Improved Prediction from Revised Injury Severity Classification (RISC) over Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) in an Independent Evaluation of Major Trauma Patients

2010 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
pp. 1530-1538 ◽  
Author(s):  
D Brilej ◽  
M Vlaović ◽  
R Komadina
Trauma ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 146040862110418
Author(s):  
Annelise M Cocco ◽  
Vignesh Ratnaraj ◽  
Benjamin PT Loveday ◽  
Kellie Gumm ◽  
Phillip Antippa ◽  
...  

Introduction Blunt diaphragm injury (BDI) is an uncommon, potentially fatal consequence of blunt torso injury. While associations between BDI and other factors such as mechanism of injury or other injuries have been described elsewhere, little recent research has been done in Australia into BDI. The aims of this study were to determine the incidence rate of BDI in our centre, identify how it was diagnosed, determine rates of missed injury and identify predictive factors for BDI. The hypothesis was that patients with BDI would significantly differ to those without BDI. Methods All major trauma patients with blunt torso injuries at our Level 1 major trauma service from 2010 to 2018 were included. Data for patient demographics, other injuries, diagnosis and treatment of BDI were extracted. Patients with BDI were compared with patients without BDI in order to identify differences that could be used to predict BDI in future patients. Results Of 5190 patients with a blunt torso injury, 51 (0.98%) had a BDI at a mean age of 53 ± 19.6 years, and median Injury Severity Score (ISS) of 27(IQR 21–38.5) compared with 5139 patients with a mean age of 48.2 ± 20.7 years and median ISS of 21.9(IQR 14–26) who did not have a BDI. The diagnosis of BDI was made at CT ( n = 35), surgery ( n = 14) or autopsy ( n = 2). Blunt diaphragm injury was missed on index imaging for 11 of 43 patients (25.6%). On multivariate analysis, each point increase in ISS (OR 1.03, p = 0.02); rib fractures (OR 4.65, p = 0.004); splenic injury (OR 2.60, p = 0.004); and liver injury (OR 2.78, p = 0.003) were independently associated with BDI. Conclusion Injury Severity Score, rib fractures and solid abdominal organ injury increase the likelihood of BDI. In patients with these injuries, BDI should be considered even in the presence of normal CT findings.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chiaki Toida ◽  
Takashi Muguruma ◽  
Masayasu Gakumazawa ◽  
Mafumi Shinohara ◽  
Takeru Abe ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: In-hospital mortality in trauma patients decreased recently owing to improved trauma injury prevention systems. However, no study which evaluated the validity of Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) in pediatrics by detailed classification of patients’ age and injury severity in Japan. This retrospective nationwide study evaluated the validity of TRISS in predicting survival in Japanese pediatric patients with blunt trauma by age and injury severity.Methods: Data were obtained from the Japan Trauma Data Bank during 2009−2018.Results: In all age categories, the area under the curve (AUC) for TRISS demonstrated high performance (0.935, 0.981, 0.979, and 0.977). The Accuracy of TRISS was 99.9%, 98.2%, 92.1%, 76.7%, 55.3%, and 72.1% in survival probability (Ps) interval groups (0.96−1.00), (0.91−0.95), (0.76.−0.90), (0.51−0.75), (0.26−0.50), and (0.00−0.25), respectively. The AUC for TRISS demonstrated moderate performance in the Ps interval group (0.96−1.00) and low performance in other Ps interval groups.Conclusions: The TRISS methodology appears to predict survival accurately in Japanese pediatric patients with blunt trauma; however, there were several problems in adopting the TRISS methodology for younger blunt trauma patients with higher injury severity. In the future, we should consider to conducting a simple, high-quality prediction model that is more suitable for pediatric trauma patients than the current TRISS model.


2004 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 299-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gustavo Pereira Fraga ◽  
Mario Mantovani ◽  
Luís Alberto Magna

OBJETIVO: O trauma é um problema de saúde pública de enormes proporções. Constitui-se na principal causa de óbitos na população jovem. O Major Trauma Outcome Study (MTOS) é um estudo descritivo e retrospectivo da gravidade das lesões e evolução dos pacientes, considerado como o maior arquivo contemporâneo de informações descritivas de traumatizados. O objetivo do presente estudo é comparar o cálculo retrospectivo do New Injury Severity Score (NISS) com o Injury Severity Score (ISS) já calculado prospectivamente, utilizando o Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) e uma simples modificação deste índice, denominado de NTRISS (New Trauma and Injury Severity Score), e também comparar esta população submetida à laparotomia com os pacientes do MTOS. MÉTODO: Foram estudados 1.380 pacientes adultos traumatizados e submetidos à laparotomia na Disciplina de Cirurgia do Trauma da Unicamp, em Campinas, durante um período de oito anos. Os dados avaliados foram: demográficos, causa do trauma (fechado ou penetrante, ferimento por projétil de arma de fogo ou arma branca), estado fisiológico na admissão (RTS), diagnóstico anatômico de lesões (ATI, ISS e NISS), probabilidade de sobrevida utilizando o TRISS e o NTRISS, e a evolução do paciente (sobrevivência ou óbito). Foram utilizadas as estatísticas Z e W, inicialmente descritas por Flora, a fim de comparar a predição de óbitos ou sobreviventes com o estudo controle (MTOS). RESULTADOS: A maioria dos pacientes (88,3%) era do sexo masculino e jovem (média de idade de 30,4 anos). O ferimento por projétil de arma de fogo foi o mecanismo de trauma mais freqüente, com 641 casos (46,4%). Quatrocentos e trinta pacientes (31,2%) sofreram trauma fechado. As médias do ATI, ISS e NISS foram, respectivamente, de 12,3, 17,6 e 22,1. A taxa global de mortalidade foi de 16,8% e os pacientes com trauma contuso tiveram a maior mortalidade (29,3%). O NISS identificou melhor os sobreviventes e óbitos se comparado ao ISS, obtendo-se uma maior especificidade com o NTRISS. Foi observado um número significativamente menor de sobreviventes do que o esperado pelo estudo basal, com Z -16,24 com o TRISS e Z -9,40 se aplicado o NTRISS. Variações no valor da estatística W para cada paciente mostraram uma diferença no número de óbitos equivalente a 7,89 mais casos de óbito do que o esperado pelo MTOS, por 100 pacientes tratados, ao se empregar o TRISS, enquanto que estes valores foram reduzidos para 5,14 utilizando-se o NTRISS. CONCLUSÕES: Os métodos utilizados para cálculo da probabilidade de sobrevivência apresentaram limitações, particularmente nesta população com predomínio dos traumas penetrantes. O NISS, com o seu derivado NTRISS, foi o escore que obteve uma melhor predição de sobrevivência se comparado com o ISS. Os resultados obtidos com o TRISS e NTRISS foram estatisticamente piores do que os do MTOS, porém este processo de monitorização destes pacientes traumatizados tem sido importante para assegurar uma condição continuada de controle de qualidade.


