Optimization method for choosing a set of means for probability of failure reduction of critical infrastructures

Author(s):  
O.S. Burukhina ◽  
A.V. Bushinskaya ◽  
S.A. Timashev
Author(s):  
Zhonglai Wang ◽  
Bo Yang ◽  
Hong-Zhong Huang ◽  
Qiang Miao ◽  
Dan Ling

Gears are widely used in many practical engineering to transmit torque. In the process of meshing, contact stress will be produced which causes pitting. Shock becomes more and more serious with the increase of pitting and the probability of failure of meshing gears increases. Contact stress analysis is necessary and important to increase the reliability of gear transmission. In this paper, a fuzzy Hertz approximate optimization method and finite element method are used to deal with a practical engineering problem.


Author(s):  
L. Stefanini ◽  
F. J. Blom

Deterministic assessment codes can contain large safety factors that give very conservative results. By applying probabilistic analysis to these deterministic assessments, an implicitly accepted probability of failure can be determined. The probability of failure is implicit because it is calculated with the parameter values resulting in a state that is deterministically accepted by the code [2]. When these probabilities are compared for similar deterministic assessments, the excess conservatism can be shown and possibly reduced. During the present study a probabilistic analysis of the critical crack length initiation was performed. Such analysis led to the formulation of a corrective action proposal to the Master Curve approach given in BS7910:2013 Annex J. Firstly a deterministic calculation was performed with the Kr-Lr method to define the Critical Length of a through-wall circumferential crack present in a nuclear reactor’s piping. The value of Kmat used in the Kr-Lr method was calculated for a probability of 0.05 and with T0 directly measured (T0 a unique value). The second step was to pass to probabilistic calculation. Here Kmat was calculated from both T0 directly measured and T0 estimated by Charpy-V tests (T0 as a distribution). The results from these calculations gave the probability of a crack being equal to the Critical Crack Length. Moreover, these results showed that the Tk safety margin introduced in BS7910:2013 Annex J introduce an excess conservatism. Results from the probabilistic calculations were then compared to the implicitly accepted failure probability Pf (5%) that results from deterministic analysis (T0 considered as a single value) to account for the effects of T0 distribution. An optimized Tk was then found to account for the real uncertainty of the statistical distribution. Finally, excluding a dependency on the yield stress, the Tk optimization method was generalized. A new correlation for the Tk safety margin is proposed.


CICTP 2019 ◽  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuchen Wang ◽  
Tao Lu ◽  
Hongxing Zhao ◽  
Zhiying Bao
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Fachrudin Hunaini ◽  
Imam Robandi ◽  
Nyoman Sutantra

Fuzzy Logic Control (FLC) is a reliable control system for controlling nonlinear systems, but to obtain optimal fuzzy logic control results, optimal Membership Function parameters are needed. Therefore in this paper Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) is used as a fast and accurate optimization method to determine Membership Function parameters. The optimal control system simulation is carried out on the automatic steering system of the vehicle model and the results obtained are the vehicle's lateral motion error can be minimized so that the movement of the vehicle can always be maintained on the expected trajectory


TAPPI Journal ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-129 ◽  
Author(s):  
VILJAMI MAAKALA ◽  
PASI MIIKKULAINEN

Capacities of the largest new recovery boilers are steadily rising, and there is every reason to expect this trend to continue. However, the furnace designs for these large boilers have not been optimized and, in general, are based on semiheuristic rules and experience with smaller boilers. We present a multiobjective optimization code suitable for diverse optimization tasks and use it to dimension a high-capacity recovery boiler furnace. The objective was to find the furnace dimensions (width, depth, and height) that optimize eight performance criteria while satisfying additional inequality constraints. The optimization procedure was carried out in a fully automatic manner by means of the code, which is based on a genetic algorithm optimization method and a radial basis function network surrogate model. The code was coupled with a recovery boiler furnace computational fluid dynamics model that was used to obtain performance information on the individual furnace designs considered. The optimization code found numerous furnace geometries that deliver better performance than the base design, which was taken as a starting point. We propose one of these as a better design for the high-capacity recovery boiler. In particular, the proposed design reduces the number of liquor particles landing on the walls by 37%, the average carbon monoxide (CO) content at nose level by 81%, and the regions of high CO content at nose level by 78% from the values obtained with the base design. We show that optimizing the furnace design can significantly improve recovery boiler performance.


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