Pathologic complete response rates after neoadjuvant treatment in rectal cancer: An analysis of the NCDB.
713 Background: Pathologic complete response (pCR) of rectal cancer following neoadjuvant therapy is associated with decreased local recurrence and increased overall survival. The present study utilizes a large national dataset to identify predictors of pCR in rectal cancer. Methods: The NCDB was queried for patients with non-metastatic rectal cancer (2004-2011) who underwent neoadjuvant therapy (regional radiation dose 4500 cGy, boost dose 540 cGy) followed by surgical resection. Generalized linear mixed models were used to analyze the probability of pCR by hospital volume with adjustments for demographic, socioeconomic, staging, and tumor characteristics. Hospitals were separated into groups based on the number of resections performed per year <2, 2-5, and 5+. To account for clustering of cases at individual hospitals, a random effect was used at the hospital level and covariates were included as fixed effects. Results: 7,859 patients met inclusion criteria from 951 participating hospitals. Generalized linear mixed models demonstrated that the odds of achieving pCR was independently associated with more recent diagnosis, female gender, private insurance, smaller tumor size, lower grade, lower clinical T-classification, increasing interval between the end of radiation and surgery, and treatment at higher volume institutions (Table). Conclusions: The incidence of pCR was associated with favorable tumor factors (size, grade, T classification), demographics (insurance status) as well as treatment factors (time between radiation and surgery and institutional volume). With the data available, it is not clear what is driving the higher rates of pCR at high volume institutions. Research specifically targeted at understanding processes which are associated with pCR in high volume institutions is needed so that similar results can be achieved across the spectrum of facilities caring for patients in this population. [Table: see text]