Disease-Free Survival Versus Overall Survival As a Primary End Point for Adjuvant Colon Cancer Studies: Individual Patient Data From 20,898 Patients on 18 Randomized Trials

2005 ◽  
Vol 23 (34) ◽  
pp. 8664-8670 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel J. Sargent ◽  
Harry S. Wieand ◽  
Daniel G. Haller ◽  
Richard Gray ◽  
Jacqueline K. Benedetti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Individual Patient Data ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
End Point ◽  
Disease Free

Purpose A traditional end point for colon adjuvant clinical trials is overall survival (OS), with 5 years demonstrating adequate follow-up. A shorter-term end point providing convincing evidence to allow treatment comparisons could significantly speed the translation of advances into practice. Methods Individual patient data were pooled from 18 randomized phase III colon cancer adjuvant clinical trials. Trials included 43 arms, with a pooled sample size of 20,898 patients. The primary hypothesis was that disease-free survival (DFS), with 3 years of follow-up, is an appropriate primary end point to replace OS with 5 years of follow-up. Results The recurrence rates for years 1 through 5 were 12%, 14%, 8%, 5%, and 3%, respectively. Median time from recurrence to death was 12 months. Eighty percent of recurrences were in the first 3 years; 91% of patients with recurrence by 3 years died before 5 years. Correlation between 3-year DFS and 5-year OS was 0.89. Comparing control versus experimental arms within each trial, the correlation between hazard ratios for DFS and OS was 0.92. Within-trial log-rank testing using both DFS and OS provided the same conclusion in 23 (92%) of 25 cases. Formal measures of surrogacy were satisfied. Conclusion In patients treated on phase III adjuvant colon clinical trials, DFS and OS are highly correlated, both within patients and across trials. These results suggest that DFS after 3 years of median follow-up is an appropriate end point for adjuvant colon cancer clinical trials of fluorouracil-based regimens, although marginally significant DFS improvements may not translate into significant OS benefits.

scholarly journals Bevacizumab in Stage II-III Colon Cancer: 5-Year Update of the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project C-08 Trial

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 359-364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carmen J. Allegra ◽  
Greg Yothers ◽  
Michael J. O'Connell ◽  
Saima Sharif ◽  
Nicholas J. Petrelli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
National Surgical Adjuvant Breast ◽  
End Point ◽  
Bowel Project ◽  
Modified Folfox6 ◽  
Disease Free

PurposeThe National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project trial C-08 was designed to investigate the safety and efficacy of adding bevacizumab to fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX6) for the adjuvant treatment of patients with stage 2-3 colon cancer. Our report summarizes the primary and secondary end points of disease-free and overall survival, respectively, with 5 years median follow-up time.Patients and MethodsPatients received modified FOLFOX6 once every 2 weeks for a 6-month period (control group) or modified FOLFOX6 for 6 months plus bevacizumab (5 mg/kg) once every 2 weeks for a 12-month period (experimental group). The primary end point of the study was disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was a secondary end point.ResultsOf 2,673 analyzed patients, demographic factors were well-balanced by treatment. With a median follow-up of 5 years, the addition of bevacizumab to mFOLFOX6 did not result in an overall significant increase in DFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.93; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.08; P = .35). Exploratory analyses found that the effect of bevacizumab on DFS was different before and after a 1.25-year landmark (time-by-treatment interaction P value <.0001). The secondary end point of OS was no different between the two study arms for all patients (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.79 to 1.13; P = .56) and for those with stage 3 disease (HR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.21; P = .99).ConclusionBevacizumab for 1 year with modified FOLFOX6 does not significantly prolong DFS or OS in stage 2-3 colon cancer. We observed no evidence of a detrimental effect of exposure to bevacizumab. A transient effect on disease-free survival was observed during bevacizumab exposure in the study's experimental arm.

scholarly journals Association Between Disease-Free Survival and Overall Survival When Survival Is Prolonged After Recurrence in Patients Receiving Cytotoxic Adjuvant Therapy for Colon Cancer: Simulations Based on the 20,800 Patient ACCENT Data Set

2010 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 460-465 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aimery de Gramont ◽  
Joleen Hubbard ◽  
Qian Shi ◽  
Michael J. O'Connell ◽  
Marc Buyse ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Cancer Clinical Trials ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Disease Free ◽  
Extended Survival

