Pretreatment Nomogram for Prostate-Specific Antigen Recurrence After Radical Prostatectomy or External-Beam Radiation Therapy for Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer

1999 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 168-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony V. D'Amico ◽  
Richard Whittington ◽  
S. Bruce Malkowicz ◽  
Julie Fondurulia ◽  
Ming-Hui Chen ◽  
...  

PURPOSE: To present nomograms providing estimates of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure–free survival after radical prostatectomy (RP) or external-beam radiation therapy (RT) for men diagnosed during the PSA era with clinically localized disease. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A Cox regression multivariable analysis was used to determine the prognostic significance of the pretreatment PSA level, 1992 American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) clinical stage, and biopsy Gleason score in predicting the time to posttherapy PSA failure in 1,654 men with T1c,2 prostate cancer managed with either RP or RT. RESULTS: Pretherapy PSA, AJCC clinical stage, and biopsy Gleason score were independent predictors (P < .0001) of time to posttherapy PSA failure in patients managed with either RP or RT. Two-year PSA failure rates derived from the Cox regression model and bootstrap estimates of the 95% confidence intervals are presented in the format of a nomogram stratified by the pretreatment PSA, AJCC clinical stage, biopsy Gleason score, and local treatment modality. CONCLUSION: Men at high risk (> 50%) for early (≤ 2 years) PSA failure could be identified on the basis of the type of local therapy received and the clinical information obtained as part of the routine work-up for localized prostate cancer. Selection of these men for trials evaluating adjuvant systemic and improved local therapies may be justified.

1996 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 1770-1777 ◽  
Author(s):  
A V D'Amico ◽  
R Whittington ◽  
S B Malkowicz ◽  
D Schultz ◽  
M Schnall ◽  
...  

PURPOSE To determine whether there is a role for endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging (erMRI) in the prediction of pathologic stage, margin status, and/or postoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure in patients with clinically organ-confined prostate cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS Using erMRI, the radiologic-pathologic correlation of extracapsular extension (ECE) and seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) was evaluated in 445 surgically managed patients. Logistic regression multivariable analysis was applied to the clinical stage, PSA, biopsy Gleason grade, and erMRI findings to assess the outcomes of ECE, SVI, positive surgical margins (PSM), and postoperative PSA failure. RESULTS The accuracy of erMRI to predict for ECE and SVI numerically decreased with both increasing PSA and biopsy Gleason score because of the increasing false-negative scans in cases of microscopic transcapsular or seminal vesicle disease. Of patients who could not be categorized into low or high risk for postoperative PSA failure on the basis of clinical stage, preoperative PSA, and biopsy Gleason score, a negative or positive erMRI for ECE or SVI stratified these patients into groups with a 78% versus 21% (P < .0001) 3-year rate of actuarial freedom from PSA failure. In this subgroup, the overall accuracy of the erMRI was 70% +/- 6% and 94% +/- 2% for ECE and SVI, respectively. The most significant predictor on multivariable analysis of PSM was the erMRI finding of ECE (P = .0001). CONCLUSION This initial report suggests that a preoperative erMRI can identify clinically organ-confined prostate cancer patients at high risk for having ECE, SVI, and PSM that otherwise would be missed on the basis of the clinical stage, preoperative PSA, and biopsy Gleason score. Confirmatory studies are needed.


1998 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. 3094-3100 ◽  
Author(s):  
A V D'Amico ◽  
R Whittington ◽  
S B Malkowicz ◽  
D Schultz ◽  
I Kaplan ◽  
...  

PURPOSE Patients with palpable extraprostatic disease (T3) have a poor prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure-free (bNED) survival rate after radical prostatectomy (RP) or external-beam radiation therapy (RT). This study was performed to validate or refute the prognostic value of the previously defined calculated prostate cancer volume (cV(Ca)). PATIENTS AND METHODS For patients with clinically localized disease (T1c,2), a Cox regression multivariable analysis was used to assess the ability of the cV(Ca) value to predict time to posttherapy PSA failure following RP or RT. RESULTS The cV(Ca) value was a significant predictor (P < or = .0005) of time to posttherapy PSA failure in both an RP and RT data set independent of the one used to derive the cV(Ca)-based clinical staging system. In both RP- and RT-managed patients, estimates of 3-year bNED survival were not statistically different for patients with either T1c,2 disease and a cV(Ca) greater than 4.0 cm3 (RP, 27%; RT, 18%) or T3 disease (RP, 37%; RT, 34%). Despite pathologic T2 disease, the 3-year estimate of bNED survival was at most 51% in RP-managed patients with T1c,2 disease and cV(Ca) greater than 4.0 cm3. CONCLUSION A cV(Ca) greater than 4.0 cm3 identified patients with T1c.2 disease whose bNED survival was poor after RT or RP despite pathologic T2 disease that suggests the presence of occult micrometastatic disease in many of these patients. Prospective randomized trials to evaluate the impact on survival of adjuvant systemic therapy in these high-risk patients are justified.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 40-40
Author(s):  
R. D. Tendulkar ◽  
K. L. Stephans ◽  
C. A. Reddy ◽  
K. Martires ◽  
A. R. Patel ◽  
...  

40 Background: The percentage of positive cores (PPC) on biopsy for prostate cancer has been identified as a predictor of outcome following definitive local treatment. We aim to identify whether this observation holds true for a modern cohort of patients (pts) treated at Cleveland Clinic with permanent prostate brachytherapy (PB) or external beam radiation therapy (EBRT). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed pathology reports of pts treated with either PB or EBRT from our IRB-approved prospective prostate cancer registry. No pts underwent both PB and EBRT. The number of biopsy cores sampled, number of cores positive for prostate cancer, and maximum length of any core positive for prostate cancer were collected. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze biochemical relapse free survival (bRFS) using the nadir + 2 ng/ml definition. Results: We identified 1253 PB and 879 EBRT pts with complete pathology and clinical information. Among PB pts, 46% were low risk, 40% intermediate risk, and 14% high risk, while 78% had <50% PPC, and 22% had >=50% PPC. The 5-year bRFS for PB was 92.0% for <50% PPC, vs. 83.1% for >=50% PPC (HR 2.1, p=0.0005). For PB pts, significant predictors of bRFS on univariate analysis included: PPC, clinical T stage, PSA, biopsy Gleason score, androgen deprivation, and frequency of PSA testing. On multivariate analysis, only PPC, biopsy Gleason score, and PSA frequency remained significant predictors following PB. Among EBRT pts, 11% were low risk, 36% intermediate risk, and 53% high risk, while 55% had <50% PPC, and 45% had >=50% PPC. The 5-year bRFS for EBRT was 85.6% for <50% PPC, vs. 77.1% for >=50% PPC (HR 1.8, p<0.0001). For EBRT pts, significant predictors of bRFS on univariate analysis included: PPC, clinical T stage, PSA, biopsy Gleason score, androgen deprivation, EBRT dose, and frequency of PSA testing. On multivariate analysis, only PPC, biopsy Gleason score, and PSA frequency remained significant predictors following EBRT. Conclusions: Following PB or EBRT, the percent of positive cores for prostate cancer was a significant predictor of bRFS on multivariate analysis, more so than conventional predictors such as T stage and PSA. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


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