scholarly journals Bayesian analysis of multi-type recurrent events and dependent termination with nonparametric covariate functions

2015 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
pp. 2869-2884 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-An Lin ◽  
Sheng Luo ◽  
Bingshu E Chen ◽  
Barry R Davis

Multi-type recurrent event data occur frequently in longitudinal studies. Dependent termination may occur when the terminal time is correlated to recurrent event times. In this article, we simultaneously model the multi-type recurrent events and a dependent terminal event, both with nonparametric covariate functions modeled by B-splines. We develop a Bayesian multivariate frailty model to account for the correlation among the dependent termination and various types of recurrent events. Extensive simulation results suggest that misspecifying nonparametric covariate functions may introduce bias in parameter estimation. This method development has been motivated by and applied to the lipid-lowering trial component of the Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering Treatment to Prevent Heart Attack Trial.

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Guanglei Yu

[ACCESS RESTRICTED TO THE UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI AT AUTHOR'S REQUEST.] Recurrent event data and panel count data are two common types of data that have been studied extensively in event history studies in literature. By recurrent event data, we mean that subjects are observed continuously in the follow-up study and thus occurrence times of recurrent events of interest are available. For panel count data, subjects are monitored periodically at discrete observation times and thus only numbers of recurrent events between two subsequent observations are recorded. In addition, one may face mixed panel count data in practice, which are the mixture of recurrent event data and panel count data. They arise when each study subject may be observed continuously during the whole study period, continuously over some study periods and at some time points otherwise, or only at some discrete time points. That is, these mixed data provide complete or incomplete information on the recurrent event process over different time periods for different subjects. It is well-known that in panel count data, the observation process may carry information on the underlying recurrent event process and the censoring may also be dependent in practice. Under such circumstance, the first part of this dissertation will discuss regression analysis of panel count data with informative observations and drop-outs. For the problem, a general means model is presented that can allow both additive and multiplicative effects of covariates on the underlying recurrent event process. In addition, the proportional rates model and the accelerated failure time model are employed to describe the covariate effects on the observation process and the dropout or follow-up process, respectively. For estimation of regression parameters, some estimating equation-based procedures are developed and the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established. In addition, a resampling approach is proposed for the estimation of the covariance matrix of the proposed estimator and a model checking procedure is also provided. The results from an extensive simulation study indicate that the proposed methodology works well for practical situations and it is applied to a motivated set of real data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) given in Section 1.1.2.2. In the second part of this dissertation, we will consider regression analysis of mixed panel count data. One major problem in the statistical inference on the mixed data is to combine these two different types of data structures. Since panel count data can be viewed as interval-censored recurrent event data with exact occurrence times of events of interest unobserved or missing, they may be augmented by filling in those missing data by imputation. Then the mixed data can be converted to recurrent event data on which the existing statistical inference method can be easily implemented. Motivated by this, a multiple imputation-based estimation approach is proposed. A simulation study is conducted to study the finite-sample properties of the proposed methodology and it shows that the proposed method is more efficient than the existing method. Also, an illustrative example from the CCSS is provided. The third part of this dissertation still considers regression analysis of mixed panel count data but in the presence of a dependent terminal event, which precludes further occurrence of either recurrent events of interest or observations. For this problem, we present a marginal modeling approach which acknowledges the fact that there will be no more recurrent events after the terminal event and leaves the correlation structure unspecified. To estimate the parameters of interest, an estimating equation-based procedure is developed and the inverse probability of survival weighting technique is used. Asymptotic properties of proposed estimators are also established and finite-sample properties are assessed in a simulation study. We again apply this proposed methodology to the CCSS. In the last part of this dissertation, we will discuss some work directions of the future research.


2012 ◽  
Vol 31 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 1162-1176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yassin Mazroui ◽  
Simone Mathoulin-Pelissier ◽  
Pierre Soubeyran ◽  
Virginie Rondeau

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 1368-1385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Tawiah ◽  
Geoffrey J McLachlan ◽  
Shu Kay Ng

Many medical studies yield data on recurrent clinical events from populations which consist of a proportion of cured patients in the presence of those who experience the event at several times (uncured). A frailty mixture cure model has recently been postulated for such data, with an assumption that the random subject effect (frailty) of each uncured patient is constant across successive gap times between recurrent events. We propose two new models in a more general setting, assuming a multivariate time-varying frailty with an AR(1) correlation structure for each uncured patient and addressing multilevel recurrent event data originated from multi-institutional (multi-centre) clinical trials, using extra random effect terms to adjust for institution effect and treatment-by-institution interaction. To solve the difficulties in parameter estimation due to these highly complex correlation structures, we develop an efficient estimation procedure via an EM-type algorithm based on residual maximum likelihood (REML) through the generalised linear mixed model (GLMM) methodology. Simulation studies are presented to assess the performances of the models. Data sets from a colorectal cancer study and rhDNase multi-institutional clinical trial were analyzed to exemplify the proposed models. The results demonstrate a large positive AR(1) correlation among frailties across successive gap times, indicating a constant frailty may not be realistic in some situations. Comparisons of findings with existing frailty models are discussed.


