Seepage behavior assessment of earth-rock dams based on Bayesian network

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 155014772110586
Author(s):  
Lu He ◽  
Shijun Wang ◽  
Yanchang Gu ◽  
Qiong Pang ◽  
Yunxing Wu ◽  
...  

Seepage behavior assessment is an important part of the safety operation assessment of earth-rock dams, because of insufficient intelligent analysis of monitoring information, abnormal phenomena or measured values are often ignored or improperly processed. To improve the intelligent performance of the monitoring system, this article has established an assessment framework covering project quality, maintenance status, monitoring data analysis, and on-site inspection based on the relevant norms of seepage safety assessment of earth-rock dams and the expert survey scoring method, and the Leaky Noisy-OR Gate extended model were used to determine the probability of events, and the dynamic and static Bayesian networks used to assess the possibility of seepage failure of earth-rock dams and diagnose the most likely cause of failure. The function of static and dynamic Bayesian networks to assess the seepage behavior of earth-rock dams, abnormal measured values, and causes of anomalies can make up for the limitations of reservoir management personnel and monitoring system in seepage failure experience and seepage knowledge of earth-rock dams and enable better handling of abnormal phenomena and monitoring information, making the monitoring system more intelligent.

Optik ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 125 (10) ◽  
pp. 2243-2247 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Yao ◽  
Yanning Zhang ◽  
Yong Zhou ◽  
Shixiong Xia

2015 ◽  
Vol 764-765 ◽  
pp. 1319-1323
Author(s):  
Rong Shue Hsiao ◽  
Ding Bing Lin ◽  
Hsin Piao Lin ◽  
Jin Wang Zhou

Pyroelectric infrared (PIR) sensors can detect the presence of human without the need to carry any device, which are widely used for human presence detection in home/office automation systems in order to improve energy efficiency. However, PIR detection is based on the movement of occupants. For occupancy detection, PIR sensors have inherent limitation when occupants remain relatively still. Multisensor fusion technology takes advantage of redundant, complementary, or more timely information from different modal sensors, which is considered an effective approach for solving the uncertainty and unreliability problems of sensing. In this paper, we proposed a simple multimodal sensor fusion algorithm, which is very suitable to be manipulated by the sensor nodes of wireless sensor networks. The inference algorithm was evaluated for the sensor detection accuracy and compared to the multisensor fusion using dynamic Bayesian networks. The experimental results showed that a detection accuracy of 97% in room occupancy can be achieved. The accuracy of occupancy detection is very close to that of the dynamic Bayesian networks.


2013 ◽  
Vol 380-384 ◽  
pp. 761-764
Author(s):  
Zhen Hua Wang ◽  
Ge Fei Yu

One CNG remote intelligent monitoring system is designed and realized in this article. The monitoring system can receive real time monitoring information and monitor environment of CNG filling station by using GSM short message platform , terminal PC and cell phone based on ARM microprocessor, PTM100GSM module, pressure and temperature detection system, when the pressure, temperature or consistence of gas storage well is over the threshold , the monitoring system will send the alarm signal. Its proved that the monitoring system works stably and reliably and can effectively monitor fatal public danger signal.


Author(s):  
Josquin Foulliaron ◽  
Laurent Bouillaut ◽  
Patrice Aknin ◽  
Anne Barros

The maintenance optimization of complex systems is a key question. One important objective is to be able to anticipate future maintenance actions required to optimize the logistic and future investments. That is why, over the past few years, the predictive maintenance approaches have been an expanding area of research. They rely on the concept of prognosis. Many papers have shown how dynamic Bayesian networks can be relevant to represent multicomponent complex systems and carry out reliability studies. The diagnosis and maintenance group from French institute of science and technology for transport, development and networks (IFSTTAR) developed a model (VirMaLab: Virtual Maintenance Laboratory) based on dynamic Bayesian networks in order to model a multicomponent system with its degradation dynamic and its diagnosis and maintenance processes. Its main purpose is to model a maintenance policy to be able to optimize the maintenance parameters due to the use of dynamic Bayesian networks. A discrete state-space system is considered, periodically observable through a diagnosis process. Such systems are common in railway or road infrastructure fields. This article presents a prognosis algorithm whose purpose is to compute the remaining useful life of the system and update this estimation each time a new diagnosis is available. Then, a representation of this algorithm is given as a dynamic Bayesian network in order to be next integrated into the Virtual Maintenance Laboratory model to include the set of predictive maintenance policies. Inference computation questions on the considered dynamic Bayesian networks will be discussed. Finally, an application on simulated data will be presented.


Author(s):  
Andrey Chukhray ◽  
Olena Havrylenko

The subject of research in the article is the process of intelligent computer training in engineering skills. The aim is to model the process of teaching engineering skills in intelligent computer training programs through dynamic Bayesian networks. Objectives: To propose an approach to modeling the process of teaching engineering skills. To assess the student competence level by considering the algorithms development skills in engineering tasks and the algorithms implementation ability. To create a dynamic Bayesian network structure for the learning process. To select values for conditional probability tables. To solve the problems of filtering, forecasting, and retrospective analysis. To simulate the developed dynamic Bayesian network using a special Genie 2.0-environment. The methods used are probability theory and inference methods in Bayesian networks. The following results are obtained: the development of a dynamic Bayesian network for the educational process based on the solution of engineering problems is presented. Mathematical calculations for probabilistic inference problems such as filtering, forecasting, and smoothing are considered. The solution of the filtering problem makes it possible to assess the current level of the student's competence after obtaining the latest probabilities of the development of the algorithm and its numerical calculations of the task. The probability distribution of the learning process model is predicted. The number of additional iterations required to achieve the required competence level was estimated. The retrospective analysis allows getting a smoothed assessment of the competence level, which was obtained after the task's previous instance completion and after the computation of new additional probabilities characterizing the two checkpoints implementation. The solution of the described probabilistic inference problems makes it possible to provide correct information about the learning process for intelligent computer training systems. It helps to get proper feedback and to track the student's competence level. The developed technique of the kernel of probabilistic inference can be used as the decision-making model basis for an automated training process. The scientific novelty lies in the fact that dynamic Bayesian networks are applied to a new class of problems related to the simulation of engineering skills training in the process of performing algorithmic tasks.


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