative binomial regression models are used to analyze light rail and streetcar collisions and injuries. Three key findings have emerged from this study. First, the results generally align with findings from prior studies that show the majority of light rail and streetcar collisions occur in mixed right-of-way or near at-grade crossings. Second, this analysis revealed an issue predominantly at stations: 42% of light rail injuries were people waiting or leaving. Third, suicide was the leading cause of light rail fatalities, which represents 28% of all light rail fatalities. The implications of this study are important for cities that currently operate these modes or are planning to introduce new light rail or streetcar service to improve safety.

Managing Inflation

2016 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
William H. Fisher ◽  
Stephanie W. Hartwell ◽  
Xiaogang Deng
Keyword(s):  
Count Data ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Excess Zeros ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Negative Binomial Models ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Over Dispersion ◽  
Binomial Models

Poisson and negative binomial regression procedures have proliferated, and now are available in virtually all statistical packages. Along with the regression procedures themselves are procedures for addressing issues related to the over-dispersion and excessive zeros commonly observed in count data. These approaches, zero-inflated Poisson and zero-inflated negative binomial models, use logit or probit models for the “excess” zeros and count regression models for the counted data. Although these models are often appropriate on statistical grounds, their interpretation may prove substantively difficult. This article explores this dilemma, using data from a study of individuals released from facilities maintained by the Massachusetts Department of Correction.

scholarly journals Application of Discrete Regression Models for Analyzing K-8 Students Nonchronic Absenteeism in the United States

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Khairul Islam ◽  
Tanweer J. Shapla
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
The United States ◽  
Chronic Absenteeism ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
National Crisis ◽  
Binomial Regression

Absenteeism is a national crisis in the United States, and must be addressed adequately at the early stages or at its onset, to prevent consequential disaster and burden due to absenteeism. A pervasive and persuasive nonchronic absenteeism results in chronic absenteeism, and causes severe damage to students’ life, schools and societies. While a good number of articles address various issues relating to chronic absenteeism, no evidence of research exists investigating nonchronic absenteeism. The aim of this article is to investigate factors affecting nonchronic absenteeism in K-8 students in the United States by applying discrete regression models. Initially, we investigate K-8 students nonchronic absenteeism discrepancies due to socio-demographic and parental involvement factors via descriptive analysis and then employ Poisson and negative binomial regression models for exploring significant factors of K-8 nonchronic absenteeism. The findings of this study will be of great use to stakeholders in developing appropriate incentive measures for reducing nonchronic absenteeism early and thereby reducing chronic absenteeism.

scholarly journals Analysis of the correlation of socioeconomic, sanitary, and demographic factors with homicide deaths - Bahia, Brazil, 2013-2015

2020 ◽  
Vol 73 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiago Oliveira de Souza ◽  
Edinilsa Ramos de Souza ◽  
Liana Wernersbach Pinto
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Ecological Study ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Demographic Factors ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Legal Intervention ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Education Levels ◽  
Using Data

ABSTRACT Objective: To analyze the correlation of socioeconomic, sanitary, and demographic factors with homicides in Bahia, from 2013 to 2015. Methods: Ecological study, using data from the Information System on Mortality and from the Superintendence of Economic and Social Studies. The depending variable is the corrected homicide rate. Explanatory variables were categorized in four axes. Simple and multiple negative binomial regression models were used. Results: Positive associations were found between homicides and the Index of Economy and Finances (IEF), the Human Development Index, the Gini Index, population density, and legal intervention death rates (LIDR). The variables Index of Education Levels (IEL), rates of death with undetermined intentions (RDUI), and the proportion of ill-defined causes (IDC) presented a negative association with the homicide rates. Conclusion: The specific features of the context of each community, in addition to broader socioeconomic municipal factors, directly interfere in life conditions and increase the risk of dying by homicide.

Group regularization for zero-inflated negative binomial regression models with an application to health care demand in Germany

2018 ◽  
Vol 37 (20) ◽  
pp. 3012-3026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saptarshi Chatterjee ◽  
Shrabanti Chowdhury ◽  
Himel Mallick ◽  
Prithish Banerjee ◽  
Broti Garai
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Health Care Demand ◽  
Binomial Regression

What Do We Know About Changing Economic Activity of Firms?