Purpose We previously validated disease-free survival (DFS) as a surrogate for overall survival (OS) in fluorouracil-based adjuvant colon cancer clinical trials. New therapies have extended survival after recurrence from 1 to approximately 2 years. We examined the possible impact of this improvement on the DFS/OS association. Methods The Adjuvant Colon Cancer Endpoints (ACCENT) data set of 20,898 patients was analyzed. In an exploratory fashion, time from recurrence to death in patients experiencing recurrence was extended using several algorithms, and the association of DFS after 3 years of median follow-up and OS after varying lengths of follow-up (median of 5, 6, and 7 years) was assessed. Results Seven thousand four hundred two patients (35%) experienced recurrence. Median time from recurrence to death was 24 months in the hypothetical data sets. When times from recurrence to death were doubled, the association between treatment effects on DFS and 5-year OS was modest (R2 = 0.51 for both 2- and 3-year DFS) but remained strong for DFS and 6-year OS (R2 = 0.67 for both 2- and 3-year DFS) and 7-year OS (R2 = 0.70 for both 2- and 3-year DFS). The reduced DFS/OS association with extended survival after recurrence was greater in stage II than stage III patients. Multiple simulations provided consistent findings. Conclusion Extended survival after recurrence reduces the association between treatment effects on 3-year DFS and 5-year OS, particularly in stage II patients; longer follow-up strengthens the association. In modern adjuvant trials, 6 or 7 years may be required to demonstrate OS improvements, further supporting DFS as the preferred primary end point for future adjuvant colon cancer clinical trials.

Re-Evaluating Disease-Free Survival as an Endpoint vs Overall Survival in Stage III Adjuvant Colon Cancer Trials

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Yin ◽  
Mohamed E Salem ◽  
Jesse G Dixon ◽  
Zhaohui Jin ◽  
Romain Cohen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Surrogate Endpoint ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
A Value ◽  
Deficient Mismatch Repair ◽  
Disease Free

Abstract Background Disease-free survival with a 3-year median follow-up (3-year DFS) was validated as a surrogate for overall survival with a 5-year median follow-up (5-year OS) in adjuvant chemotherapy colon cancer (CC) trials. Recent data show further improvements in OS and survival after recurrence, in patients who received adjuvant FOLFOX. Hence, re-evaluation of the association between DFS and OS and determination of the optimal follow-up duration of OS to aid its utility in future adjuvant trials are needed. Methods Individual patient data from nine randomized studies conducted between 1998 and 2009 were included; three trials tested biologics. Trial-level surrogacy examining the correlation of treatment effect estimates of 3-year DFS with 5 to 6.5-year OS was evaluated using both linear regression (R2WLS) and Copula bivariate (R2Copula) models and reported with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). For R2, a value closer to 1 indicates a stronger correlation. Results Data from a total of 18,396 patients were analyzed (median age = 59 years; 54.0% male), with 54.1% having low-risk tumors (pT1-3 & pN1), 31.6% KRAS mutated, 12.3% BRAF mutated, and 12.4% microsatellite instability high/deficient mismatch repair tumors. Trial level correlation between 3-year DFS and 5-year OS remained strong (R2 =0.82, 95% CI = 0.67 to 0.98; R2 =0.92, 95% CI = 0.83 to 1.00) and increased as the median follow-up of OS extended. Analyses limited to trials that tested biologics showed consistent results. Conclusion Three-year DFS remains a validated surrogate endpoint for 5-year OS in adjuvant CC trials. The correlation was likely strengthened with 6 years of follow-up for OS.

Validation of MAF biomarker for response prediction to adjuvant bisphosphonates in 2 clinical trials: AZURE and NSABP-B34.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 513-513
Author(s):  
Alexander H. G. Paterson ◽  
Stewart J. Anderson ◽  
Roger Gomis ◽  
Joel [email protected] ◽  
Juan-Carlos Tercero ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Collaborative Group ◽  
Secondary Outcome ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Disease Free

513 Background: An Early Breast Cancer Trialists' Collaborative Group (EBCTCG) meta-analysis indicates that adjuvant bisphosphonates increase time to bone recurrence and survival in postmenopausal breast cancer patients, but results of individual trials have been inconclusive. Retrospective analyses of AZURE, a trial of adjuvant zoledronic acid, showed MAF (a transcription factor of the AP-1 family) amplification status predicted bisphosphonate benefit independently of menopause for invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and overall survival (OS). Validation of MAF amplification status as a potential companion diagnostic for adjuvant bisphosphonates was confirmed using NSABP-B34 specimens. Methods: The randomized, placebo-controlled NSABP B-34 study of women with stage 1-3 breast cancer were assigned to adjuvant systemic therapy plus oral clodronate 1600 mg daily or placebo for 3 years. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS) with overall survival (OS) as a secondary outcome. MAF amplification was assessed by fluorescence in-situ hybridization on anonymized sections of breast tumor tissue in all patients with tumor samples and performed in a laboratory blind to treatment assignment. Protocol and analysis plans were pre-specified. Disease outcomes were analysed using intention to treat principles. Results: 2496 B-34 patients contributed tumor samples (from 2001-2004), of whom 1883 (75%) were evaluable (947 placebo and 936 clodronate). 1515 (80%) tumors were MAF negative (766 placebo and 749 clodronate) and 368 were MAF positive. At median follow-up of 108 months, MAF was prognostic for DFS, OS and bone-metastasis-free survival in the control group (MAF-positive vs MAF-negative: HRDFS=1·39, 95%CI 1·01-1·92; p=0.045; HROS=1·59, 95%CI 1·08-2·33; p=0.018; HRBM=2·03, 95%CI 1·13-3·68; p=0.016). In patients with MAF-negative tumors, clodronate gave higher DFS and OS than controls at 60 months (HRDFS=0·70, 95%CI 0·51-0·94; p=0.020 and HROS=0·59, 95%CI 0·37-0·93; p=0.024), the latter maintained through follow-up (HROS=0·74, 95%CI 0·54-1.00; p=0.047), but not in patients with MAF-positive tumors - consistent with previous AZURE results. Conclusions: MAF benefit prediction from adjuvant bisphosphonates was confirmed using specimens from 2 randomized clinical trials (AZURE and NSABP-B-34) conducted and analyzed in similar manner using the same validated tests and clinical endpoints. These results are evidence towards introducing MAF testing into clinical practice.

