scholarly journals Analysis of the correlation of socioeconomic, sanitary, and demographic factors with homicide deaths - Bahia, Brazil, 2013-2015

2020 ◽  
Vol 73 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiago Oliveira de Souza ◽  
Edinilsa Ramos de Souza ◽  
Liana Wernersbach Pinto
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Ecological Study ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Demographic Factors ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Legal Intervention ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Education Levels ◽  
Using Data

ABSTRACT Objective: To analyze the correlation of socioeconomic, sanitary, and demographic factors with homicides in Bahia, from 2013 to 2015. Methods: Ecological study, using data from the Information System on Mortality and from the Superintendence of Economic and Social Studies. The depending variable is the corrected homicide rate. Explanatory variables were categorized in four axes. Simple and multiple negative binomial regression models were used. Results: Positive associations were found between homicides and the Index of Economy and Finances (IEF), the Human Development Index, the Gini Index, population density, and legal intervention death rates (LIDR). The variables Index of Education Levels (IEL), rates of death with undetermined intentions (RDUI), and the proportion of ill-defined causes (IDC) presented a negative association with the homicide rates. Conclusion: The specific features of the context of each community, in addition to broader socioeconomic municipal factors, directly interfere in life conditions and increase the risk of dying by homicide.

Managing Inflation

2016 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
William H. Fisher ◽  
Stephanie W. Hartwell ◽  
Xiaogang Deng
Keyword(s):  
Count Data ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Excess Zeros ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Negative Binomial Models ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Over Dispersion ◽  
Binomial Models

Poisson and negative binomial regression procedures have proliferated, and now are available in virtually all statistical packages. Along with the regression procedures themselves are procedures for addressing issues related to the over-dispersion and excessive zeros commonly observed in count data. These approaches, zero-inflated Poisson and zero-inflated negative binomial models, use logit or probit models for the “excess” zeros and count regression models for the counted data. Although these models are often appropriate on statistical grounds, their interpretation may prove substantively difficult. This article explores this dilemma, using data from a study of individuals released from facilities maintained by the Massachusetts Department of Correction.

Longitudinal Analysis of Light Rail and Streetcar Safety in the United States

2020 ◽  
Vol 2674 (9) ◽  
pp. 83-95
Author(s):  
Abubakr Ziedan ◽  
Candace Brakewood
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
The United States ◽  
Descriptive Statistics ◽  
Light Rail ◽  
Right Of Way ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Using Data ◽  
American Cities

Many American cities have launched or expanded light rail or streetcar services recently, which has resulted in a 61% increase in light rail and streetcar revenue miles nationwide during the period 2006–2016. Moreover, light rail and streetcars exhibit higher fatality rates per passenger mile traveled compared with other transit modes. In light of these trends, this study explores light rail and streetcar collisions, injuries, and fatalities using data obtained from the National Transit Database. This study applies a two-part methodology. In the first part, descriptive statistics are calculated for light rail and streetcar collisions, injuries, and fatalities, and a comparative analysis of light rail and streetcars is performed. In the second part, multilevel negative binomial regression models are used to analyze light rail and streetcar collisions and injuries. Three key findings have emerged from this study. First, the results generally align with findings from prior studies that show the majority of light rail and streetcar collisions occur in mixed right-of-way or near at-grade crossings. Second, this analysis revealed an issue predominantly at stations: 42% of light rail injuries were people waiting or leaving. Third, suicide was the leading cause of light rail fatalities, which represents 28% of all light rail fatalities. The implications of this study are important for cities that currently operate these modes or are planning to introduce new light rail or streetcar service to improve safety.

scholarly journals Overdisp: A Stata (and Mata) Package for Direct Detection of Overdispersion in Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 773-789
Author(s):  
Luiz Paulo Lopes Fávero ◽  
Patrícia Belfiore ◽  
Marco Aurélio dos Santos ◽  
R. Freitas Souza
Keyword(s):  
Count Data ◽  
Data Model ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Direct Detection ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
The Other ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Data Regression ◽  
Binomial Regression

Stata has several procedures that can be used in analyzing count-data regression models and, more specifically, in studying the behavior of the dependent variable, conditional on explanatory variables. Identifying overdispersion in countdata models is one of the most important procedures that allow researchers to correctly choose estimations such as Poisson or negative binomial, given the distribution of the dependent variable. The main purpose of this paper is to present a new command for the identification of overdispersion in the data as an alternative to the procedure presented by Cameron and Trivedi [5], since it directly identifies overdispersion in the data, without the need to previously estimate a specific type of count-data model. When estimating Poisson or negative binomial regression models in which the dependent variable is quantitative, with discrete and non-negative values, the new Stata package overdisp helps researchers to directly propose more consistent and adequate models. As a second contribution, we also present a simulation to show the consistency of the overdispersion test using the overdisp command. Findings show that, if the test indicates equidispersion in the data, there are consistent evidence that the distribution of the dependent variable is, in fact, Poisson. If, on the other hand, the test indicates overdispersion in the data, researchers should investigate more deeply whether the dependent variable actually exhibits better adherence to the Poisson-Gamma distribution or not.

