Reliability and availability evaluation of subsea high integrity pressure protection system using stochastic Petri net

Author(s):  
Chuan Wang ◽  
Jun Gou ◽  
Yingcheng Tian ◽  
Hao Jin ◽  
Chao Yu ◽  
...  

In this paper, a safety evaluation method of subsea High Integrity Pressure Protection System (HIPPS) based on a generalized stochastic Petri net model is proposed. Different test methods were used to detect different types of failures and to analyze the reliability of HIPPS components under the influence of common cause failures and incomplete repair. The reliability curve of a diagnostic system consisting of a transmitter system and a logic system under the influence of uncertainty over time is analyzed. The safety of HIPPS with diverse test methods were quantitatively analyzed. The results show a significant improvement in the performance of the system after testing and maintenance. Both partial-stroke testing and increased partial-stroke test coverage can be used to increase the HIPPS performance compared to traditional methods. The analysis of the Partial stroke test (PST) strategy can afford a academic basis for the selection of PST frequency and Functional test (FT) interval in practical engineering.

Author(s):  
Chuan Wang ◽  
Yupeng Liu ◽  
Wen Hou ◽  
Chao Yu ◽  
Guorong Wang ◽  
...  

Subsea Autonomous High Integrity Pressure Protection System is used in the subsea production process to lower the pressure level of downstream equipment and pipelines and to protect low-pressure pipelines and equipment. Once failure occurs, it will cause serious environmental damage and huge economic losses. In this article, a method of Dynamic Bayesian networks is proposed based on different failure types detected by different test methods. The reliability and availability of HIPPS with different detection methods were analyzed quantitatively. The results show that the performance of the system is improved significantly after inspection and maintenance. Compared with traditional methods, the performance of HIPPS is improved after the partial stroke test is introduced. Through sensitivity analysis, it is found that failure rates have a greater impact on the reliability of HIPPS valves. Increasing partial stroke test coverage can improve HIPPS performance. To improve the reliability of HIPPS, it is necessary to improve the reliability of the execution unit, especially the HIPPS valves. The analysis of the PST strategy can provide a theoretical basis for selecting the frequency of partial stroke test and functional test interval in actual projects.


2013 ◽  
Vol 748 ◽  
pp. 1256-1261
Author(s):  
Shou Hui He ◽  
Han Hua Zhu ◽  
Shi Dong Fan ◽  
Quan Wen

At the present time, the Dow Chemical Fire and Explosion Index (F&EI) is a kind of risk index evaluation method that is comprehensively used in evaluating potential hazard, area of exposure, expected losses in case of fire and explosion, etc. As the research object to oil depot storage tank area, this article ultimately confirms establishing appropriate pattern of process unit as well as reasonable safety precautions compensating method, in order to insure the reasonableness of evaluating result, by means of selecting process unit, confirming material factor and compensating safety precautions, using F&EI method. This can provide the basis for theoretical ground in aspect of oil depot development and safety production management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 651 (4) ◽  
pp. 042058
Author(s):  
Xuan Sun ◽  
Zhiqiang Guo ◽  
Faguo Zhong ◽  
Zhibin Wu ◽  
Penghui Yang ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Yonghong Yang ◽  
Yu Chen ◽  
Zude Tang

Increasing traffic volume and insufficient road lanes often require municipal roads to be reconstructed and expanded. Where a road passes under a bridge, the reconstruction and expansion project will inevitably have an impact on the bridge. To evaluate the safety impact of road engineering projects on bridges, this paper evaluates the safety of the roads and ancillary facilities of highway bridges involved in municipal road engineering projects. Based on a comprehensive analysis of the safety factors of municipal roads undercrossing existing bridges, a fuzzy comprehensive analytic hierarchy process (AHP) evaluation method for the influence of road construction on the safety of existing bridges is proposed. First, AHP is used to select 11 evaluation factors. Second, the target layer, criterion layer, and index layer of evaluation factors are established, then a safety evaluation factor system is formed. The three-scale AHP model is used to determine the weight of assessment indexes. Third, through the fuzzy comprehensive AHP evaluation model, the fuzzy hierarchical comprehensive evaluation is carried out for the safety assessment index system. Finally, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is applied to the engineering example of a municipal road undercrossing an existing expressway bridge. The comprehensive safety evaluation of the existing bridge reflects the practicability and feasibility of the method. It is expected that, with further development, the method will improve the decision-making process in bridge safety assessment systems.


2008 ◽  
Vol 44-46 ◽  
pp. 537-544
Author(s):  
Shi Yi Bao ◽  
Jian Xin Zhu ◽  
Li J. Wang ◽  
Ning Jiang ◽  
Zeng Liang Gao

The quantitative analysis of “domino” effects is one of the main aspects of hazard assessment in chemical industrial park. This paper demonstrates the application of heterogeneous stochastic Petri net modeling techniques to the quantitative assessment of the probabilities of domino effects of major accidents in chemical industrial park. First, five events are included in the domino effect models of major accidents: pool fire, explosion, boiling liquid expanding vapour explosion (BLEVE) giving rise to a fragment, jet fire and delayed explosion of a vapour cloud. Then, the domino effect models are converted into Generalized Stochastic Petri net (GSPN) in which the probability of the domino effect is calculated automatically. The Stochastic Petri nets’ models, which are state-space based ones, increase the modeling flexibility but create the state-space explosion problems. Finally, in order to alleviate the state-space explosion problems of GSPN models, this paper employs Stochastic Wellformed Net (SWN), a particular class of High-Level (colored) SPN. To conduct a case study on a chemical industrial park, the probability of domino effects of major accidents is calculated by using the GSPN model and SWN model in this paper.


2021 ◽  
Vol 238 ◽  
pp. 109732
Author(s):  
Jichuan Kang ◽  
Xinyuan Geng ◽  
Xu Bai ◽  
Yan Dong

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