2019 ◽  
pp. 232102221886979
Author(s):  
Radhika Pandey ◽  
Amey Sapre ◽  
Pramod Sinha
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Statistical Approach ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Large Data ◽  
Poisson Model ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
History Of

Identification of primary economic activity of firms is a prerequisite for compiling several macro aggregates. In this paper, we take a statistical approach to understand the extent of changes in primary economic activity of firms over time and across different industries. We use the history of economic activity of over 46,000 firms spread over 25 years from CMIE Prowess to identify the number of times firms change the nature of their business. Using the count of changes, we estimate Poisson and Negative Binomial regression models to gain predictability over changing economic activity across industry groups. We show that a Poisson model accurately characterizes the distribution of count of changes across industries and that firms with a long history are more likely to have changed their primary economic activity over the years. Findings show that classification can be a crucial problem in a large data set like the MCA21 and can even lead to distortions in value addition estimates at the industry level. JEL Classifications: D22, E00, E01

scholarly journals The Relationship between Near-Repeat Street Robbery and the Environment: Evidence from Malmö, Sweden

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 188
Author(s):  
Markus Rasmusson ◽  
Marco Helbich
Keyword(s):  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Socioeconomic Indicators ◽  
Law Enforcement Agencies ◽  
Environmental Characteristics ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Near Repeat ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Crime Event

Near-repeat crime refers to a pattern whereby one crime event is soon followed by a similar crime event at a nearby location. Existing research on near-repeat crime patterns is inconclusive about where near-repeat patterns emerge and which physical and social factors influence them. The present research addressed this gap by examining the relationship between initiator events (i.e., the first event in a near-repeat pattern) and environmental characteristics to estimate where near-repeat patterns are most likely to emerge. A two-step analysis was undertaken using data on street robberies reported in Malmö, Sweden, for the years 2006–15. After determining near-repeat patterns, we assessed the correlations between initiator events and criminogenic places and socioeconomic indicators using a negative binomial regression at a street segment level. Our results show that both criminogenic places and socioeconomic indicators have a significant influence on the spatial variation of initiator events, suggesting that environmental characteristics can be used to explain the emergence of near-repeat patterns. Law enforcement agencies can utilize the findings in efforts to prevent further street robberies from occurring.

Traffic accident modeling: some statistical issues

2006 ◽  
Vol 33 (9) ◽  
pp. 1115-1124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z Sawalha ◽  
T Sayed
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Model Building ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Outlier Analysis ◽  
Accident Prediction ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Statistical Issues

Accident prediction models are invaluable tools that have many applications in road safety analysis. However, there are certain statistical issues related to accident modeling that either deserve further attention or have not been dealt with adequately in the road safety literature. This paper discusses and illustrates how to deal with two statistical issues related to modeling accidents using Poisson and negative binomial regression. The first issue is that of model building or deciding which explanatory variables to include in an accident prediction model. The study differentiates between applications for which it is advisable to avoid model over-fitting and other applications for which it is desirable to fit the model to the data as closely as possible. It then suggests procedures for developing parsimonious models, i.e., models that are not over-fitted, and best-fit models. The second issue discussed in the paper is that of outlier analysis. The study suggests a procedure for the identification and exclusion of extremely influential outliers from the development of Poisson and negative binomial regression models. The procedures suggested for model building and conducting outlier analysis are more straightforward to apply in the case of Poisson regression models because of an added complexity presented by the shape parameter of the negative binomial distribution. The paper, therefore, presents flowcharts detailing the application of the procedures when modeling is carried out using negative binomial regression. The described procedures are then applied in the development of negative binomial accident prediction models for the urban arterials of the cities of Vancouver and Richmond located in the province of British Columbia, Canada. Key words: accident prediction models, overfitting, parsimony, outlier analysis, Poisson regression, negative binomial regression.

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