scholarly journals Analysis of Nonsevere Crashes on Two- and Four-Lane Urban and Rural Highways: Effects of Wet Pavement Surface Condition

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aschalew Kassu ◽  
Michael Anderson
Keyword(s):  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Surface Condition ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Segment Length ◽  
Mean Values ◽  
Rural Highways ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
Pavement Surface ◽  
Binomial Regression

This study examines the effects of wet pavement surface conditions on the likelihood of occurrences of nonsevere crashes in two- and four-lane urban and rural highways in Alabama. Initially, sixteen major highways traversing across the geographic locations of the state were identified. Among these highways, the homogenous routes with equal mean values, variances, and similar distributions of the crash data were identified and combined to form crash datasets occurring on dry and wet pavements separately. The analysis began with thirteen explanatory variables covering engineering, environmental, and traffic conditions. The principal terms were statistically identified and used in a mathematical crash frequency models developed using Poisson and negative binomial regression models. The results show that the key factors influencing nonsevere crashes on wet pavement surfaces are mainly segment length, traffic volume, and posted speed limits.

scholarly journals Handling of Overdispersion in the Poisson Regression Model with Negative Binomial for the Number of New Cases of Leprosy in Java

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Yopi Ariesia Ulfa ◽  
Agus M Soleh ◽  
Bagus Sartono
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression Model ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Directorate General ◽  
The Republic ◽  
And Control

Based on data from the Directorate General of Disease Prevention and Control of the Ministry of Health of the Republic of Indonesia, in 2017, new leprosy cases that emerged on Java Island were the highest in Indonesia compared to the number of events on other islands. The purpose of this study is to compare Poisson regression to a negative binomial regression model to be applied to the data on the number of new cases of leprosy and to find out what explanatory variables have a significant effect on the number of new cases of leprosy in Java. This study's results indicate that a negative binomial regression model can overcome the Poisson regression model's overdispersion. Variables that significantly affect the number of new cases of leprosy based on the results of negative binomial regression modeling are total population, percentage of children under five years who had immunized with BCG, and percentage of the population with sustainable access to clean water.

Group regularization for zero-inflated negative binomial regression models with an application to health care demand in Germany

2018 ◽  
Vol 37 (20) ◽  
pp. 3012-3026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saptarshi Chatterjee ◽  
Shrabanti Chowdhury ◽  
Himel Mallick ◽  
Prithish Banerjee ◽  
Broti Garai
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Health Care Demand ◽  
Binomial Regression

What Do We Know About Changing Economic Activity of Firms?

2019 ◽  
pp. 232102221886979
Author(s):  
Radhika Pandey ◽  
Amey Sapre ◽  
Pramod Sinha
Keyword(s):  
Economic Activity ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Statistical Approach ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Large Data ◽  
Poisson Model ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
History Of

Identification of primary economic activity of firms is a prerequisite for compiling several macro aggregates. In this paper, we take a statistical approach to understand the extent of changes in primary economic activity of firms over time and across different industries. We use the history of economic activity of over 46,000 firms spread over 25 years from CMIE Prowess to identify the number of times firms change the nature of their business. Using the count of changes, we estimate Poisson and Negative Binomial regression models to gain predictability over changing economic activity across industry groups. We show that a Poisson model accurately characterizes the distribution of count of changes across industries and that firms with a long history are more likely to have changed their primary economic activity over the years. Findings show that classification can be a crucial problem in a large data set like the MCA21 and can even lead to distortions in value addition estimates at the industry level. JEL Classifications: D22, E00, E01

scholarly journals The Relationship between Near-Repeat Street Robbery and the Environment: Evidence from Malmö, Sweden

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 188
Author(s):  
Markus Rasmusson ◽  
Marco Helbich
Keyword(s):  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Socioeconomic Indicators ◽  
Law Enforcement Agencies ◽  
Environmental Characteristics ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Near Repeat ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Crime Event

Near-repeat crime refers to a pattern whereby one crime event is soon followed by a similar crime event at a nearby location. Existing research on near-repeat crime patterns is inconclusive about where near-repeat patterns emerge and which physical and social factors influence them. The present research addressed this gap by examining the relationship between initiator events (i.e., the first event in a near-repeat pattern) and environmental characteristics to estimate where near-repeat patterns are most likely to emerge. A two-step analysis was undertaken using data on street robberies reported in Malmö, Sweden, for the years 2006–15. After determining near-repeat patterns, we assessed the correlations between initiator events and criminogenic places and socioeconomic indicators using a negative binomial regression at a street segment level. Our results show that both criminogenic places and socioeconomic indicators have a significant influence on the spatial variation of initiator events, suggesting that environmental characteristics can be used to explain the emergence of near-repeat patterns. Law enforcement agencies can utilize the findings in efforts to prevent further street robberies from occurring.

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