Overview of randomized perioperative polychemotherapy trials in women with early-stage breast cancer.

1997 ◽  
Vol 15 (7) ◽  
pp. 2526-2535 ◽  
Author(s):  
P C Clahsen ◽  
C J van de Velde ◽  
A Goldhirsch ◽  
J Rossbach ◽  
M R Sertoli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Early Stage Breast Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Node Negative ◽  
Disease Free

PURPOSE To determine whether perioperative polychemotherapy (PeCT) can significantly prolong the overall survival of women with early-stage breast cancer. METHODS A meta-analysis that used updated individual patient data from all available randomized trials of PeCT, both published and unpublished, was conducted. Data on 6,093 patients (1,124 deaths and 1,912 recurrences) from five clinical trials were available (median follow-up duration, 5.3 years; maximum, 11.3 years). RESULTS No significant effect of PeCT on overall survival was observed. However, patients who received PeCT had a significantly longer disease-free survival (hazards ratio [HR], 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82 to 0.98; P = .02). Time to local recurrence was significantly prolonged in the PeCT arm (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.80; P < .0001). Likewise, there was a borderline significant difference in favor of PeCT in terms of time to distant metastases (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.00; P = .05). Subgroup analyses suggest that node-negative women benefited the most from treatment. CONCLUSION At present, there is no evidence that PeCT is able to prolong overall survival in patients with early-stage breast cancer; however, further follow-up evaluation is required. PeCT significantly prolongs disease-free survival, especially in node-negative women, which emphasizes once more the need for clinical trials in this subgroup.

Surgery plus ELFE (epirubicin, leucovorin, 5-fluorouracil and etoposide) vs surgery alone in radically resected gastric cancer (GC): Final results of a randomised phase III trial by the Gruppo Oncologico dell’ Italia Meridionale (GOIM)

2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4014-4014
Author(s):  
F. De Vita ◽  
F. Giuliani ◽  
V. Gebbia ◽  
G. Galizia ◽  
M. Orditura ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Subtotal Gastrectomy ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Median Number ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Absolute Difference ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Phase Iii Study ◽  
Disease Free

4014 Background: In a previous phase II study the ELFE regimen resulted to be active and well tolerated for the treatment of advanced GC (Am J Clin Oncol 22:262;1999). Based on this background the G.O.I.M. conducted a randomised phase III study (trial 9602) to evaluate efficacy and toxicity of ELFE regimen as adjuvant therapy for radically resected GC patients (pts). Methods: All enrolled pts underwent total or subtotal gastrectomy with at least a D1 lymphoadenectomy. After stratification for nodal involvement (N+ vs N-) pts were randomised to follow-up alone (116 pts) or 6 cycles of ELFE regimen ( EPI 60mg/m2 d1, LV100 mg/m2 d 1–5, 5FU 375 mg/m2 d 1–5, VP-16 100 mg/m2 d1–3, every 3 weeks). Results: From June 1997 to June 2001, 228 pts with stage IB-IIIB GC were enrolled. Pts characteristics were: median age 63 yrs (29–70); total gastrectomy 148 pts; N+ 163 pts; PS 0–1 according ECOG scale 210. A total number of 638 cycles were delivered with a median number of 5/pt. During chemotherapy, the most frequent G3–4 side-effects graded according to NCI-CTC included alopecia (32%), neutropenia (26%), diarrhea (26%), nausea/emesis (17%), thrombocytopenia (12%) and stomatitis (11%). With a median follow-up of 60 months, the 5-years overall survival was 48% in the treatment arm and 43.5% in the control arm ( p=0.610); the 5-years disease-free survival was 44% in the treatment arm and 39% in the control arm ( p=0.305). Between patients with positive nodes the 5-years overall survival was 41% in the treatment arm and 34% in the control arm( p=0.068), while the 5-years disease-free survival was 39% in the treatment arm and 31% in the control arm (p=0.052). Multivariate analysis showed TNM stage as the only covariate that was independently associated with overall and disease-free survival. Conclusions: In radically resected GC adjuvantELFE chemotherapy produces an absolute difference in overall survival and disease-free survival at 5 years respectively of 4.5% and 5%, but this advantage was not statistically significant. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

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