Prediction of overall survival of non-small cell lung cancer with bone metastasis: an analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database

Introduction Combined small cell lung cancer (C-SCLC) represents a rare subtype of all small cell lung cancer cases, with limited studies investigated its prognostic factors. The aim of this study was to construct a novel nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with C-SCLC. Methods In this retrospective study, a total of 588 C-SCLC patients were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were performed to identify optimal prognostic variables and construct the nomogram, with concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curves, and calibration curves being used to evaluate its discrimination and calibration abilities. Furthermore, decision curve analysis (DCA), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification index (NRI) were also adopted to assess its clinical utility and predictive ability compared with the classic TNM staging system. Results Seven independent predictive factors were identified to construct the nomogram, including T stage, N stage, M stage, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, surgery, and chemotherapy. We observed a higher C-index in both the training (.751) and validation cohorts (.736). The nomogram has higher area under the curve in predicting 6-, 12-, 18-, 24-, and 36-month survival probability of patients with C-SCLC. Meanwhile, the calibration curves also revealed high consistencies between the actual and predicted OS. DCA revealed that the nomogram could provide greater clinical net benefits to these patients. We found that the NRI for 6- and 12-month OS were .196 and .225, and the IDI for 6- and 12-month OS were .217 and .156 in the training group, suggesting that the nomogram can predict a more accurate survival probability. Similar results were also observed in the validation cohort. Conclusion We developed and verified a novel nomogram that can help clinicians recognize high-risk patients with C-SCLC and predict their OS.

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Outcomes for Surgery in Stage IA Large Cell Lung Neuroendocrine Compared With Other Types of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Propensity Score Matching Study Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Database

Frontiers in Oncology ◽

10.3389/fonc.2020.572462 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 10 ◽

Author(s):

Liqing Zou ◽

Tiantian Guo ◽

Luxi Ye ◽

Yue Zhou ◽

Li Chu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Lung Cancer ◽

Small Cell Lung Cancer ◽

Cell Lung Cancer ◽

Large Cell ◽

Small Cell ◽

Stage I ◽

Seer Database ◽

Small Cell Lung ◽

Stage Ia ◽

End Results

BackgroundPulmonary large cell neuroendocrine cancer (LCNEC) is commonly classified as non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Even for stage I disease, after surgery the survival is always poor, but clinical research on LCNEC is scant and always with unsatisfying sample sizes. Thus, we conduct the first study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to compare survival after surgery between stage I LCNEC and other types of NSCLC.MethodsFrom 2004 to 2016, 473 patients with stage IA LCNEC, 17,669 patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LADC) and 8,475 patients with lung squamous cell cancer (LSCC), all treated with surgery were identified. In addition, 1:1 PSM was used, and overall (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) between groups were compared.ResultsThe 5-year OS rates and CSS rates for LCNEC were 52.5% and 81.5%, respectively. Overall, both OS and CSS were significantly superior for stage IA LADC than LCNEC (for OS: HR 0.636, 95% CI 0.568-0.712; for CSS: HR 0.688, 95% CI 0.561–0.842, LCNEC as reference), while comparable for LSCC with LCNEC (for OS: HR 0.974, 95% CI 0.869–1.091; for CSS: HR 0.907, 95% CI 0.738–1.115). PSM generated 471 pairs when LCNEC was compared with LADC and both OS and CSS were significantly better in LADC than LCNEC (for OS: HR 0.580, 95% CI 0.491–0.686; for CSS: HR 0.602, 95% CI 0.446–0.814). Of note, for the subgroup of patients ≤ 65 years old, HRs for both OS and CSS were lower (for OS: HR 0.470; for CSS: HR 0.482). As for comparison between LCNEC and LSCC, PSM generated 470 pairs. Differently, only CSS was significantly superior in LSCC than LCNEC (HR 0.563, 95% CI 0.392–0.807), while OS was not. Further grouping by age showed only CSS between two groups for patients with age ≤ 65 years old was significantly different (P = 0.006).ConclusionsWe report the first survival comparison after surgery between stage IA LCNEC and other types of NSCLC by SEER database and PSM. Our results demonstrated after surgery, stage IA LCNEC was worse in survival, especially compared to LADC. Extra clinical care should be paid, especially for younger patients. More studies investigating adjuvant therapy are warranted.

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