scholarly journals Suicidal ideations and suicide attempts prior to admission to a psychiatric hospital in the first six months of the COVID-19 pandemic: interrupted time-series analysis to estimate the impact of the lockdown and comparison of 2020 with 2019

BJPsych Open ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Hörmann ◽  
Annatina Bandli ◽  
Anna Bankwitz ◽  
Mateo De Bardeci ◽  
Annia Rüesch ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Suicide Attempt ◽  
Control Period ◽  
Public Mental Health ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Patient Admissions ◽  
Populations At Risk ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
The Impact

Background There is a substantial burden on global mental health as a result of the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic that has become putting pressure on healthcare systems. There is increasing concern about rising suicidality consequential to the COVID-19 pandemic and the measures taken. Existing research about the impact of earlier epidemics and economic crises as well as current studies about the effects of the pandemic on public mental health and populations at risk indicate rising suicidality, especially in the middle and longer term. Aims This study investigated the early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on suicidality by comparing weekly in-patient admissions for individuals who were suicidal or who attempted suicide just before admission, for the first 6 months after the pandemic's onset in Switzerland with corresponding 2019 control data. Method Data was collected at the Psychiatric University Hospital of Zurich. An interrupted time-series design was used to analyse the number of patients who were suicidal. Results Instead of a suggested higher rate of suicidality, fewer admissions of patients with suicidal thoughts were found during the first 6-months after the COVID-19 outbreak. However, the proportion of involuntary admissions was found to be higher and more patients have been admitted after a first suicide attempt than in the corresponding control period from 2019. Conclusions Although admissions relating to suicidality decreased during the pandemic, the rising number of patients admitted with a first suicide attempt may be an early indicator for an upcoming extra burden on public mental health (and care). Being a multifactorial process, suicidality is influenced in several ways; low in-patient admissions of patients who are suicidal could also reflect fear of contagion and related uncertainty about seeking mental healthcare.

scholarly journals 1086Methodological challenges using routine aggregated data in a primary care implementation trial on opioid prescribing

2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tracey Farragher ◽  
Sarah Alderson ◽  
Paul Carder ◽  
Tom Willis ◽  
Robbie Foy
Keyword(s):  
Primary Care ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Routine Data ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Data Sources ◽  
Research Database ◽  
Feedback Intervention ◽  
Opioid Prescribing ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Focus of Presentation There is international concern over rising trends in opioid prescribing, largely attributed to prescribing for chronic non-cancer pain. We conducted a controlled interrupted time series study on anonymised, aggregated practice data to evaluate the effect of the Campaign to Reduce Opioid Prescribing (CROP) in reducing the number of patients taking opioid medication in West Yorkshire UK practices targeted by the feedback intervention, compared to practices outside of West Yorkshire. We will discuss the methodological challenges addressed in the collection and analysis of these data, and the implications for using routine data in trials. Findings Primary care data sources for feedback interventions include large-scale databases (General Practice Research Database), high-level nationally gathered databases (OpenPrescribing.com) or data extracted directly from electronic health records (EHR). We will discuss the implications of the different sources of data and compare the results from each, in understanding the impact of the feedback intervention of reducing opioid prescribing over time. The consequences of the heterogeneity of the data sources on the interrupted time series analysis undertaken will also be discussed and solutions outlined. Conclusions/Implications Routine data are heterogeneous, with different purposes, structures and collection methods, which have considerable implications on their use, analysis and interpretation. Researchers need to understand that the utility of routine data sources have implications (both practically and methodologically) in conducting pragmatic trials, which should be considered when planning and conducting future studies using routine data.

scholarly journals Prescription of anxiolytics, sedatives, hypnotics and antidepressants in outpatient, universal care during the COVID-19 pandemic in Portugal: a nationwide, interrupted time-series approach

2021 ◽  
pp. jech-2021-216732
Author(s):  
Marta Estrela ◽  
Tânia Magalhães Silva ◽  
Eva Rebelo Gomes ◽  
Maria Piñeiro ◽  
Adolfo Figueiras ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Elderly Women ◽  
Health Sector ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Defined Daily Dose ◽  
Prescription Data ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Prescribing Trends ◽  
The Impact