Author(s):  
Hsiang Yu ◽  
Yu-Jen Cheng ◽  
Ching-Yun Wang

AbstractRecurrent event data arise frequently in many longitudinal follow-up studies. Hence, evaluating covariate effects on the rates of occurrence of such events is commonly of interest. Examples include repeated hospitalizations, recurrent infections of HIV, and tumor recurrences. In this article, we consider semiparametric regression methods for the occurrence rate function of recurrent events when the covariates may be measured with errors. In contrast to the existing works, in our case the conventional assumption of independent censoring is violated since the recurrent event process is interrupted by some correlated events, which is called informative drop-out. Further, some covariates may be measured with errors. To accommodate for both informative censoring and measurement error, the occurrence of recurrent events is modelled through an unspecified frailty distribution and accompanied with a classical measurement error model. We propose two corrected approaches based on different ideas, and we show that they are numerically identical when estimating the regression parameters. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established, and the finite sample performance is examined via simulations. The proposed methods are applied to the Nutritional Prevention of Cancer trial for assessing the effect of the plasma selenium treatment on the recurrence of squamous cell carcinoma.


2012 ◽  
Vol 461 ◽  
pp. 637-641
Author(s):  
Huan Bin Liu ◽  
Ying Ye

In this paper, the additive-multiplicative hazards model with gap time data of recurrent events is studied. Based on this model, two cases are discussed, i.e., the observed data are gap time of recurrent event, and the observed data are a group recurrent events recurrence one time, and the parametric and nonparametric estimations are given. Then the efficiency of estimators for these two cases is compared.


2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (10) ◽  
pp. 2239-2255
Author(s):  
Tianmeng Lyu ◽  
Xianghua Luo ◽  
Chiung-Yu Huang ◽  
Yifei Sun

Various regression methods have been proposed for analyzing recurrent event data. Among them, the semiparametric additive rates model is particularly appealing because the regression coefficients quantify the absolute difference in the occurrence rate of the recurrent events between different groups. Estimation of the additive rates model requires the values of time-dependent covariates being observed throughout the entire follow-up period. In practice, however, the time-dependent covariates are usually only measured at intermittent follow-up visits. In this paper, we propose to kernel smooth functions involving time-dependent covariates across subjects in the estimating function, as opposed to imputing individual covariate trajectories. Simulation studies show that the proposed method outperforms simple imputation methods. The proposed method is illustrated with data from an epidemiologic study of the effect of streptococcal infections on recurrent pharyngitis episodes.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Rianti Siswi Utami ◽  
Danardono Danardono

Multiple imputation is one of estimation method used to impute missing observations. This method imputes missing observation several times then it is more possible to get the right estimate than just one time imputation. In this research, the method will be applied to estimate missing observations in covariates of recurrent event data. Some multiple imputation methods will be considered including combination of the event indicator, the event  times,   the logarithm of event times, and the cumulative baseline hazard. To compare these methods, Monte Carlo simulation will be used based on relative bias and Mean Squared Error (MSE). The recurrent events will be modelled using Cox proportional hazard model. Furthermore, real data application will be presented.


Filomat ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 30 (11) ◽  
pp. 3015-3021
Author(s):  
June Liu ◽  
Huanbin Liu

Recurrent events are frequently observed in biomedical studies, and often more than one type of event is of interest. In this paper, we first propose a general class of accelerated means regression models for multiple type recurrent event data. We then formulate estimating equations for the model parameters, and finally examine asymptotic properties of the parameter estimators.


Author(s):  
Anthony Joe Turkson ◽  
Timothy Simpson ◽  
John Awuah Addor

A recurrent event remains the outcome variable of interest in many biometric studies. Recurrent events can be explained as events of defined interest that can occur to same person more than once during the study period. This study presents an overview of different pertinent recurrent models for analyzing recurrent events. Aims: To introduce, compare, evaluate and discuss pros and cons of four models in analyzing recurrent events, so as to validate previous findings in respect of the superiority or appropriateness of these models. Study Design:  A comparative studies based on simulation of recurrent event models applied to a tertiary data on cancer studies.  Methodology: Codes in R were implemented for simulating four recurrent event models, namely; The Andersen and Gill model; Prentice, Williams and Peterson models; Wei, Lin and Weissferd; and Cox frailty model. Finally, these models were applied to analyze the first forty subjects from a study of Bladder Cancer Tumors. The data set contained the first four repetitions of the tumor for each patient, and each recurrence time was recorded from the entry time of the patient into the study. An isolated risk interval is defined by each time to an event or censoring. Results: The choice and usage of any of the models lead to different conclusions, but the choice depends on: risk intervals; baseline hazard; risk set; and correlation adjustment or simplistically, type of data and research question. The PWP-GT model could be used if the research question is focused on whether treatment was effective for the  event since the previous event happened. However, if the research question is designed to find out whether treatment was effective for the  event since the start of treatment, then we could use the PWP- TT. The AG model will be adequate if a common baseline hazard could be assumed, but the model lacks the details and versatility of the event-specific models. The WLW model is very suitable for data with diverse events for the same person, which underscores a potentially different baseline hazard for each type. Conclusion: PWP-GT has proven to be the most useful model for analyzing recurrent event data.


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