Trauma ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 220-228
Author(s):  
Saleem Varachhia ◽  
Vidya Ramcharitar Maharaj ◽  
Joanne F Paul ◽  
Paula Robertson ◽  
Paula Nunes ◽  
...  

Introduction There are few data on major trauma in the developing world. This study investigated the characteristics and outcomes of seriously injured patients in Trinidad and Tobago, using Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) methodology. We also aimed to assess the predictive accuracy of the TRISS model in patients in Trinidad and Tobago. Methods Retrospective data from major trauma patients attending the Emergency Department of a tertiary hospital in Trinidad between 2010 and 2014 were analysed. Patients ≥18 years having an Injury Severity Score >15 were included. The impact of age, gender, comorbidities, mechanisms and patterns of injury on mortality was investigated. Using TRISS methodology, predicted mortality was calculated and compared to actual mortality. Results Of 323 patients analysed, 284 were male and 24 were aged ≥65 years. The commonest injury mechanisms in younger people were motor vehicle accidents (34.1%) and stabbings (30.8%) compared to falls (66.7%) and motor vehicle accidents (20.8%) in people aged ≥65 years. The commonest areas injured were the chest in younger patients (81.9%) and the head and neck in patients aged ≥65 years (58.3%). Women’s mortality rates were similar to men (RR 1.8; 95% CI 0.7–4.9). Mortality was higher with age ≥65 years (RR 7.0; 95% CI 3.1–15.9), blunt trauma (RR 7.6; 95% CI 1.8–32.4) and Charlson Comorbidity Index of 1 or more (RR 3.2; 95% CI 1.3–8.0). The TRISS model performed well at lower ISS scores and was excellent at predicting survival (discrimination statistic 0.94). Conclusion Multiple factors influence mortality in major trauma patients in Trinidad and Tobago, including age, co-morbidities and injury mechanism. TRISS methodology accurately predicted survival in this population but was better at predicting mortality in patients with lower Injury Severity Score.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chiaki Toida ◽  
Takashi Muguruma ◽  
Masayasu Gakumazawa ◽  
Mafumi Shinohara ◽  
Takeru Abe ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In-hospital mortality in trauma patients has decreased recently owing to improved trauma injury prevention systems. However, no study has evaluated the validity of the Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) in pediatric patients by a detailed classification of patients’ age and injury severity in Japan. This retrospective nationwide study evaluated the validity of TRISS in predicting survival in Japanese pediatric patients with blunt trauma by age and injury severity. Methods Data were obtained from the Japan Trauma Data Bank during 2009–2018. The outcomes were as follows: (1) patients’ characteristics and mortality by age groups (neonates/infants aged 0 years, preschool children aged 1–5 years, schoolchildren aged 6–11 years, and adolescents aged 12–18 years), (2) validity of survival probability (Ps) assessed using the TRISS methodology by the four age groups and six Ps-interval groups (0.00–0.25, 0.26–0.50, 0.51–0.75, 0.76–0.90, 0.91–0.95, and 0.96–1.00), and (3) the observed/expected survivor ratio by age- and Ps-interval groups. The validity of TRISS was evaluated by the predictive ability of the TRISS method using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves that present the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, accuracy, area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of TRISS. Results In all the age categories considered, the AUC for TRISS demonstrated high performance (0.935, 0.981, 0.979, and 0.977). The AUC for TRISS was 0.865, 0.585, 0.614, 0.585, 0.591, and 0.600 in Ps-interval groups (0.96–1.00), (0.91–0.95), (0.76. − 0.90), (0.51–0.75), (0.26–0.50), and (0.00–0.25), respectively. In all the age categories considered, the observed survivors among patients with Ps interval (0.00–0.25) were 1.5 times or more than the expected survivors calculated using the TRISS method. Conclusions The TRISS methodology appears to predict survival accurately in Japanese pediatric patients with blunt trauma; however, there were several problems in adopting the TRISS methodology for younger blunt trauma patients with higher injury severity. In the next step, it may be necessary to develop a simple, high-quality prediction model that is more suitable for pediatric trauma patients than the current TRISS model.


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