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the population’s mental health. However, its impact on the consumption of anxiolytics, sedatives, hypnotics and antidepressants remains to be evaluated. Hence, this article aims to assess the prescription trends of these drugs in Portugal, from January 2018 to March 2021, while critically examining whether the COVID-19 pandemic had an impact on these prescription trends or not.MethodsA nationwide interrupted time-series analysis of the prescription data of anxiolytics, sedatives, hypnotics and antidepressants in outpatient setting of the public health sector was conducted. The data encompassed the defined daily dose per month, age range and sex and were analysed following a segmented regression approach.ResultsThe pandemic preceded an immediate reduction in the prescription of anxiolytics, sedatives and hypnotics for children and adolescents. However, an increasing trend throughout the pandemic has been noted in the prescription of these drugs, especially among adults aged 65 years or above. A drop in antidepressant prescription was observed as an immediate effect of the pandemic among male and female adolescents and elderly women. From March 2020 to March 2021, a decreasing prescription trend has been noted among men.ConclusionsWhen analysing specific genders and age ranges, differences can be noted, in terms of both immediate impact and prescribing trends throughout 1 year of the COVID-19 pandemic. The impact of the pandemic on mental health and its association with the consumption trends of psychoactive drugs, and with the access to mental health treatments, should be further assessed.

scholarly journals 1979. Five-Year Impact of an Antimicrobial Stewardship Program on Nosocomial Candidemia: An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. S662-S662
Author(s):  
Andrea Bedini ◽  
Marianna Meschiari ◽  
Erica Franceschini ◽  
Cristina Mussini
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Antimicrobial Stewardship ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Antibiotic Consumption ◽  
Care Hospital ◽  
Antimicrobial Stewardship Program ◽  
Stewardship Program ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
Nosocomial Candidemia ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Antimicrobial stewardship programs allow a reduction in antibiotic prescription and, consequently, in the incidence of multidrug-resistance infections. However, the impact on nosocomial candidemia is still unclear. Methods The present study is an interrupted time-series (ITS) before-after study, based on an ecological time-trend analysis. Since 2014, an antimicrobial stewardship program (ASP) has been implemented at an Italian tertiary-care hospital. The first objective of the program was to reduce carbapenem consumption, through an active and computerized surveillance of all carbapenem prescriptions, each of which was checked and validated by ID specialists always after audit of the cases with treating physicians. We retrospectively evaluated the changing in the consumption of antimicrobials, carbapenems, and in the incidence of candidemia, during two study periods: before (2007–2013) and after (2014–2018) the implementation of the ASP. Results The implementation of ASP was followed by a significant decrease in antibiotic consumption, which was consistent through the following 5 years. At the end of the study, total antibiotic consumption has decreased by 38.476 DDDs per 100 patient-days (PDs) per quarter (95% CI: −21.784 to −55.168; P < 0.001) and carbapenems decreased by 4.452 DDD per 100 PDs per quarter (95% CI: −3.658 to −5.246; P = 0.001). After 5 years of ASP, incidence of candidemia decreased by 2.034 episodes per 1,000 PDs per quarter (95% CI: −0.738 to −3.330; P = 0.003), decreasing, at the end of 2018, by 53% compared with the expected value if the program had not been implemented. Conclusion At our Institution, the ASP had a positive impact on the consumption of carbapenems, and antimicrobials. The incidence of candidemia was also favorably affected by the program, reversing the trend after 2014. The ASP, even if not directly targeted to fungal infections, indirectly caused a reduction in the incidence of candidemia, probably reducing the number of patients colonized by Candida spp. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.

scholarly journals Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on opioid agonist treatment in Ireland: Protocol for an interrupted time series analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 91
Author(s):  
Gráinne Cousins ◽  
Louise Durand ◽  
Fiona Boland ◽  
Norma Harnedy ◽  
Íde Delargy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Healthcare Delivery ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Opioid Agonist ◽  
Opioid Agonist Treatment ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
The Impact

While opioid agonist treatment (OAT) is the most effective treatment for opioid dependence, it is heavily dependent on regular face-to-face healthcare delivery placing both clients and treatment providers at risk of COVID-19. Following the emergence of COVID-19, policies were rapidly changed in Ireland, with the introduction of national contingency guidelines by the HSE National Social Inclusion Office, beginning in March 2020 to ensure rapid and uninterrupted access to OAT while balancing efforts to mitigate COVID-19 risk. This study aims to assess the impact of the national contingency guidelines, on the quality of OAT care delivered in Ireland. An interrupted time series analysis will be conducted using anonymised aggregated level data obtained from the Central Treatment List (CTL), the national register of people receiving OAT, administered by the National Drug Treatment Centre Board on behalf of the HSE. Separate segmented regressions will be conducted to estimate the impact of the national contingency guidelines on the following outcomes: (1) number of patients in treatment; (2) number of patients starting OAT; (3) average waiting time for treatment; (4) number of people on waiting list; (5) number of patients dropping out of treatment.  The study period will be divided into pre-(March 2019 to February 2020) and post- intervention (April 2020 to March 2021) segments. Immediate (change in level) and longer-term impacts (change in slope) of changes to provision of OAT in each of the outcomes will be investigated. Regression coefficients (β) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) will be reported.

