scholarly journals A nomogram model to predict death rate among non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with surgery in surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database

BMC Cancer ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Jia ◽  
Qiwen Zheng ◽  
Jingjing Wang ◽  
Hongyan Sun ◽  
Jun Zhao ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Jia ◽  
Qiwen Zheng ◽  
Jingjing Wang ◽  
Hongyan Sun ◽  
Jun Zhao ◽  
...  

Abstract Background This study aimed to establish a novel nomogram prognostic model to predict death probability for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients who received surgery. Methods We collected data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of the National Cancer Institute in the United States. A nomogram prognostic model was constructed to predict mortality of NSCLC patients who received surgery. Results A total of 44,880 NSCLC patients who received surgery from 2004 to 2014 were included in this study. Gender, race, tumor anatomic sites, histologic subtype, tumor differentiation, clinical stage, tumor size, tumor extent, lymph node stage, examined lymph node, positive lymph node, type of surgery showed significant associations with lung cancer related death rate (P<0.001). Patients who received chemotherapy and radiotherapy had significant higher lung cancer related death rate but were associated with significant lower non-cancer related mortality (P<0.001). A nomogram model was established based on multivariate models of training data set. In the validation cohort, the unadjusted C-index was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.72-0.74), 0.71 (95% CI, 0.66-0.75) and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.68-0.70) for lung cancer related death, other cancer related death and non-cancer related death. Conclusions A prognostic nomogram model was constructed to predict death rate for NSCLC patients who received surgery. This novel prognostic model may be helpful for physicians to develop the most appropriate treatment strategies for resected NSCLC patients. Parts of these results were presented at the 2018 American Society of Clinical Oncology Annual Meeting (Abstract #8525)


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liqing Zou ◽  
Tiantian Guo ◽  
Luxi Ye ◽  
Yue Zhou ◽  
Li Chu ◽  
...  

BackgroundPulmonary large cell neuroendocrine cancer (LCNEC) is commonly classified as non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Even for stage I disease, after surgery the survival is always poor, but clinical research on LCNEC is scant and always with unsatisfying sample sizes. Thus, we conduct the first study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to compare survival after surgery between stage I LCNEC and other types of NSCLC.MethodsFrom 2004 to 2016, 473 patients with stage IA LCNEC, 17,669 patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LADC) and 8,475 patients with lung squamous cell cancer (LSCC), all treated with surgery were identified. In addition, 1:1 PSM was used, and overall (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) between groups were compared.ResultsThe 5-year OS rates and CSS rates for LCNEC were 52.5% and 81.5%, respectively. Overall, both OS and CSS were significantly superior for stage IA LADC than LCNEC (for OS: HR 0.636, 95% CI 0.568-0.712; for CSS: HR 0.688, 95% CI 0.561–0.842, LCNEC as reference), while comparable for LSCC with LCNEC (for OS: HR 0.974, 95% CI 0.869–1.091; for CSS: HR 0.907, 95% CI 0.738–1.115). PSM generated 471 pairs when LCNEC was compared with LADC and both OS and CSS were significantly better in LADC than LCNEC (for OS: HR 0.580, 95% CI 0.491–0.686; for CSS: HR 0.602, 95% CI 0.446–0.814). Of note, for the subgroup of patients ≤ 65 years old, HRs for both OS and CSS were lower (for OS: HR 0.470; for CSS: HR 0.482). As for comparison between LCNEC and LSCC, PSM generated 470 pairs. Differently, only CSS was significantly superior in LSCC than LCNEC (HR 0.563, 95% CI 0.392–0.807), while OS was not. Further grouping by age showed only CSS between two groups for patients with age ≤ 65 years old was significantly different (P = 0.006).ConclusionsWe report the first survival comparison after surgery between stage IA LCNEC and other types of NSCLC by SEER database and PSM. Our results demonstrated after surgery, stage IA LCNEC was worse in survival, especially compared to LADC. Extra clinical care should be paid, especially for younger patients. More studies investigating adjuvant therapy are warranted.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e21064-e21064
Author(s):  
Yuan Zeng ◽  
Wenhua Liang ◽  
Jianxing He

e21064 Background: Chemotherapy is very common for resected Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) patients. However, models for predicting the survival outcomes of resected NSCLC patients with chemotherapy are scarce. The aim of this study was to develop a clinical nomogram for predicting overall survival in these patients. Methods: A total of 16661 resected NSCLC with chemotherapy were cases extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We identified and integrated the prognostic factors to build a nomogram.The model was subjected to bootstrap internal validation with the SEER database and external validations with 1108 patients from China. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were illustrated by calibration, concordance index (C-index) and risk group stratification. Results: On multivariate analysis independent factors for OS were age, sex, examined lymph node count, extent of surgery, N stage, T stage and grade which were then integrated into the nomogram. The calibration curves for probability of 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS showed excellent agreement between nomogram prediction and actual observation. The C-index of the nomogram was higher than that of AJCC 8th edition system for predicting OS (training cohort, 0.61 vs. 0.58; P < 0.01; validation cohort, 0.66 vs. 0.63, P = 0.56). The stratification into different risk groups allowed significant distinction between survival curves. Conclusions: We established a nomogram that can provide individual prediction of OS for resected NSCLC patients with chemotherapy. This practical prognostic model may help clinicians for treatment planning and to guide future studies.


2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Junmiao Wen ◽  
Di Liu ◽  
Donglai Chen ◽  
Jiayan Chen ◽  
Xinyan Xu ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose/Objective(s): Treatments for superior sulcus non-small cell lung cancer (SS-NSCLC) have evolved, but adequate treatments of T4 disease have not been found. The aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic factors and optimal treatment strategy for patients with T4 SS-NSCLC. Materials/Methods: We utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (1973–2015) to identify patients diagnosed with T4 stage SS-NSCLC (according to the 7th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system) from 2004 to 2015; those with M1 disease were excluded. Propensity score matching (PSM) with Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards’ models was performed to estimate prognosis. Results: A total of 384 patients were included. The majority was male (59.4%) at stage IIIB (56.6%), with N2 accounting for 45.3%. A total of 47 patients underwent cancer-directed surgery, while radiotherapy alone was received by 60.2% of patients. Median overall survival (OS) and lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS) were 12 and 17 months, respectively, and the 5-year OS and LCSS rates were 15.8 and 25.4%, respectively. In the matched population, the median survival outcomes were better following surgery (OS: 25 compared with 9.0 months, P&lt;0.001; LCSS: not available (NA) compared with 11.0 months, P&lt;0.001). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that ages ≥ 66 years (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.639, P=0.001), unmarried status (HR = 1.356, P=0.034), and tumor size ≥ 6.0 cm (HR = 1.694, P&lt;0.001) were associated with inferior OS. Cancer-directed surgery (HR = 0.537, P=0.009) and radiotherapy (HR = 0.644, P=0.006) were independent prognostic factors for patients with T4 SS-NSCLC. Conversely, in the subgroup analysis, favorable impacts of radiotherapy were observed for nonsurgical patients (OS: HR = 0.58, P&lt;0.001; LCSS: HR = 0.55, P&lt;0.001). Conclusion: Our study showed that T4 stage SS-NSCLC patients had a poor prognosis. Surgical resection remains the best option for those with resectable disease. For nonsurgical T4 SS-NSCLC patients, radiotherapy should be actively considered.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document