scholarly journals Correction to: Measuring the impact of the Afordable Care Act Medicaid expansion on access to primary care using an interrupted time series approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth A. Brown ◽  
Brandi M. White ◽  
Walter J. Jones ◽  
Mulugeta Gebregziabher ◽  
Kit N. Simpson
Keyword(s):  
Primary Care ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Medicaid Expansion ◽  
Time Series Approach ◽  
Access To Primary Care ◽  
The Impact

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via the original article.

scholarly journals Does admission prevalence change after reconfiguration of inpatient services? An interrupted time series analysis of the impact of reconfiguration in five centres

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joanne Martin ◽  
Edwin Amalraj Raja ◽  
Steve Turner
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Emergency Admission ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Emergency Admissions ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Inpatient Services ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Admission Prevalence

Abstract Background Service reconfiguration of inpatient services in a hospital includes complete and partial closure of all emergency inpatient facilities. The “natural experiment” of service reconfiguration may give insight into drivers for emergency admissions to hospital. This study addressed the question does the prevalence of emergency admission to hospital for children change after reconfiguration of inpatient services? Methods There were five service reconfigurations in Scottish hospitals between 2004 and 2018 where emergency admissions to one “reconfigured” hospital were halted (permanently or temporarily) and directed to a second “adjacent” hospital. The number of emergency admissions (standardised to /1000 children in the regional population) per month to the “reconfigured” and “adjacent” hospitals was obtained for five years prior to reconfiguration and up to five years afterwards. An interrupted time series analysis considered the association between reconfiguration and admissions across pairs comprised of “reconfigured” and “adjacent” hospitals, with adjustment for seasonality and an overall rising trend in admissions. Results Of the five episodes of reconfiguration, two were immediate closure, two involved closure only to overnight admissions and one with overnight closure for a period and then closure. In “reconfigured” hospitals there was an average fall of 117 admissions/month [95% CI 78, 156] in the year after reconfiguration compared to the year before, and in “adjacent” hospitals admissions rose by 82/month [32, 131]. Across paired reconfigured and adjacent hospitals, in the months post reconfiguration, the overall number of admissions to one hospital pair slowed, in another pair admissions accelerated, and admission prevalence was unchanged in three pairs. After reconfiguration in one hospital, there was a rise in admissions to a third hospital which was closer than the named “adjacent” hospital. Conclusions There are diverse outcomes for the number of emergency admissions post reconfiguration of inpatient facilities. Factors including resources placed in the community after local reconfiguration, distance to the “adjacent” hospital and local deprivation may be important drivers for admission pathways after reconfiguration. Policy makers considering reconfiguration might consider a number of factors which may be important determinants of admissions post reconfiguration.

Recession and risk of suicide in Denmark during the 2009 global financial crisis: an ecological register-based study

2021 ◽  
pp. 140349482110132
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Konieczna ◽  
Sarah Grube Jakobsen ◽  
Christina Petrea Larsen ◽  
Erik Christiansen
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Suicide Rate ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Prevention Programmes ◽  
The Impact

Aim: The aim of this study is to analyse the potential impact from the financial crisis (onset in 2009) on suicide rates in Denmark. The hypothesis is that the global financial crisis raised unemployment which leads to raising the suicide rate in Denmark and that the impact is most prominent in men. Method: This study used an ecological study design, including register data from 2001 until 2016 on unemployment, suicide, gender and calendar time which was analysed using Poisson regression models and interrupted time series analysis. Results: The correlation between unemployment and suicide rates was positive in the period and statistically significant for all, but at a moderate level. A dichotomised version of time (calendar year) showed a significant reduction in the suicide rate for women (incidence rate ratio 0.87, P=0.002). Interrupted time series analysis showed a significant decreasing trend for the overall suicide rate and for men in the pre-recession period, which in both cases stagnated after the onset of recession in 2009. The difference between the genders’ suicide rate changed significantly at the onset of recession, as the rate for men increased and the rate for women decreased. Discussion: The Danish social welfare model might have prevented social disintegration and suicide among unemployed, and suicide prevention programmes might have prevented deaths among unemployed and mentally ill individuals. Conclusions: We found some indications for gender-specific differences from the impact of the financial crises on the suicide rate. We recommend that men should be specifically targeted for appropriate prevention programmes during periods of economic downturn.

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